Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) AI Stock Analysis
CCL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCarnival Corporation & plc is a global leisure travel company operating a fleet of more than 90 cruise ships across multiple international brands. In FY2025, revenue reached $26.62B while net income grew to $2.76B, generating $2.61B in free cash flow. However, the company holds a net debt position of $23.94B as of August 31, 2026.
- Market cap
- $34.83B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $27.59B
- P/E
- 11.4x fwd 8.4x
- 1Y return
- -6.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $33.89 30.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Carnival's forward P/E of 8.4x and EV/EBITDA of 7.5x trade below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers at 15.7x and 13.8x, respectively.
- Free cash flow expanded to $2.61B in FY2025, supported by an operating cash flow of $6.22B.
- The mean analyst price target of $33.89 sits 30.9% higher than the last close of $25.90.
Bear case
- Total debt remains elevated at $25.16B as of August 31, 2026, resulting in net debt of $23.94B.
- Short-term liquidity is tight, evidenced by a current ratio of 0.27 and cash reserves of $1.22B.
- The stock has lagged broader benchmarks, returning -6.7% over the past year compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500.
What Carnival does
Carnival Corporation & plc provides leisure travel services worldwide with a fleet of over 90 ships visiting approximately 700 ports across the globe. The company operates prominent brands such as Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, Holland America Line, Seabourn, Cunard, AIDA Cruises, Costa Cruises, P&O Cruises (UK), and P&O Cruises (Australia). In addition to ocean cruising, it owns and operates hospitality assets that include hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motorcoaches. Carnival sells its travel packages through travel agents, tour operators, vacation planners, and online channels across North America, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and other international markets.
Growth and profitability
Carnival's revenue rose from $1.91B in FY2021 to $26.62B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 36.6%. After recording net losses of -$9.50B in FY2021 and -$6.09B in FY2022, profitability recovered with net income reaching $1.92B in FY2024 and $2.76B in FY2025. Operating margin expanded from -371.5% in FY2021 to 16.8% in FY2025, with gross margin ending FY2025 at 29.6%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $27.59B with an operating margin of 26.4% and diluted EPS of $2.27. In the latest quarter ending August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 3.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 5.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, Carnival held $1.22B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $25.16B, resulting in net debt of $23.94B. Shareholders' equity stood at $14.19B against total assets of $50.97B, giving a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.77. The company's current ratio was 0.27. For FY2025, operating cash flow was $6.22B, capital expenditures were $3.61B, and free cash flow reached $2.61B. Over the past five years, the total share count increased by 20.5%.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $25.90 on October 16, 2026, Carnival traded at a trailing P/E of 11.4x and a forward P/E of 8.4x. Both multiples sit below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers, which recorded a trailing P/E of 20.1x and forward P/E of 15.7x. The company's EV/EBITDA of 7.5x is also lower than the peer median of 13.8x, while its PEG ratio is 0.76. Over the prior year, CCL stock fell 6.7%, trailing the S&P 500 index return of 16.8%.
CCL dividend
Carnival pays an annual forward dividend of $0.45 per share on a quarterly schedule, representing a dividend yield of 1.74%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 18.9%. The company's last ex-dividend date occurred on August 7, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on Carnival includes 18 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $33.89, which is 30.9% above the last closing price of $25.90. For the fiscal year ending November 30, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.26 on revenue of $27.74B. Looking to next fiscal year, 28 analysts project EPS of $2.57 on revenue of $28.60B. Carnival has beaten consensus EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.77 reflects a leveraged balance sheet with $25.16B in total debt.
- The stock carries a high beta of 2.38, indicating substantially higher volatility than the overall market.
- The company's current ratio of 0.27 indicates short-term obligations exceed liquid assets.
- Year-over-year quarterly revenue growth slowed to 3.5% in the period ending August 31, 2026, below the peer median of 6.5%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CCL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CCL income statement, CCL balance sheet, CCL key metrics, CCL analyst forecast, CCL chart. See the CCL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CCL AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Carnival pay a dividend?
Yes, Carnival pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.45 annually, yielding 1.74% with a payout ratio of 18.9%.
What is Carnival's current debt level?
As of August 31, 2026, Carnival reported total debt of $25.16B and net debt of $23.94B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.77.
How does Carnival's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Carnival's trailing P/E of 11.4x and EV/EBITDA of 7.5x trade lower than the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers, which stand at 20.1x and 13.8x, respectively.
What are analysts forecasting for Carnival's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending November 30, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.26, followed by $2.57 for the next fiscal year.