Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: FRTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FRT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) is an S&P 500 retail-focused real estate investment trust operating premier properties in major coastal markets. In FY2025, the company generated $1.28B in revenue and $411.1M in net income, while delivering an annualized five-year revenue CAGR of 8.9%. It carries a net debt of $4.96B and offers a forward dividend yield of 4.36%.

Market cap
$9.29B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.34B
P/E
21.5x
fwd 34.7x
1Y return
13.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$128.26
20.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve months operating margin of 35.0% exceeds the S&P 500 Real Estate peer median of 27.0%.
  • Free cash flow expanded from $30.8M in FY2021 to $331.0M in FY2025.
  • Wall Street analysts have a mean price target of $128.26, indicating 20.6% upside potential over the last close of $106.32.

Bear case

  • Earnings declined 45.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Full-year EPS is estimated by analysts to fall 22.0% in FY2026 to $3.71 and another 13.0% in FY2027 to $3.23.
  • Long-term stock performance has lagged the broader market, returning 5.9% over five years compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

What Federal Realty does

Federal Realty Investment Trust owns, manages, and revitalizes retail-focused properties across major coastal markets from Washington, D.C. to Boston, as well as San Francisco and Los Angeles. Established in 1962, the company develops urban mixed-use neighborhoods like Santana Row in San Jose, California, Pike & Rose in North Bethesda, Maryland, and Assembly Row in Somerville, Massachusetts. Its portfolio includes 106 properties totaling roughly 25 million square feet with about 3,100 tenants, along with approximately 3,200 managed residential units.

Growth and profitability

Revenue increased from $951.2M in FY2021 to $1.28B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.9%. Over the same period, net income rose from $261.5M in FY2021 to $411.1M in FY2025, with EPS climbing from $2.09 to $4.75. Operating margin was 35.9% in FY2025, compared to 41.5% in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.34B with an operating margin of 35.0% and a net profit margin of 32.7%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 7.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 45.6%.

FRT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Federal Realty had total debt of $4.85B and cash and short-term investments of -$107.2M, resulting in net debt of $4.96B. Total assets stood at $9.06B against shareholders' equity of $3.36B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.44 and a current ratio of 1.47. In FY2025, the company generated $622.4M in operating cash flow and $331.0M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $291.3M, while cash uses included $388.1M in dividends paid and $4.9M in share buybacks.

FRT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $106.32, Federal Realty trades at a trailing P/E of 21.5x, below the 30.6x median of its S&P 500 Real Estate peers. Its forward P/E stands at 34.7x compared to the peer median of 29.2x. The stock carries an enterprise value of $14.41B with an EV/EBITDA of 13.9x, which is lower than the peer median of 17.6x, and a price-to-sales multiple of 7.0x versus the peer median of 7.1x. Over the past year, FRT gained 13.1%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and over five years it gained 5.9% versus 83.0% for the index.

FRT key metrics →

FRT dividend

Federal Realty pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $4.64 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 4.36%. The dividend payout ratio is 76.6%, and the 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is 1.0%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 43 years, and its last ex-dividend date was October 1, 2026.

FRT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 8 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 6 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $128.26 implies an upside of 20.6% from the last close of $106.32. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.71, down 22.0%, on revenue of $1.36B. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts project EPS of $3.23 and revenue of $1.43B. Federal Realty beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 30, 2026.

FRT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt reached $4.85B as of June 30, 2026, contributing to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.44.
  • Cash and short-term investments stood at -$107.2M as of the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Share count expanded by 9.7% over the trailing five years, diluting existing holdings.
  • Short interest represents 6.4% of the float, reflecting market skepticism.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FRT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FRT income statement, FRT balance sheet, FRT key metrics, FRT analyst forecast, FRT chart. See the FRT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FRT AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Federal Realty's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Federal Realty pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward rate of $4.64, representing a dividend yield of 4.36%. The company has maintained a payout ratio of 76.6% and has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years.

How does Federal Realty's valuation compare to its peer group?

Federal Realty trades at an EV/EBITDA of 13.9x and a trailing P/E of 21.5x, below the S&P 500 Real Estate peer medians of 17.6x and 30.6x, respectively. However, its forward P/E of 34.7x sits above the peer median of 29.2x.

What are analysts forecasting for Federal Realty's earnings?

Analysts project FY2026 EPS of $3.71, representing a 22.0% decline, followed by a further 13.0% decrease to $3.23 in FY2027. Full-year revenue is estimated at $1.36B for FY2026 and $1.43B for FY2027.

When does Federal Realty report its next quarterly results?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 30, 2026. Over the prior four quarters, it exceeded EPS estimates 3 times.

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