Ford Motor Company (F) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: FAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

F AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Ford Motor Company (F) is a global automaker designing and manufacturing vehicles under the Ford and Lincoln brands, supported by automotive financing. While trailing twelve months revenue reached $187.97B, profitability remains pressured with a net profit margin of -3.9% and an EPS of -$1.88. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 7.0x and provides an annualized forward dividend yield of 4.83%.

Market cap
$49.57B
Revenue (TTM)
$187.97B
P/E
—
fwd 7.0x
1Y return
10.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$15.61
25.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Ford generated $12.47B in free cash flow in FY2025, supporting a forward dividend yield of 4.83%.
  • Consensus estimates project current fiscal year EPS to grow 69.1% to $1.84.
  • The stock's forward P/E of 7.0x sits well below the peer median of 15.7x for its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers.

Bear case

  • Ford posted net income of -$8.18B in FY2025 and an EPS of -$1.88 for the trailing twelve months.
  • Total debt reached $163.30B as of June 30, 2026, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.57.
  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.8% year-over-year.

What Ford does

Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, and services a broad range of vehicles including Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, sport utility vehicles, and Lincoln luxury cars globally. It operates through segments including Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, Ford Next, and Ford Credit. Vehicles, parts, and accessories are distributed through dealers and distributors to retail buyers, commercial fleets, daily rental firms, and government agencies. In addition, Ford Credit provides vehicle financing and leasing services, extending retail installment contracts, direct financing leases, wholesale inventory loans to dealers, and working capital loans for dealership enhancements.

Growth and profitability

Ford's revenue expanded at an 8.1% five-year CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025, moving from $136.34B in FY2021 to $187.27B in FY2025. Over that period, gross margin contracted from 18.0% in FY2021 to 12.2% in FY2025, while operating margin fell from 3.7% to 1.4%. Net income dropped to -$8.18B in FY2025 from $5.88B in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $187.97B with an operating margin of 1.9% and EPS of -$1.88. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 3.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth rose 430.8%.

F income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Ford held $31.33B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $163.30B, resulting in net debt of $131.96B. Total assets stood at $285.53B and shareholders' equity was $35.72B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.57 and a current ratio of 1.09. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $21.28B, funding $8.81B in capital expenditures and generating $12.47B in free cash flow. Capital returns included $2.99B in dividends paid, while the 5-year share count change was -0.8%.

F balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Ford trades at a forward P/E of 7.0x, below the 15.7x median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.3x versus the peer median of 2.0x, while EV/EBITDA stands at 52.3x compared to the peer median of 13.2x. Over the past year, Ford's stock gained 10.8%, trailing the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year timeframe, Ford gained 8.0%, compared to an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.

F key metrics →

F dividend

Ford pays an annual forward dividend of $0.60 per share, representing a 4.83% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 15 consecutive years, with distributions made on a quarterly schedule. The payout ratio stands at 36.1%, and the annualized 5-year dividend growth rate is 38.0%. The most recent ex-dividend date was August 11, 2026.

F dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 12 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $15.61, implying upside of 25.6% from the last close of $12.43. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.84 on revenue of $178.02B. Over the last four quarters, Ford beat EPS estimates in 3 quarters. The next earnings date is October 28, 2026.

F forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin contracted from 3.7% in FY2021 to 1.4% in FY2025 and stands at 1.9% on a trailing twelve months basis.
  • Net debt of $131.96B presents leverage exposure with a current ratio of 1.09.
  • Stock price volatility is elevated relative to the broader market, evidenced by a beta of 1.94.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this F AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ford Motor Company (F). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: F income statement, F balance sheet, F key metrics, F analyst forecast, F chart. See the F stock overview for the latest quote and news.

F AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Ford's dividend yield and payment schedule?

Ford pays an annual forward dividend of $0.60 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 4.83%. Payments are distributed on a quarterly frequency, with a reported payout ratio of 36.1%.

How much debt does Ford carry on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Ford had $163.30B in total debt and $31.33B in cash and short-term investments, which results in net debt of $131.96B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.57.

What is the consensus analyst price target for Ford stock?

The mean analyst price target is $15.61, which represents a 25.6% premium over the last closing price of $12.43. Coverage includes 8 Buy or Strong Buy ratings and 12 Hold ratings.

When does Ford report its next quarterly earnings?

Ford's next earnings report date is scheduled for October 28, 2026. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

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