Ferrari N.V. (RACE) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: RACEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

RACE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Ferrari N.V. (RACE) designs, engineers, and manufactures luxury performance sports cars and lifestyle products worldwide. The company delivered $7.35B in trailing twelve month revenue with an operating margin of 31.1% and net profit margin of 22.2%. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $4.18B and free cash flow rose to $2.66B, supporting $1.34B in buybacks and $1.06B in dividends.

Market cap
$69.73B
Revenue (TTM)
$7.35B
P/E
36.9x
fwd 32.6x
1Y return
2.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$455.07
14.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating margins expanded to 31.1% over the trailing twelve months, well above the peer median of 8.8%.
  • Free cash flow reached $2.66B in FY2025, providing substantial flexibility for capital reinvestment and capital returns.
  • The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate stands at 39.8%, supported by 11 consecutive years of payments and a 44.0% payout ratio.

Bear case

  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, with a trailing P/E of 36.9x versus the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 18.0x.
  • Annual revenue growth slowed from 23.4% in FY2021 to 7.0% in FY2025.
  • Ferrari's 1-year return of 2.5% trailed the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%.

What Ferrari does

Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets luxury performance sports cars globally. Its vehicle lineup encompasses sports cars, GT models, special series cars, limited edition hyper cars, one-off creations, track-focused vehicles, and racing cars. The company also delivers after-sales maintenance, repairs, and restoration services. Beyond automobiles, Ferrari monetizes its brand via licensing agreements, theme parks including Ferrari World in Abu Dhabi and Ferrari Land Portaventura in Europe, as well as apparel and accessories retail. It additionally operates museums in Italy, manages racetracks, and provides finance and leasing services for dealers and retail customers.

Growth and profitability

Ferrari grew revenue from $4.27B in FY2021 to $7.15B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.6% from FY2020 to FY2025. Over this period, net income increased from $830.8M to $1.60B, while diluted EPS expanded from $4.49 to $8.96. Gross margin stood at 51.7% in FY2025, and operating margin improved to 29.3%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue reached $7.35B with an operating margin of 31.1% and EPS of $10.77. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue grew 8.4% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 10.1%.

RACE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Ferrari held $1.51B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.16B, resulting in net debt of $1.65B. Shareholders' equity was $3.65B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87 and a current ratio of 2.37. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $4.18B and free cash flow was $2.66B. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $1.52B in capital expenditures, $1.34B in share buybacks, and $1.06B in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count reduction of 4.2%.

RACE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $397.53, Ferrari trades at a trailing P/E of 36.9x and a forward P/E of 32.6x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. The stock's price-to-sales ratio is 9.5x and EV/EBITDA is 23.1x, above the peer medians of 0.7x and 11.1x, respectively. Over the 1-year period, the stock gained 2.5% versus 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return of 85.6% outpaced the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

RACE key metrics →

RACE dividend

Ferrari pays an annual dividend with a forward rate of $4.23 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.06% and a payout ratio of 44.0%. The company has paid dividends for 11 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 39.8%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was April 21, 2026.

RACE dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 7 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $455.07 implies an upside of 14.5% over the last close of $397.53. For FY2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $7.64B and EPS of $9.85, indicating 9.9% EPS growth. For FY2027, 9 analysts forecast revenue of $8.27B and EPS of $11.05. Ferrari beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 3, 2026.

RACE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt totaled $1.65B as of June 30, 2026, requiring ongoing cash flow generation to manage debt obligations.
  • Earnings predictability has been mixed, with Ferrari beating consensus EPS estimates in only 2 of the past 4 quarters.
  • The PEG ratio sits at 3.53, indicating that valuation multiples are elevated relative to earnings growth rates.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this RACE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ferrari N.V. (RACE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: RACE income statement, RACE balance sheet, RACE key metrics, RACE analyst forecast, RACE chart. See the RACE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

RACE AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Ferrari's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Ferrari pays an annual dividend with a forward rate of $4.23 per share, yielding 1.06%. It has paid dividends for 11 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 44.0%.

How does Ferrari compare in valuation to its sector peers?

Ferrari trades at a trailing P/E of 36.9x and EV/EBITDA of 23.1x, compared to the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 18.0x and 11.1x.

What are analysts' price targets and expectations for RACE?

Analysts have a mean price target of $455.07, representing a 14.5% premium to the last closing price of $397.53. Consensuses call for FY2026 revenue of $7.64B and EPS of $9.85.

How strong is Ferrari's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Ferrari held $1.51B in cash and short-term investments against $3.16B in total debt, with a current ratio of 2.37 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87.

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