Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: HMCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HMC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) is a global manufacturer of automobiles, motorcycles, and power products. Over the trailing twelve months, the company recorded revenue of $22.52T alongside an operating margin of 8.8% and a net profit margin of -0.8%. With a forward dividend yield of 3.88% and net debt of $8.91T, the company delivered a 1-year stock return of 15.0%.

Market cap
$44.48B
Revenue (TTM)
$22.52T
P/E
—
fwd 24.6x
1Y return
15.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$33.27
-3.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing quarterly revenue growth accelerated to 13.5% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded by 147.5% in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company provides shareholder returns supported by a 3.88% dividend yield, 43 consecutive years of dividend payments, and an 18.4% reduction in share count over 5 years.
  • Honda trades at a price-to-book multiple of 0.5x and an EV to EBITDA ratio of 4.7x, below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 11.1x.

Bear case

  • Annual net income dropped to -$423.94B in FY2026, leading to a negative trailing twelve-month profit margin of -0.8% and EPS of -$0.72.
  • The balance sheet carries significant leverage, with total debt of $13.97T and net debt of $8.91T as of June 30, 2026.
  • The consensus analyst price target of $33.27 represents a 3.0% decline from the stock's closing price of $34.28.

What Honda Motor does

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. is a global company that develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, power products, and other technologies. Established in 1946 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, it operates across four primary segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Life Creation and Other Businesses. The motorcycle division produces sports, commuter, and off-road vehicles. The automobile segment builds passenger cars, light trucks, and mini vehicles. Financial Services offers customer leasing, retail lending, and wholesale financing for dealers. Its Life Creation segment produces power products including engines, generators, lawn mowers, and marine engines, as well as HondaJet aircraft.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2026, revenue generated a 5-year CAGR of 10.6%, rising from $14.55T in FY2022 to $21.80T in FY2026. However, annual revenue growth decelerated to 0.5% in FY2026, when operating margin fell to -1.9% and net income dropped to -$423.94B. Gross margin also compressed from 21.5% in FY2025 to 16.5% in FY2026, while R&D expenses expanded to $1.54T. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 13.5% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 147.5%, lifting trailing twelve-month revenue to $22.52T.

HMC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, cash and short-term investments totaled $5.07T against total debt of $13.97T, resulting in net debt of $8.91T. Shareholders' equity stood at $11.82T, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.18 and a current ratio of 1.28. Total assets were $33.51T. During FY2026, Honda generated $1.14T in operating cash flow and $237.72B in free cash flow. Capital expenditures absorbed $897.54B, while capital returns included $670.27B in share buybacks and $284.39B in dividends paid, contributing to an 18.4% share count reduction over 5 years.

HMC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

HMC carries an enterprise value of $39.03B and a market cap of $44.48B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 24.6x, which is above the 14.1x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV to EBITDA stands at 4.7x compared to the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-book ratio is 0.5x. Over the past year, the stock returned 15.0%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year span, the stock returned 33.8% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

HMC key metrics →

HMC dividend

Honda pays a semiannual dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.33 per share, representing a 3.88% dividend yield. The payout ratio stands at 55.7%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 43 years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 17.2%. The last ex-dividend date occurred on March 30, 2026.

HMC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 3 ratings: 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, and 2 Hold recommendations. The mean price target is $33.27, representing a 3.0% decline from the last close of $34.28. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.81 on revenue of $23.68T. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts expect EPS of $4.10 and revenue of $24.17T. Honda beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 6, 2026.

HMC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Profitability contracted in FY2026, as gross margin dropped to 16.5% and operating margin turned negative to -1.9%.
  • Net debt of $8.91T and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.18 leave the company exposed to high financial obligations.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 24.6x, representing a premium over the 14.1x median for US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
  • Research and development spending climbed to $1.54T in FY2026, elevating fixed operating costs.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HMC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HMC income statement, HMC balance sheet, HMC key metrics, HMC analyst forecast, HMC chart. See the HMC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HMC AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Honda Motor Co. pay?

Honda pays a semiannual dividend totaling an annualized forward rate of $1.33 per share, which corresponds to a 3.88% dividend yield and a 55.7% payout ratio.

When is Honda's next earnings report?

The company is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 6, 2026.

What are analysts forecasting for Honda's earnings?

Analysts forecast EPS of $2.81 on revenue of $23.68T for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, followed by EPS of $4.10 on revenue of $24.17T the following year.

How much debt does Honda carry?

As of June 30, 2026, Honda held $13.97T in total debt and $5.07T in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $8.91T.

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