Li Auto Inc. (LI) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: LIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Li Auto Inc. (LI) is a China-based manufacturer of smart electric vehicles, including the Li ONE sport utility vehicle. While the company achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 65.9% through FY2025, revenue contracted 22.3% in FY2025 to $112.31B alongside negative trailing twelve-month profit margins of -4.4%. Li Auto maintains a solid liquidity reserve with $85.64B in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$11.08B
Revenue (TTM)
$104.79B
P/E
—
fwd 140.8x
1Y return
-49.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$15.18
33.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Li Auto maintains a sizable liquidity buffer with $85.64B in cash and short-term investments and a net cash position of $55.63B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to rebound 25.1% to $141.71B alongside positive EPS of $3.72.
  • The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.1x compared to the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 0.7x.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow plunged to -$12.82B in FY2025, down from positive free cash flow of $8.20B in FY2024.
  • Latest quarterly performance weakened significantly as quarterly revenue fell 15.1% and earnings dropped 99.8% year-over-year.
  • The stock carries an elevated forward P/E multiple of 140.8x, far higher than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 14.1x.

What Li Auto does

Li Auto Inc. designs, develops, and manufactures new energy vehicles (NEVs) in the People's Republic of China. The company's flagship model is the Li ONE, a six-seat smart electric sport utility vehicle equipped with smart vehicle solutions, ADAS navigation, and automatic emergency braking capabilities. Beyond vehicle production, Li Auto provides sales, after-sales management, technology development, and corporate management services. It also invests in purchasing manufacturing equipment to support production capacity and maintain vehicle build quality across its lineup. Founded in 2015 and headquartered in Beijing, China, the company operates across the competitive electric vehicle market.

Growth and profitability

Li Auto grew annual revenue from $26.66B in FY2021 to a peak of $144.52B in FY2024, before revenue dropped 22.3% to $112.31B in FY2025. Gross margin shifted from 20.8% in FY2021 to 22.2% in FY2023, then contracted to 18.7% in FY2025. Operating margin dropped into negative territory at -0.5% in FY2025, while net income fell from $8.04B in FY2024 to $1.12B in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $104.79B with a net profit margin of -4.4% and an operating margin of -8.5%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 15.1% year-over-year and quarterly earnings decreased 99.8%.

LI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Li Auto held $85.64B in cash and short-term investments against $30.01B in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $55.63B. The company reported a current ratio of 1.81 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45, with shareholders' equity at $65.98B. Cash generation deteriorated in FY2025, with operating cash flow turning to -$8.61B and free cash flow falling to -$12.82B. During FY2025, capital expenditures totaled $4.21B, while its 5-year share count decreased 2.0%.

LI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Trading at $11.34 as of October 16, 2026, Li Auto has a market capitalization of $11.08B and an enterprise value of $941.0M. Its forward price-to-earnings multiple of 140.8x stands well above the median of 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers, though its price-to-sales ratio of 0.1x is below the peer median of 0.7x. The company's EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 11.6x aligns near the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, LI shares fell 49.8%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY).

LI key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 7 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 14 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $15.18 sits 33.8% above the last closing price of $11.34. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of -$3.90 on revenue of $113.29B. For the following fiscal year, analysts estimate an EPS recovery to $3.72 on revenue of $141.71B. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 25, 2026.

LI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating profitability remains strained after trailing twelve-month operating margin fell to -8.5%.
  • Consensus estimates anticipate a steep near-term loss with FY2026 EPS projected at -$3.90.
  • Prolonged share price weakness is evident with a 1-year decline of 49.8% and a price sitting 24.9% below its 200-day moving average.
  • Capital-intensive operations consumed $4.21B in FY2025 capital expenditures amid negative annual operating cash flow of -$8.61B.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Li Auto Inc. (LI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LI income statement, LI balance sheet, LI key metrics, LI analyst forecast, LI chart. See the LI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LI AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Li Auto's revenue in FY2025?

In FY2025, Li Auto generated $112.31B in revenue, which marked a 22.3% decline compared to $144.52B in FY2024.

Does Li Auto pay a dividend?

Li Auto does not currently pay a dividend.

How much cash and debt does Li Auto have?

As of June 30, 2026, Li Auto held $85.64B in cash and short-term investments against $30.01B in total debt, resulting in net cash of $55.63B.

What is the consensus analyst price target for Li Auto?

The mean analyst price target is $15.18, representing an upside of 33.8% above the closing price of $11.34 on October 16, 2026.

When is Li Auto's next earnings report?

Li Auto is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 25, 2026.

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