Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc. (LOAN) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: LOANAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LOAN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc. (LOAN) is a real estate finance REIT specializing in short-term first mortgage loans primarily in the New York metropolitan area and Florida. Trailing twelve month revenue stands at $6.6M with a profit margin of 72.1%, though quarterly revenue fell 11.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The stock offers a dividend yield of 12.54% with a payout ratio of 106.0%.

Market cap
$40.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$6.6M
P/E
8.4x
fwd 10.7x
1Y return
-24.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$7.00
99.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 8.4x, well below the 21.6x median of its US-listed Real Estate peers.
  • The company delivers a high forward dividend yield of 12.54%, backed by 14 consecutive years of dividend payments.
  • Insiders retain significant alignment with external shareholders, holding 24.7% of company shares.

Bear case

  • Revenue declined 10.5% in FY2025 to $8.7M, followed by an 11.0% year-over-year drop in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 106.0%, exceeding current earnings and putting pressure on cash flow.
  • The stock has dropped 24.5% over the past year, lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

What Manhattan Bridge Capital does

Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc. operates as a real estate finance company specializing in originating, servicing, and managing a portfolio of first mortgage loans across the United States. The company provides short-term, secured, and non-bank loans to real estate investors seeking financing for property acquisitions, renovations, rehabilitations, and enhancements. Lending activities are concentrated in the New York metropolitan area, including New Jersey and Connecticut, as well as Florida. Loans are predominantly secured by real estate collateral and supported by personal guarantees from borrower principals. Operating as a REIT, it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2023, annual revenue expanded from $6.8M to $9.8M, supported by revenue growth of 20.4% in FY2021, 25.9% in FY2022, and 14.5% in FY2023. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a compound annual growth rate of 8.9%. However, revenue declined 1.3% to $9.7M in FY2024 and contracted 10.5% to $8.7M in FY2025, with net income moving from $5.6M to $5.1M. In the latest trailing twelve months, revenue reached $6.6M with an operating margin of 69.8% and EPS of $0.42. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 11.0% and quarterly earnings dropped 16.7% year-over-year.

LOAN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Manhattan Bridge Capital held cash and short-term investments of $229,547 alongside total debt of $19.4M, resulting in net debt of $19.2M against total assets of $64.0M. Shareholders' equity was $43.0M, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45 and a current ratio of 3.07. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow both totaled $4.9M. The company directed cash toward $5.3M in dividends paid, $28,558 in share buybacks, and $418 in capital expenditures.

LOAN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $3.51 on October 16, 2026, the company had a market cap of $40.1M and an enterprise value of $59.4M. Its trailing P/E of 8.4x and forward P/E of 10.7x compare to 21.6x and 23.5x for the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 6.1x and EV-to-EBITDA of 19.8x trade above peer medians of 3.7x and 14.7x. Over the past year, the stock fell 24.5%, while the S&P 500 benchmark SPY returned 16.8%.

LOAN key metrics →

LOAN dividend

The company pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $0.44, translating to a dividend yield of 12.54%. Manhattan Bridge Capital has paid dividends for 14 consecutive years, reflecting a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 1.8%. Its payout ratio is 106.0%, and its last ex-dividend date was October 8, 2026.

LOAN dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Hold rating, with 0 Buy, Strong Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $7.00, representing an upside of 99.4% from the last close of $3.51. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, the EPS estimate is $0.42, reflecting an expected decline of 6.7%. For next fiscal year, 1 analyst projects EPS of $0.44. The company logged 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 23, 2026.

LOAN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Liquidity is narrow, with cash and short-term investments of $229,547 against net debt of $19.2M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Earnings momentum has slowed, with quarterly earnings falling 16.7% year-over-year and 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters.
  • Dividend coverage is strained by FY2025 dividends paid of $5.3M exceeding free cash flow of $4.9M.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LOAN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc. (LOAN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LOAN income statement, LOAN balance sheet, LOAN key metrics, LOAN analyst forecast, LOAN chart. See the LOAN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LOAN AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Manhattan Bridge Capital's dividend yield?

The company has an annual forward dividend of $0.44, providing a dividend yield of 12.54%. It pays dividends quarterly and has maintained payments for 14 consecutive years.

How much debt does LOAN carry?

As of June 30, 2026, Manhattan Bridge Capital reported total debt of $19.4M and net debt of $19.2M, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45.

What are analysts forecasting for LOAN's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, the EPS estimate is $0.42, representing an expected drop of 6.7%. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst estimates EPS of $0.44.

How does LOAN's valuation compare to sector peers?

At a trailing P/E of 8.4x, LOAN trades below the 21.6x median of its US-listed Real Estate peers, though its price-to-sales multiple of 6.1x is higher than the peer median of 3.7x.

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