Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: TNLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TNL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) provides hospitality services through its Vacation Ownership and Travel and Membership segments. In FY2025, the company generated $4.02B in revenue and $523.0M in free cash flow, while its balance sheet as of June 30, 2026, carries $5.71B in total debt and negative shareholders' equity of -$1.02B.

Market cap
$3.96B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.09B
P/E
17.6x
fwd 7.6x
1Y return
11.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$87.31
35.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analyst consensus sets a mean price target of $87.31, representing a 35.2% premium over the last close of $64.59.
  • The company delivered $523.0M in free cash flow in FY2025 while reducing its share count by 27.5% over five years.
  • Travel + Leisure Co. trades at a forward P/E of 7.6x and a PEG ratio of 0.53, both below broader peer multiples.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries $5.71B in total debt and negative shareholders' equity of -$1.02B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Annual net income declined from $411.0M in FY2024 to $230.0M in FY2025, alongside a gross margin contraction to 27.2%.
  • The stock has underperformed the broader market over five years, gaining 44.1% compared to 83.0% for SPY.

What Travel + Leisure does

Travel + Leisure Co. provides hospitality services and products worldwide through two primary operating segments: Vacation Ownership and Travel and Membership. The Vacation Ownership segment develops, markets, and sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) to individual consumers, while offering consumer financing and property management services at resorts. The Travel and Membership segment operates three vacation exchange brands, a home exchange network, travel technology platforms, travel memberships, and direct-to-consumer rentals. Formerly known as Wyndham Destinations, Inc., the company provides private-label travel booking technology solutions and maintains a global vacation ownership and travel presence.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded from $3.13B in FY2021 to $4.02B in FY2025, recording a five-year revenue CAGR of 13.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual net income reached $411.0M in FY2024 before decreasing to $230.0M in FY2025, reflecting a net margin of 5.7% and a gross margin of 27.2%. Despite lower net income in FY2025, diluted EPS rose to $6.39. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $4.09B with an operating margin of 19.8% and net profit margin of 5.8%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 4.4% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 6.2%.

TNL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Travel + Leisure Co. held $282.0M in cash and short-term investments against $5.71B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.43B. Shareholders' equity was -$1.02B, alongside total assets of $6.90B and a current ratio of 3.15. In FY2025, the company generated $640.0M in operating cash flow and invested $117.0M in capital expenditures, leaving $523.0M in free cash flow. It deployed this cash by spending $301.0M on share buybacks and $149.0M on dividends paid.

TNL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Travel + Leisure Co. trades at a trailing P/E of 17.6x and a forward P/E of 7.6x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 13.2x sits above the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales of 1.0x compares to the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned 11.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, its 44.1% return lagged the 83.0% return of SPY.

TNL key metrics →

TNL dividend

The company pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $2.40 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 3.72% and a payout ratio of 33.9%. Travel + Leisure Co. has paid dividends for 20 consecutive years, achieving a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.0%. Its last ex-dividend date occurred on September 16, 2026.

TNL dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 9 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $87.31 sits 35.2% above the last close of $64.59. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $4.18B and EPS of $7.57, representing 19.4% EPS growth. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 2 times. The next earnings date is October 27, 2026.

TNL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High debt obligations are reflected in net debt of $5.43B relative to cash and short-term investments of $282.0M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Short interest stands at 14.5% of float, indicating elevated negative sentiment among market participants.
  • Recent price momentum has lagged, with the stock trading 7.2% below its 200-day average and down 6.0% year-to-date.
  • The company has met quarterly earnings expectations inconsistently, recording 2 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TNL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TNL income statement, TNL balance sheet, TNL key metrics, TNL analyst forecast, TNL chart. See the TNL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TNL AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Travel + Leisure Co.'s dividend yield and payout schedule?

Travel + Leisure Co. offers an annual forward dividend of $2.40 per share, yielding 3.72% on a quarterly payment frequency. Its payout ratio is 33.9%, and the company has paid dividends for 20 consecutive years.

What is Travel + Leisure Co.'s debt profile?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $5.71B in total debt and $282.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $5.43B. Shareholders' equity was -$1.02B.

How do analysts view TNL stock?

Analysts hold 9 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with a mean price target of $87.31. This target implies an upside of 35.2% from the last closing price of $64.59.

What is Travel + Leisure Co.'s valuation compared to peers?

TNL trades at a forward P/E of 7.6x, below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 14.1x. However, its EV/EBITDA of 13.2x is higher than the peer median of 11.1x.

More Consumer Cyclical AI stock analysis