New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (ADAM) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ADAMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ADAM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) is a mortgage REIT investing in and financing single-family and multifamily residential assets. The company delivered $805.5M in revenue in FY2025 alongside a return to profitability with net income of $149.0M. It trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 4.5x while offering a 15.71% dividend yield.

Market cap
$686.7M
Revenue (TTM)
$381.7M
P/E
4.5x
fwd 6.9x
1Y return
28.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$12.04
57.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Adamas Trust delivered trailing twelve months net EPS of $1.68 and quarterly revenue growth of 129.8% for the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock offers an annual forward dividend of $1.20, generating a 15.71% dividend yield backed by 23 consecutive years of payments.
  • Shares trade at a price-to-book multiple of 0.8x and a trailing P/E of 4.5x, below the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 21.6x.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries $11.32B in total debt and $11.10B in net debt against $1.47B in shareholders' equity, reflecting a high debt-to-equity ratio of 7.70.
  • Analyst estimates forecast FY2026 revenue to fall sharply to $205.5M, down from the $805.5M reported in FY2025.
  • Annual performance has experienced historical volatility, including net losses of -$298.6M in FY2022 and -$62.0M in FY2024.

What New York Mortgage does

Adamas Trust, Inc. acquires, invests in, finances, and manages mortgage-related single-family and multifamily residential assets across the United States. It operates through two core segments: Investment Portfolio and Constructive. The Investment Portfolio segment holds residential mortgage-backed securities, residential loans, multifamily loans, preferred equity, joint venture equity investments, and mezzanine lending. The Constructive segment operates as a business purpose loan lender focused on rental and transitional loans for real estate investors, as well as loan origination and sales. The company operates as a REIT, generally avoiding federal corporate income taxes by distributing at least 90% of its taxable income.

Growth and profitability

In FY2025, revenue rose 44.1% to $805.5M, rebounding from $558.9M in FY2024 and delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 40.3% from FY2020. The company returned to profitability in FY2025 with net income of $149.0M, an operating margin of 17.1%, and an EPS of $1.01, reversing net losses of -$62.0M in FY2024 and -$48.7M in FY2023. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $381.7M with an operating margin of 51.7% and EPS of $1.68. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 129.8% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 21.2%.

ADAM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Adamas Trust held $212.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $11.32B, resulting in net debt of $11.10B. Shareholders' equity was $1.47B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.70 and a current ratio of 1.02. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $134.0M and free cash flow was $125.9M. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $8.2M for capital expenditures, $1.5M for share buybacks, and $122.0M paid out in common dividends.

ADAM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

ADAM closed at $7.64 on October 16, 2026, with a market capitalization of $686.7M and an enterprise value of $12.33B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 4.5x and a forward P/E of 6.9x, both below the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers of 21.6x and 23.5x, respectively. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.8x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 1.8x compared to the peer median of 3.7x. Over the past year, ADAM gained 28.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -16.1% trailed the index return of 83.0%.

ADAM key metrics →

ADAM dividend

Adamas Trust pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annual forward dividend of $1.20, representing a dividend yield of 15.71%. The company has maintained 23 consecutive years of dividend payments, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth stands at -0.9%. Its payout ratio is 87.3%, with its most recent ex-dividend date on September 22, 2026.

ADAM dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $12.04 implies upside of 57.6% from the last close of $7.64. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.23, representing 37.9% growth, on revenue of $205.5M. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

ADAM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Elevated financial leverage, indicated by $11.32B in total debt relative to $212.3M in cash and short-term investments, exposes the portfolio to refinancing and funding pressures.
  • Earnings have fluctuated widely, moving from a net loss of -$298.6M in FY2022 to positive net income of $149.0M in FY2025.
  • The 5-year dividend growth rate of -0.9% and an 87.3% payout ratio highlight dividend sensitivity to shifts in mortgage and credit market conditions.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ADAM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (ADAM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ADAM income statement, ADAM balance sheet, ADAM key metrics, ADAM analyst forecast, ADAM chart. See the ADAM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ADAM AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Adamas Trust pay?

Adamas Trust pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $1.20 per share, which equates to a 15.71% dividend yield. The payout ratio is 87.3%, and the company has paid dividends for 23 consecutive years.

What are analysts' price targets for ADAM?

The mean analyst price target is $12.04, which is 57.6% above the last close price of $7.64. The stock has 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings.

How leveraged is Adamas Trust's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $11.32B in total debt and $212.3M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $11.10B. This corresponds to a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.70 on $1.47B of shareholders' equity.

When does Adamas Trust report earnings next?

The company's next earnings date is November 4, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.23 and revenue of $205.5M.

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