Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: ADCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ADC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Agree Realty Corporation is a retail REIT focused on acquiring and developing properties net leased to industry-leading retail tenants. The company generated $779.6M in trailing twelve-month revenue, but faces balance sheet pressure with $3.90B in net debt against $12.5M in cash. Its shares trade at a forward P/E of 35.1x alongside a forward dividend yield of 4.85%.

Market cap
$8.36B
Revenue (TTM)
$779.6M
P/E
36.0x
fwd 35.1x
1Y return
-6.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$82.17
22.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue demonstrated steady expansion, posting a 5-year CAGR of 23.6% from FY2020 through FY2025 and 16.8% year-over-year top-line growth in the latest quarter.
  • Agree Realty has maintained 33 consecutive years of dividend payments, supported by an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 5.1% and a 41.8% payout ratio.
  • Wall Street sentiment leans constructive with 12 Buy or Strong Buy ratings and an average price target of $82.17, reflecting 22.6% upside potential.

Bear case

  • Liquidity appears constrained with only $12.5M in cash against $3.92B in total debt and a current ratio of 0.14 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with total share count increasing 70.6% over 5 years.
  • Net margin decreased from 36.0% in FY2021 to 28.4% in FY2025, and analysts project next fiscal year EPS growth of -0.2%.

What Agree Realty does

Agree Realty Corporation is a publicly traded real estate investment trust specializing in the acquisition and development of properties leased to top-tier retail tenants across the United States. Its strategic focus centers on owning properties net leased to leading retail brands to secure stable, predictable income streams through long-term leases. As of September 30, 2020, Agree Realty managed a portfolio of 1,027 properties across 45 states, encompassing approximately 21.0 million square feet of gross leasable area. Listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker ADC, the company employs a proactive portfolio management approach across diverse retail sectors.

Growth and profitability

Revenue increased from $339.3M in FY2021 to $718.4M in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 23.6% from FY2020 through FY2025. Annual net income grew from $122.3M in FY2021 to $204.3M in FY2025, though net margin compressed from 36.0% to 28.4% over the same period. Operating margin stood at 47.4% in FY2025 and 48.1% for the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 16.8% year-over-year to support trailing twelve-month revenue of $779.6M, while quarterly earnings grew 2.1% year-over-year.

ADC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Agree Realty held $12.5M in cash and short-term investments against $3.92B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $3.90B. Shareholders' equity was $6.52B, corresponding to a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 and a current ratio of 0.14. In FY2025, the company generated $504.1M in operating cash flow and free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $1.58B in capital expenditures, $348.1M in dividends paid, and $3.7M in share buybacks, while its share count expanded 70.6% over 5 years.

ADC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Agree Realty trades at a trailing P/E of 36.0x and a forward P/E of 35.1x, higher than the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers at 21.6x and 23.5x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $12.40B represents an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 18.3x, compared to the peer median of 14.7x. Over the past year, the stock fell 6.1%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, the stock returned 19.9% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

ADC key metrics →

ADC dividend

Agree Realty provides an annual forward dividend of $3.25 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.85% with a payout ratio of 41.8%. The company has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 5.1%. Its last ex-dividend date was October 30, 2026.

ADC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 11 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $82.17, indicating 22.6% upside from the last close of $67.04. Consensus estimates project FY2026 revenue of $839.7M and EPS of $1.92, followed by FY2027 revenue of $955.3M and EPS of $1.91. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for October 20, 2026.

ADC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company holds $3.90B in net debt alongside a low current ratio of 0.14, requiring ongoing liquidity management.
  • Net margin narrowed from 36.0% in FY2021 to 28.4% in FY2025, showing margin compression over time.
  • Short interest sits at 7.1% of the float, indicating some negative sentiment among market participants.
  • The stock has lagged broader benchmarks, returning -6.1% over 1 year compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ADC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Agree Realty Corporation (ADC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ADC income statement, ADC balance sheet, ADC key metrics, ADC analyst forecast, ADC chart. See the ADC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ADC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Agree Realty Corporation's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Agree Realty carries an annual forward dividend of $3.25 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.85%. It has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years, with an ex-dividend date of October 30, 2026.

How does Agree Realty Corporation's valuation compare to its peers?

Agree Realty trades at a forward P/E of 35.1x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 18.3x, compared to the US-listed Real Estate peer medians of 23.5x and 14.7x, respectively.

What are analysts' price targets and earnings expectations for ADC?

Analysts have a mean price target of $82.17 for ADC, representing 22.6% upside from its $67.04 close. For FY2026, EPS is estimated at $1.92 on revenue of $839.7M, followed by an EPS estimate of $1.91 in FY2027.

How leveraged is Agree Realty Corporation's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $12.5M in cash and short-term investments against $3.92B in total debt, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60.

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