Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: BRXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BRX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX) is a retail real estate investment trust managing 395 open-air shopping centers across the United States. Revenue reached $1.37B in FY2025 with an operating margin of 36.7% and free cash flow of $652.0M. The company maintains a 4.45% forward dividend yield with net debt of $5.14B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$8.49B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.40B
P/E
19.8x
fwd 25.2x
1Y return
7.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$33.60
21.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Annual revenue increased to $1.37B in FY2025, supported by consistent free cash flow generation of $652.0M.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at 36.0%, exceeding the US-listed Real Estate peer median of 25.9%.
  • Analyst consensus sets a mean price target of $33.60, representing an upside of 21.5% above the last close of $27.66.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings fell 14.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Brixmor carries $5.33B in total debt compared to $194.4M in cash, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76.
  • The 5-year total return of 48.8% significantly trailed the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 83.0%.

What Brixmor Property does

Brixmor Property Group Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust focused on owning and managing open-air shopping centers throughout the United States. Its portfolio includes 395 retail centers comprising approximately 69 million square feet of retail space in established trade areas. The company acts as a real estate partner to approximately 5,000 national, regional, and local retailers, including major tenants such as The TJX Companies, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets, Walmart, Ross Stores, and L.A. Fitness. Brixmor emphasizes proactive asset management and continuous property upgrades to curate appealing retail destinations.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Brixmor's revenue expanded from $1.15B to $1.37B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.4%. Revenue rose 6.7% in FY2025, following increases of 3.2% in FY2024 and 2.2% in FY2023. Gross margin remained steady at 75.2% in FY2025 compared to 75.3% in FY2024 and 74.2% in FY2021. Operating margin was 36.7% in FY2025, while net income totaled $386.2M with diluted EPS of $0.88. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.40B with a profit margin of 30.8% and EPS of $1.40. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 4.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 14.1%.

BRX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Brixmor held $194.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.33B, resulting in net debt of $5.14B. Total assets stood at $9.01B against shareholders' equity of $3.02B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76 and a current ratio of 1.07. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow were both $652.0M. The company directed capital toward $740.6M in capital expenditures, paid $354.2M in dividends, and executed $449,000 in share buybacks.

BRX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

With a market capitalization of $8.49B and an enterprise value of $13.61B, Brixmor trades at a trailing P/E of 19.8x and a forward P/E of 25.2x. This compares to a trailing P/E of 21.6x and a forward P/E of 23.5x for the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its EV/EBITDA is 12.5x, below the peer group median of 14.7x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 6.0x is higher than the peer median of 3.7x. Over the past year, BRX gained 7.8% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), and over five years it returned 48.8% versus 83.0% for the benchmark.

BRX key metrics →

BRX dividend

Brixmor pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.23 per share, representing a 4.45% dividend yield at the last close price of $27.66. The payout ratio stands at 97.8%, and the company has paid dividends for 13 consecutive years. Over the past five years, dividend growth annualized at 15.1%. The last ex-dividend date was October 2, 2026.

BRX dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 10 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $33.60, representing a 21.5% premium to the last close of $27.66. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.43B and EPS of $1.02, reflecting 10.6% EPS growth. Brixmor beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 26, 2026.

BRX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Brixmor's high debt load of $5.33B results in net debt of $5.14B, which could pressure liquidity if financing costs rise.
  • The dividend payout ratio of 97.8% leaves a narrow margin of safety if earnings or cash flows experience a downturn.
  • Short interest stands at 11.5% of float, reflecting elevated bearish sentiment in the equity market.
  • The company met or beat EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters, pointing to variability in quarterly profitability.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BRX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BRX income statement, BRX balance sheet, BRX key metrics, BRX analyst forecast, BRX chart. See the BRX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BRX AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Brixmor's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Brixmor pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.23 per share, translating to a 4.45% yield. It has maintained 13 consecutive years of dividend payments with a payout ratio of 97.8%.

Who are Brixmor's key retail tenants?

Brixmor partners with approximately 5,000 retailers across 395 shopping centers. Major tenants include The TJX Companies, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets, Walmart, Ross Stores, and L.A. Fitness.

How much debt does Brixmor carry on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Brixmor had $5.33B in total debt and $194.4M in cash and short-term investments, leading to net debt of $5.14B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76.

When does Brixmor report its next quarterly earnings?

Brixmor is scheduled to release its next financial results on October 26, 2026.

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