Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) AI Stock Analysis
RIVN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchRivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) designs and manufactures electric trucks, SUVs, and commercial delivery vans. Revenue expanded to $5.39B in FY2025, but the company reported a net loss of -$3.65B and negative free cash flow of -$2.49B. As of June 30, 2026, Rivian held $5.31B in cash and short-term investments against $5.35B in total debt.
- Market cap
- $17.98B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.88B
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -3.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $19.00 53.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 214.6% CAGR between FY2021 and FY2025, reaching $5.39B.
- Gross margin improved to positive 2.7% in FY2025 after standing at -24.1% in FY2024.
- Wall Street's mean price target of $19.00 sits 53.0% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $12.42.
Bear case
- Rivian generated net losses of -$3.65B in FY2025 and free cash flow of -$2.49B.
- The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 3.1x, above the 0.7x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
- Share count increased by 41.6% over a 5-year period alongside capital expenditures of $1.71B in FY2025.
What Rivian Automotive does
Rivian Automotive, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric pickup trucks, sports utility vehicles, and related accessories. Founded in 2009 and based in San Jose, California, the company offers consumer vehicles including five-passenger trucks and SUVs engineered with advanced technology and performance capabilities. Rivian also developed the Rivian Commercial Vehicle platform, featuring an electric Delivery Van built in collaboration with Amazon.com for last-mile logistics. The company sells its products through a direct-to-consumer sales model to manage customer engagement, quality control, and vehicle service standards.
Growth and profitability
Rivian's annual revenue rose from $55.0M in FY2021 to $5.39B in FY2025, representing a 4-year revenue CAGR of 214.6%. Annual revenue growth moderated to 8.4% in FY2025 following a 12.1% increase in FY2024. Gross margin turned positive at 2.7% in FY2025 compared to -24.1% in FY2024 and -845.5% in FY2021. However, operating margin was -66.5% and net income was -$3.65B in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $5.88B with quarterly revenue growing 27.2% year-over-year, while TTM profit margin was -55.0% and EPS was -$2.58.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Rivian held $5.31B in cash and short-term investments, total debt of $5.35B, and net debt of $43.0M. Shareholders' equity was $5.13B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04 and a current ratio of 2.10. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$779.0M, an improvement from -$1.72B in FY2024. Free cash flow was -$2.49B in FY2025, reflecting capital expenditures of $1.71B and R&D spending of $1.67B. The company's share count expanded 41.6% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Rivian shares closed at $12.42 on October 16, 2026, representing a market capitalization of $17.98B and an enterprise value of $21.79B. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 3.1x and an EV-to-revenue multiple of 3.7x, compared to a median price-to-sales multiple of 0.7x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. The stock's price-to-book ratio is 4.3x. Over the trailing 12 months, Rivian shares declined 3.8%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. The stock is down 37.0% year-to-date and sits 21.5% below its 200-day average.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 8 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 8 Hold, 2 Sell, and 3 Strong Sell ratings on Rivian. The mean price target is $19.00, which is 53.0% above the last close of $12.42. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $7.45B and an EPS of -$2.43. For the following fiscal year, 15 analysts forecast revenue of $11.72B and an EPS of -$2.21. Rivian has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Continued cash burn remains an issue, with operating cash flow at -$779.0M and free cash flow at -$2.49B in FY2025.
- Total debt of $5.35B nearly equals cash and short-term investments of $5.31B as of June 30, 2026.
- The stock exhibits high market sensitivity with a beta of 1.62 and short interest representing 14.9% of float.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this RIVN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: RIVN income statement, RIVN balance sheet, RIVN key metrics, RIVN analyst forecast, RIVN chart. See the RIVN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
RIVN AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Rivian pay a dividend?
Rivian does not pay a dividend, as the company is focused on reinvesting capital and reported negative free cash flow of -$2.49B in FY2025.
What is Rivian's current financial position and debt level?
As of June 30, 2026, Rivian had $5.31B in cash and short-term investments alongside $5.35B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $43.0M and a current ratio of 2.10.
What are analysts expecting for Rivian's full-year earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $7.45B and an EPS of -$2.43. For the following fiscal year, estimates project revenue of $11.72B and an EPS of -$2.21.
When is Rivian's next earnings report?
Rivian's next earnings date is scheduled for October 29, 2026.