Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: SPGAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SPG AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) is an S&P 500 real estate investment trust focused on premier shopping, dining, entertainment, and mixed-use destinations. Across the trailing twelve months, SPG produced $6.94B in revenue with a 66.6% profit margin and an operating margin of 46.0%. The company carries $29.43B in total debt while offering a 4.33% dividend yield.

Market cap
$77.99B
Revenue (TTM)
$6.94B
P/E
14.5x
fwd 30.7x
1Y return
21.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$229.00
11.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow reached $4.14B in FY2025, enabling the company to fund $3.20B in free cash flow.
  • The trailing P/E ratio of 14.5x sits significantly below the S&P 500 Real Estate peer median of 30.6x.
  • Simon Property Group has delivered dividends for 33 consecutive years, featuring an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 7.3%.

Bear case

  • The company holds substantial leverage, with total debt of $29.43B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.64 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Earnings fell 12.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 124.5%, exceeding trailing net earnings.

What Simon Property does

Simon Property Group, Inc. is a real estate investment trust and an S&P 100 constituent that owns and enhances destinations for shopping, dining, entertainment, and mixed-use experiences. The company operates across North America, Europe, and Asia, serving millions of daily visitors and generating billions in annual sales. Simon strategically develops and manages properties that combine retail and dining with entertainment venues and mixed-use spaces to cater to evolving lifestyle needs. Through property management and ongoing development, Simon focuses on innovating visitor experiences and maintaining its position in the retail and real estate sectors worldwide.

Growth and profitability

Simon Property Group increased revenue from $5.12B in FY2021 to $6.36B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.7%. Net income rose from $2.25B in FY2021 to $4.61B in FY2025, pushing the annual net margin to 72.5%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $6.94B, supported by an operating margin of 46.0% and diluted EPS of $14.17. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 19.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 12.5%. Operating cash flow expanded to $4.14B in FY2025, delivering $3.20B in free cash flow.

SPG income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Simon Property Group held $1.02B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $29.43B, resulting in net debt of $28.41B. Shareholders' equity stood at $4.43B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.64 and a current ratio of 1.05 out of $39.71B in total assets. During FY2025, operating cash flow funded $934.3M in capital expenditures, $248.3M in share buybacks, and $3.23B in dividends paid, while the 5-year share count decreased 1.4%.

SPG balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $205.44 per share, Simon Property Group trades at a trailing P/E of 14.5x, well below the 30.6x median of its S&P 500 Real Estate peers. Its forward P/E of 30.7x slightly exceeds the peer median of 29.2x. SPG carries an EV/EBITDA of 11.4x compared to the peer median of 17.6x, and a price-to-sales multiple of 11.2x against the peer median of 7.0x. Over the past year, SPG returned 21.6%, outperforming the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), and its 5-year return reached 91.1% compared to 83.0% for the index.

SPG key metrics →

SPG dividend

Simon Property Group provides a forward annual dividend of $8.90 per share, which represents a dividend yield of 4.33%. The REIT has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 7.3%. Its payout ratio is 124.5%, and the most recent ex-dividend date occurred on September 9, 2026.

SPG dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 15 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $229.00 indicates an upside of 11.5% from the last close of $205.44. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect EPS of $5.85 on revenue of $6.67B. SPG beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

SPG forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $29.43B leaves the balance sheet sensitive to financing conditions, given cash reserves of only $1.02B.
  • The company has missed analyst projections frequently, beating EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Projected EPS growth for the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, is negative at -1.0%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SPG AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SPG income statement, SPG balance sheet, SPG key metrics, SPG analyst forecast, SPG chart. See the SPG stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SPG AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Simon Property Group pay?

Simon Property Group pays an annual forward dividend of $8.90 per share on a quarterly schedule, which translates to a dividend yield of 4.33%.

What are analysts' price targets for SPG?

The consensus mean price target is $229.00, implying an 11.5% upside from the stock's closing price of $205.44 on October 16, 2026.

How much debt does Simon Property Group have?

As of June 30, 2026, Simon Property Group reported $29.43B in total debt and $1.02B in cash, resulting in net debt of $28.41B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.64.

When is Simon Property Group's next earnings report?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

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