NNN REIT Inc (NNN) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: NNNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NNN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

NNN REIT Inc is a retail real estate investment trust focused on properties secured by long-term net leases. In FY2025, the company generated revenue of $926.2M and net income of $389.8M, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.0%. NNN offers an annual forward dividend of $2.48, yielding 5.97%, while operating with total debt of $5.00B.

Market cap
$7.97B
Revenue (TTM)
$953.2M
P/E
20.6x
fwd 20.4x
1Y return
3.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$46.75
12.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • NNN has delivered 42 consecutive years of dividend payments, providing a 5.97% dividend yield and a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 2.7%.
  • Revenue achieved a 5-year CAGR of 7.0% through FY2025, supporting trailing twelve-month revenue of $953.2M and an operating margin of 61.7%.
  • Analyst coverage reflects a mean price target of $46.75, offering 12.5% upside over the closing price of $41.54.

Bear case

  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 102.1%, meaning dividend payments exceed trailing twelve-month earnings.
  • Cash and short-term investments total $4.2M against $5.00B in total debt, contributing to a current ratio of 0.66 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has lagged the broader market, returning 3.9% over the past year compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.

What NNN REIT does

NNN REIT Inc focuses its investments on high-quality retail properties primarily secured by long-term, net leases. As of September 30, 2020, its portfolio included 3,114 properties spread across 48 states in the United States, representing approximately 32.4 million square feet of gross leasable area. Its leases had a weighted average remaining term of approximately 10.7 years. Under its net lease model, tenants are typically responsible for property taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs in addition to base rent, which supports stable cash flows and helps reduce operational property management risks.

Growth and profitability

From FY2021 to FY2025, revenue grew from $726.4M to $926.2M, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.0%. Annual net income rose from $290.1M in FY2021 to $389.8M in FY2025, while EPS shifted from $1.65 to $2.00 after reaching $2.10 in FY2023. Operating margin was 61.5% in FY2025 compared to 66.5% in FY2024, and gross margin moved to 38.0% from 96.3% in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $953.2M with a net profit margin of 40.4%. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 7.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 3.7%.

NNN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, NNN REIT Inc held $4.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.00B, resulting in net debt of $5.00B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12. Total assets stood at $9.61B compared to shareholders' equity of $4.46B, with a current ratio of 0.66. Operating cash flow and free cash flow both totaled $667.1M in FY2025. Cash uses during FY2025 included $937.1M in capital expenditures and $443.2M in dividends paid, alongside $85.4M raised through share issuance.

NNN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

NNN REIT Inc trades at a trailing P/E of 20.6x and a forward P/E of 20.4x, below the medians of 21.6x and 23.5x for its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 14.8x is near the peer median of 14.7x, whereas its price-to-sales multiple of 8.4x stands above the peer median of 3.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned 3.9%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, NNN returned 18.0%, compared to an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.

NNN key metrics →

NNN dividend

NNN REIT Inc has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years, distributing payments on a quarterly basis. It has an annual forward dividend of $2.48, representing a dividend yield of 5.97%, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 2.7%. Its payout ratio is 102.1%, and its last ex-dividend date was October 30, 2026.

NNN dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst ratings include 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 12 Hold, and 3 Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $46.75, which sits 12.5% above the last close of $41.54. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $979.3M and EPS of $2.06, representing 3.6% earnings growth. NNN beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

NNN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Carrying $5.00B in total debt with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12 places long-term obligations on the balance sheet relative to $4.46B in shareholders' equity.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 3.7% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, despite quarterly revenue rising 7.7%.
  • Capital expenditures of $937.1M in FY2025 exceeded operating cash flow of $667.1M, accompanied by an 8.4% increase in share count over 5 years.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NNN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of NNN REIT Inc (NNN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NNN income statement, NNN balance sheet, NNN key metrics, NNN analyst forecast, NNN chart. See the NNN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NNN AI stock analysis FAQ

What is NNN REIT Inc's dividend yield and distribution schedule?

NNN pays a quarterly distribution with an annual forward dividend of $2.48, which translates to a dividend yield of 5.97%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years.

What are analysts forecasting for NNN's revenue and earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $979.3M and EPS of $2.06. For the next fiscal year, estimates project revenue of $1.03B and EPS of $2.10.

How does NNN's valuation compare to other real estate companies?

NNN trades at a forward P/E of 20.4x, below the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers at 23.5x. Its price-to-sales ratio is 8.4x, compared to the peer median of 3.7x.

What is NNN's current financial position regarding cash and debt?

As of June 30, 2026, NNN held $4.2M in cash and short-term investments and $5.00B in total debt. This results in net debt of $5.00B, a current ratio of 0.66, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12.

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