Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) AI Stock Analysis
RCL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise vacation company operating brands such as Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Azamara, and Silversea Cruises. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $18.68B in revenue with an operating margin of 27.1%. While earnings reached $4.27B in FY2025, the company maintains significant leverage with $23.52B in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $74.27B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $18.68B
- P/E
- 17.1x fwd 11.4x
- 1Y return
- -5.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $350.63 26.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Operating margin expanded to 27.4% in FY2025, supporting net income of $4.27B and EPS of $15.64.
- Free cash flow reached $1.24B in FY2025 alongside operating cash flow of $6.46B.
- Analyst consensus projects FY2026 revenue to grow to $19.58B with an estimated EPS of $17.84.
Bear case
- Total debt stood at $23.52B as of June 30, 2026, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.30.
- Short-term liquidity is tight, evidenced by a current ratio of 0.21 and cash of $875.0M.
- Quarterly earnings fell 4.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
What Royal Caribbean does
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company operating a fleet of 61 ships as of February 25, 2022, visiting approximately 1,000 destinations worldwide. Founded in 1968 and based in Miami, Florida, the company operates across diverse travel segments through Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Azamara, and Silversea Cruises. Royal Caribbean International delivers family and adventure voyages with extensive onboard amenities. Celebrity Cruises targets upscale travelers seeking modern luxury, while Azamara focuses on boutique destination immersion. Silversea Cruises provides all-inclusive, ultra-luxury itineraries to remote destinations.
Growth and profitability
Royal Caribbean experienced substantial post-pandemic expansion, with revenue rising from $1.53B in FY2021 to $8.84B in FY2022, $13.90B in FY2023, $16.48B in FY2024, and $17.93B in FY2025. Profitability rebounded from an operating margin of -252.6% and a net loss of $5.26B in FY2021 to an operating margin of 27.4% and net income of $4.27B in FY2025. Diluted EPS rose to $15.64 in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $18.68B and EPS reached $16.20. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 6.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 4.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Royal Caribbean held $875.0M in cash and short-term investments against $23.52B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $22.64B. The current ratio stood at 0.21, and the debt-to-equity ratio was 2.30 on shareholders' equity of $10.24B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $6.46B, which funded $5.23B in capital expenditures, leaving free cash flow of $1.24B. The company allocated capital toward $1.16B in share buybacks and $264.0M in dividends paid during FY2025.
Valuation and performance
Royal Caribbean closed at $277.68 on October 16, 2026, trading at a trailing P/E of 17.1x, below the 20.1x median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers. Its forward P/E of 11.4x and EV/EBITDA of 11.6x also sit below peer medians of 15.7x and 13.8x, respectively, while its price-to-sales ratio of 4.0x is higher than the peer median of 2.0x. Over the past year, RCL shares fell 5.1%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 benchmark, though its 5-year return of 232.8% outperformed the index's 83.0%.
RCL dividend
Royal Caribbean pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $6.00 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.16%. The payout ratio is 33.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 3 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 35.0%. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 17, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 19 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 6 Hold recommendations, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target of $350.63 indicates potential upside of 26.3% over the last close of $277.68. For FY2026 ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate consensus EPS of $17.84 on revenue of $19.58B. Royal Caribbean beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company holds $22.64B in net debt, leaving it sensitive to financing costs and credit conditions.
- Capital expenditures were substantial at $5.23B in FY2025, which limits free cash flow conversion relative to operating cash flow.
- The stock has a beta of 1.82, reflecting higher volatility relative to the broader market.
- The current ratio of 0.21 indicates short-term obligations significantly exceed current assets.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this RCL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: RCL income statement, RCL balance sheet, RCL key metrics, RCL analyst forecast, RCL chart. See the RCL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
RCL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Royal Caribbean's dividend yield and payment schedule?
Royal Caribbean pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annualized rate of $6.00 per share, yielding 2.16% with a payout ratio of 33.6%.
How much debt does Royal Caribbean carry?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $23.52B in total debt and $875.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $22.64B.
What are analysts' price targets and expectations for RCL?
Analysts have a mean price target of $350.63, which is 26.3% above the $277.68 close on October 16, 2026, with FY2026 EPS projected at $17.84.
When is Royal Caribbean's next earnings report?
Royal Caribbean's next earnings report is scheduled for October 27, 2026.