Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) AI Stock Analysis
LCID AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchLucid Group, Inc. designs, engineers, and manufactures electric vehicles, powertrains, and battery systems. While revenue reached $1.35B in FY2025 and rose 56.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, the company continues to generate substantial losses, reporting net income of -$2.70B in FY2025. With net debt of $2.60B and ongoing negative free cash flow, the automaker faces significant operational and capital demands.
- Market cap
- $1.22B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.55B
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -84.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $7.39 136.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 56.2% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, reflecting ongoing commercial expansion.
- Analyst consensus projects revenue to surge 125.4% to $3.49B in the fiscal year following FY2026.
- The average analyst price target of $7.39 sits 136.1% above the last closing price of $3.13.
Bear case
- Free cash flow in FY2025 was -$3.83B, driven by -$2.96B in operating cash flow and $868.2M in capital expenditures.
- Total debt reached $3.36B as of June 30, 2026, significantly outpacing cash and short-term investments of $761.3M.
- Dilution has been steep, with the company's share count rising 133.5% over the past five years.
What Lucid does
Lucid Group, Inc. is a technology and electric vehicle company based in Newark, California. Founded in 2007, the company designs, engineers, and manufactures electric vehicles, advanced EV powertrains, and battery systems. It focuses on high-performance electric vehicles alongside sustainable transportation solutions that prioritize efficiency and environmental responsibility. As of December 31, 2021, the company maintained twenty retail studios across the United States. These studio locations serve as showcases for its electric vehicle models, offering customers firsthand experiences and personalized consultations.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue grew from $27.1M in FY2021 to $1.35B in FY2025, producing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 220.9% from FY2020 to FY2025. In FY2025, revenue increased 67.6%, following a 35.7% gain in FY2024 to $807.8M and a 2.1% decline in FY2023 to $595.3M. However, profitability remains deeply negative. In FY2025, gross margin was -92.8%, operating margin was -258.7%, and net income was -$2.70B, which translates to a net margin of -199.3% and diluted earnings per share of -$10.79. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $1.55B, with quarterly revenue expanding 56.2% year-over-year for the period ended June 30, 2026. Research and development expenses stood at $1.21B in FY2025.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Lucid Group held $761.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.36B, leaving net debt at $2.60B. Shareholders' equity was $1.85B and total assets totaled $7.70B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.82 and a current ratio of 1.14. Cash flow consumption remains elevated. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$2.96B, capital expenditures were $868.2M, and free cash flow was -$3.83B. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased 133.5%.
Valuation and performance
Lucid Group carries a market capitalization of $1.22B and an enterprise value of $4.53B. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.8x and an enterprise value-to-revenue multiple of 2.9x, compared to a median price-to-sales of 0.7x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its price-to-book ratio is 3.2x. Over the past year, the stock fell 84.8%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%. Over five years, the shares dropped 98.7% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 7 Hold, 2 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $7.39, representing a 136.1% premium over the last close of $3.13 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$9.49 on revenue of $1.55B. For the following fiscal year, 4 analysts anticipate revenue of $3.49B, or 125.4% growth, with an EPS of -$5.02. Lucid beat EPS estimates in 0 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 9, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A net debt position of $2.60B alongside -$2.70B in FY2025 net income creates ongoing liquidity and financing pressure.
- Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float standing at 57.2%.
- Execution challenges persist as the company beat consensus EPS estimates in 0 of the past 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this LCID AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: LCID income statement, LCID balance sheet, LCID key metrics, LCID analyst forecast, LCID chart. See the LCID stock overview for the latest quote and news.
LCID AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Lucid Group pay a dividend?
No, Lucid Group does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward production, vehicle development, and research and development expenses, which totaled $1.21B in FY2025.
What is Lucid Group's net debt?
As of June 30, 2026, Lucid Group had $761.3M in cash and short-term investments and $3.36B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $2.60B.
How fast is Lucid Group's revenue growing?
Revenue expanded 67.6% in FY2025 to reach $1.35B, up from $807.8M in FY2024. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 56.2% year-over-year.
What is the consensus analyst target for LCID stock?
Analysts hold a mean price target of $7.39 for LCID, which is 136.1% above its last close of $3.13 on October 16, 2026.
When is Lucid Group's next earnings report?
Lucid Group's next earnings report is scheduled for November 9, 2026.