Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) AI Stock Analysis
TCOM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTrip.com Group Limited is an international travel service provider operating platforms including Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner. In FY2025, the company generated $60.71B in revenue and $32.39B in net income, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 27.1%. As of June 30, 2026, it holds a substantial net cash position of $52.55B alongside a trailing P/E of 8.1x.
- Market cap
- $25.19B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $65.61B
- P/E
- 8.1x fwd 11.7x
- 1Y return
- -43.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $58.59 46.4% vs last close
Bull case
- The company maintains a strong liquidity cushion with $52.55B in net cash and a current ratio of 1.33 as of June 30, 2026.
- Revenue demonstrated long-term momentum with a 5-year CAGR of 27.1%, reaching $60.71B in FY2025.
- Valuation multiples remain discounted relative to peers, with an EV-to-EBITDA of 3.9x compared to the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 11.1x.
Bear case
- The stock experienced severe price weakness, falling 43.0% over the past year compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500.
- Quarterly earnings growth dropped 39.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
- Analysts project FY2026 earnings per share to decrease 44.7% to $25.20.
What Trip.com does
Trip.com Group Limited is a travel service provider offering accommodation reservations, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, and corporate travel management across China and internationally. Operating under brands including Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner, the company facilitates hotel bookings, air ticketing, and rail, bus, and ferry tickets. It also provides travel insurance products covering flight delays, accidents, and baggage loss, alongside airport VIP lounge access and online check-in. In addition, Trip.com Group serves independent leisure travelers with bundled and customized packaged tours incorporating transportation, accommodations, activities, and visa assistance.
Growth and profitability
Trip.com Group expanded annual revenue from $20.02B in FY2021 to $60.71B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 27.1%. Gross margin shifted from 77.0% in FY2021 to 80.6% in FY2025, while operating margin rose from -7.0% to 25.3%. Net income increased to $32.39B in FY2025, reflecting a net margin of 53.3% and EPS of $40.46. Free cash flow stood at $13.58B in FY2025, down from $19.03B in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $65.61B with quarterly revenue rising 5.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 39.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Trip.com Group held $79.52B in cash and short-term investments against $26.96B in total debt, yielding net cash of $52.55B. The company reported a current ratio of 1.33 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 on shareholders' equity of $159.19B. In FY2025, capital expenditures were $797.0M, while operating cash flow reached $14.38B. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $4.40B spent on share buybacks and $1.42B paid in dividends, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -2.1%.
Valuation and performance
TCOM closed at $40.01 on October 16, 2026, trading at a trailing P/E of 8.1x and forward P/E of 11.7x, both below the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 14.1x. Its price-to-sales of 0.4x and EV-to-EBITDA of 3.9x also sit below the peer medians of 0.7x and 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 43.0%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, TCOM rose 22.9%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street consensus includes 20 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $58.59 stands 46.4% above the last close of $40.01. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect revenue of $66.59B and EPS of $25.20, representing an EPS drop of 44.7%. Trip.com Group has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for November 16, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- TTM operating margin turned negative to -9.3%, signaling potential pressure on operational profitability.
- Free cash flow declined from $21.40B in FY2023 to $13.58B in FY2025.
- The stock trades 19.4% below its 200-day moving average and remains well off its 52-week high of $78.99.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TCOM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TCOM income statement, TCOM balance sheet, TCOM key metrics, TCOM analyst forecast, TCOM chart. See the TCOM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TCOM AI stock analysis FAQ
What brands does Trip.com Group operate?
Trip.com Group operates prominent travel brands including Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner. These platforms provide accommodation bookings, transportation ticketing, and travel packages.
What is Trip.com Group's net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $79.52B in cash and short-term investments against $26.96B in total debt, resulting in net cash of $52.55B.
How does TCOM's valuation compare to industry peers?
TCOM trades at a trailing P/E of 8.1x and EV-to-EBITDA of 3.9x, which sit below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical medians of 18.0x and 11.1x.
When is Trip.com Group's next earnings report?
The next earnings date is scheduled for November 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $25.20 on revenue of $66.59B.