PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) AI Stock Analysis
PMT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) is a specialty finance company focused on investments in mortgage-related assets across the United States. In FY2025, revenue reached $1.74B, while trailing twelve months revenue stands at $684.4M with a profit margin of 24.3%. The trust carries $22.92B in total debt and provides an annual forward dividend of $1.60 per share, yielding 23.12%.
- Market cap
- $641.8M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $684.4M
- P/E
- 4.8x fwd 8.4x
- 1Y return
- -30.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $10.61 53.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $10.61, implying a 53.3% upside from the last closing price of $6.92.
- The trust delivers a forward dividend yield of 23.12% and has sustained regular dividend payments for 17 consecutive years.
- Valuation multiples remain discounted relative to peers, including a trailing P/E of 4.8x and a price-to-book ratio of 0.6x.
Bear case
- Total debt stands at $22.92B relative to $421.0M in cash and short-term investments, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 12.37.
- Free cash flow was negative in FY2025 at -$7.21B, down from -$2.73B in FY2024.
- The stock has lagged broader benchmarks, delivering a 1-year return of -30.6% while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.
What PennyMac Mortgage Investment does
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust is an externally managed specialty finance real estate investment trust investing in mortgage-related assets across the United States. Operations span three primary segments. Credit Sensitive Strategies invests in credit risk transfer agreements, CRT securities, distressed loans, real estate assets, and non-agency subordinated bonds. Interest Rate Sensitive Strategies focuses on mortgage servicing rights, excess servicing spreads, agency MBS, senior non-agency MBS, and related interest rate hedging activities. Correspondent Production purchases, pools, and resells newly originated prime credit residential loans directly or in the form of MBS. PNMAC Capital Management, LLC oversees the trust's strategic direction and operations.
Growth and profitability
Across annual results, revenue swung from $82.8M in FY2021 to -$145.7M in FY2022, before recovering to $725.9M in FY2023. In FY2024, revenue fell 30.5% to $504.6M with net income of $161.0M, followed by a 245.8% surge in FY2025 to $1.74B and net income of $127.9M. Operating margin reached 79.0% in FY2025 alongside a gross margin of 91.6%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $684.4M with a profit margin of 24.3% and diluted EPS of $1.44. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 6.1% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 17.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust held $421.0M in cash and short-term investments against $22.92B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $22.50B. Total assets stood at $25.09B against shareholders' equity of $1.85B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 12.37 and a current ratio of 0.05. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$7.21B and free cash flow was -$7.21B. Capital returns in FY2025 included $181.2M in dividends paid and $1.1M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
PMT trades at a trailing P/E of 4.8x and a forward P/E of 8.4x, both below the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers of 21.6x and 23.5x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.9x compared to the peer median of 3.7x, while its EV/EBITDA stands at 5.7x versus the peer median of 14.7x. The trust carries a price-to-book ratio of 0.6x. Over the past year, PMT returned -30.6%, lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of -33.4% trailed the broader index return of 83.0%.
PMT dividend
PMT pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward rate of $1.60 per share, representing a dividend yield of 23.12%. The trust has paid dividends for 17 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 1.0%. Its payout ratio is 112.7%, and its most recent ex-dividend date was October 8, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 7 Hold ratings, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target is $10.61, representing an upside of 53.3% from the last close of $6.92. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.05 on revenue of $346.3M. For the following fiscal year, 7 analysts project EPS of $1.38 and revenue of $387.4M. The trust beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date set for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.05 indicates limited short-term liquidity relative to net debt of $22.50B.
- The dividend payout ratio of 112.7% exceeds trailing earnings, creating potential risk for the $1.60 annual payout.
- Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float recorded at 15.8%.
- Revenue has demonstrated historical volatility, falling to -$145.7M in FY2022 before expanding to $1.74B in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PMT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PMT income statement, PMT balance sheet, PMT key metrics, PMT analyst forecast, PMT chart. See the PMT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PMT AI stock analysis FAQ
What is PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's dividend yield?
PMT pays an annual forward dividend of $1.60 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 23.12%. It distributes dividends on a quarterly schedule and has paid dividends for 17 consecutive years.
What is the analyst price target for PMT?
The consensus mean price target is $10.61, representing a 53.3% upside compared to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $6.92. The analyst consensus consists of 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 7 Holds.
How much debt does PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust have?
As of June 30, 2026, PMT held $22.92B in total debt and $421.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $22.50B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 12.37.
What are PMT's earnings growth expectations?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.05, representing 6.6% growth. For the next fiscal year, consensus estimates forecast EPS of $1.38, representing 30.7% growth.