Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CIMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CIM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) is a real estate investment trust focused on residential and commercial mortgage assets and mortgage-backed securities. The stock closed at $8.40 on October 16, 2026, offering a forward dividend yield of 21.43% against a net debt position of $13.01B. In the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $220.0M with a profit margin of 0.5% and diluted earnings per share of -$1.04.

Market cap
$703.2M
Revenue (TTM)
$220.0M
P/E
—
fwd 5.3x
1Y return
-23.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$14.17
68.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • The stock trades at a price-to-book multiple of 0.4x and a forward P/E of 5.3x, significantly below the US-listed Real Estate sector median of 23.5x.
  • Analysts maintain a mean price target of $14.17, representing 68.7% upside potential over the last close of $8.40.
  • The company delivers an annualized forward dividend yield of 21.43% based on a $1.80 annual dividend.

Bear case

  • Total debt reached $13.45B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.57.
  • Free cash flow fell to -$248.9M in FY2025, while dividends paid consumed $208.7M in cash.
  • The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate stands at -18.8%, accompanied by a 5-year share price decline of 66.0%.

What Chimera Investment does

Chimera Investment Corporation functions as a real estate investment trust specializing in managing a diversified portfolio of mortgage assets in the United States. Operating through its subsidiaries, it invests in residential mortgage loans, agency and non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities, agency mortgage-backed securities backed by pools of residential and commercial loans, and related real estate securities. The company elects REIT tax status by distributing a significant portion of taxable income to shareholders. It diversifies its holdings across investment-grade and non-investment-grade security classes to optimize returns and manage risk across various mortgage market segments.

Growth and profitability

Revenue has shown sharp annual shifts, swinging from $1.06B in FY2021 to -$415.2M in FY2022, before reaching $204.8M in FY2023, $257.9M in FY2024, and $820.8M in FY2025. In FY2025, revenue grew 218.2%, generating net income of $230.5M and diluted EPS of $1.72 with an operating margin of 93.2%. However, trailing twelve month revenue stood at $220.0M with an EPS of -$1.04. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 8.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 58.5%.

CIM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Chimera held $444.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $13.45B, resulting in net debt of $13.01B. Total assets stood at $16.05B against shareholders' equity of $2.42B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.57 and a current ratio of 3.10. Operating and free cash flow turned negative at -$248.9M in FY2025. Capital expenditures were $38.2M, while dividends paid totaled $208.7M for the same fiscal year.

CIM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Chimera traded at a forward P/E of 5.3x as of October 16, 2026, well below the 23.5x median of its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its price-to-book stood at 0.4x and price-to-sales was 3.2x compared to the sector peer median of 3.7x, while enterprise value to revenue reached 66.9x. The stock has underperformed the broader market, dropping 23.6% over the past year and 66.0% over five years, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8% and 83.0% over those same intervals.

CIM key metrics →

CIM dividend

Chimera pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.80 per share, representing a dividend yield of 21.43%. The payout ratio is 90.5%, and the company has paid dividends for 20 consecutive years. However, its dividend has contracted at an annualized 5-year rate of -18.8%. The last ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.

CIM dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy and 4 Hold recommendations. The mean price target is $14.17, which stands 68.7% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $8.40. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.99 on revenue of $302.1M. Chimera has beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for November 5, 2026.

CIM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A debt-to-equity ratio of 5.57 and net debt of $13.01B expose the REIT to balance sheet stress.
  • Trailing twelve month earnings per share of -$1.04 and a slim profit margin of 0.5% highlight volatility in bottom-line profitability.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 58.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock exhibits elevated market volatility with a beta of 1.81.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CIM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CIM income statement, CIM balance sheet, CIM key metrics, CIM analyst forecast, CIM chart. See the CIM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CIM AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Chimera Investment Corporation pay?

Chimera pays an annualized forward dividend of $1.80 per share distributed quarterly, translating to a dividend yield of 21.43% and a payout ratio of 90.5%.

What is Chimera Investment Corporation's current debt level?

As of June 30, 2026, Chimera held $13.45B in total debt and $444.0M in cash, leaving net debt at $13.01B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.57.

What are analysts forecasting for CIM stock?

Analysts have an average price target of $14.17, which is 68.7% above its $8.40 closing price on October 16, 2026, with an estimated FY2026 EPS of $1.99.

When does Chimera report its next earnings?

Chimera Investment Corporation's next scheduled earnings date is November 5, 2026.

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