Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: TSLAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TSLA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is a global electric vehicle and clean energy company with trailing twelve months revenue of $103.62B. While FY2025 revenue fell 2.9% to $94.83B and net income contracted to $3.79B, the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, rebounded with 25.5% quarterly revenue growth. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $34.18B in net cash despite trading at an elevated trailing P/E of 328.4x.

Market cap
$1.40T
Revenue (TTM)
$103.62B
P/E
328.4x
fwd 158.7x
1Y return
-17.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$397.83
12.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded 25.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Tesla carries a net cash balance of $34.18B supported by $43.52B in cash and short-term investments.
  • Analyst estimates forecast 24.3% EPS growth to $2.17 and 13.5% revenue growth to $121.68B in the next fiscal year.

Bear case

  • Annual net income dropped from a peak of $14.97B in FY2023 to $3.79B in FY2025.
  • Operating margin narrowed to 1.4% on a trailing-twelve-month basis, down from 16.8% in FY2022.
  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, including a trailing P/E of 328.4x compared to the peer median of 34.1x.

What Tesla does

Tesla, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles, solar energy generation systems, and energy storage products worldwide. Operating primarily in the United States and China, the company is organized into two segments: Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage. Automotive encompasses sedans, sport utility vehicles, regulatory credits, direct sales, Supercharger networks, vehicle insurance, financing, leasing, and after-sales maintenance. Energy Generation and Storage designs, manufactures, installs, and services solar panels and energy storage batteries for residential, commercial, and industrial customers.

Growth and profitability

Tesla grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 24.6% between FY2020 and FY2025, though annual performance slowed over recent periods. Revenue increased from $53.82B in FY2021 to $97.69B in FY2024, before falling 2.9% to $94.83B in FY2025. Over the same span, operating margins declined from a peak of 16.8% in FY2022 to 4.6% in FY2025, while net income fell from $14.97B in FY2023 to $3.79B in FY2025. R&D expenses rose to $6.41B in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $103.62B with an operating margin of 1.4% and diluted EPS of $1.08. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 25.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 3.0%.

TSLA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Tesla held $43.52B in cash and short-term investments against $9.34B in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $34.18B. The company reported a current ratio of 1.94 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 against shareholders' equity of $86.86B. In FY2025, Tesla generated $14.75B in operating cash flow and $6.22B in free cash flow, while deploying $8.53B toward capital expenditures. Tesla had $1.19B in share issuance in FY2025, and its share count increased 14.2% over five years.

TSLA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Tesla trades at an enterprise value of $1.37T and a market capitalization of $1.40T. Its trailing P/E of 328.4x and forward P/E of 158.7x sit well above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Cyclical peers of 34.1x and 26.0x, respectively. The stock's price-to-sales of 13.5x and EV/EBITDA of 122.5x also trade at a premium to the peer medians of 3.7x and 19.2x. Over the past year, TSLA shares fell 17.3%, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, TSLA gained 26.2% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

TSLA key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 15 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 21 Hold, 2 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell ratings on TSLA. The mean price target is $397.83, representing a 12.2% premium to the last close of $354.72. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.74 and revenue of $107.18B. For the next fiscal year, 31 analysts estimate revenue of $121.68B and EPS of $2.17. Tesla beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 21, 2026.

TSLA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margins fell to 1.4% TTM, well below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Cyclical peers of 16.9%.
  • Tesla's high beta of 1.92 indicates substantially higher volatility than the broader equity market.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred, with share count increasing 14.2% over a 5-year span.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TSLA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TSLA income statement, TSLA balance sheet, TSLA key metrics, TSLA analyst forecast, TSLA chart. See the TSLA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TSLA AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Tesla pay a dividend?

Tesla does not currently pay a dividend on its common stock.

What is Tesla's net cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Tesla maintained $43.52B in cash and short-term investments and $9.34B in debt, giving it a net cash balance of $34.18B.

How did Tesla perform relative to the S&P 500 over the past year?

Tesla shares declined 17.3% over the past year, while the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 16.8% over the same timeframe.

What are analysts forecasting for Tesla's next fiscal year?

Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to reach $121.68B, representing 13.5% growth, and EPS to reach $2.17, an increase of 24.3%.

More Consumer Cyclical AI stock analysis