Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: EXPEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

EXPE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) is an online travel company providing global booking services for leisure and corporate travelers. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $15.70B with an operating margin of 19.0%. In FY2025, the business produced $3.11B in free cash flow and recorded diluted earnings per share of $15.34.

Market cap
$34.68B
Revenue (TTM)
$15.70B
P/E
18.0x
fwd 11.3x
1Y return
36.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$336.14
16.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly net earnings expanded by 188.7% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow generation reached $3.11B in FY2025, facilitating $1.93B in share repurchases and a 23.6% reduction in shares over five years.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 11.3x and PEG of 0.68, below the median forward P/E of 15.7x for its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carried a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.70 and a current ratio of 0.80 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The 5-year stock return of 70.3% trailed the S&P 500 benchmark gain of 83.0%.
  • Short interest represents 8.5% of the company's publicly traded float.

What Expedia does

Expedia Group, Inc. operates an online travel business serving leisure and corporate travelers across Retail, B2B, and trivago segments. Its portfolio includes consumer platforms such as Brand Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo, Orbitz, Travelocity, and CheapTickets, facilitating reservations for lodging, flights, car rentals, cruises, and vacation packages. The B2B division operates Expedia Partner Solutions, delivering travel technology and inventory to corporate clients, airlines, travel agents, retailers, and financial institutions. Egencia delivers managed corporate travel solutions, while trivago functions as a hotel metasearch platform and Expedia Group Media Solutions provides digital advertising capabilities.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, annual revenue increased from $8.60B to $14.73B, representing a 5-year CAGR of 23.2% from FY2020. Over that period, gross margin expanded from 82.0% to 90.1%, while operating margin widened from 2.2% to 14.7%. Net income advanced from $12.0M in FY2021 to $1.29B in FY2025, lifting EPS from $1.44 to $15.34. Over the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $15.70B with an operating margin of 19.0% and EPS of $16.01. In the latest quarter, revenue rose 14.0% year-over-year, and earnings increased 188.7%.

EXPE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Expedia Group held $7.13B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.68B, resulting in net cash of $1.44B. The current ratio stood at 0.80 and debt-to-equity was 4.70, supported by $1.21B in shareholders' equity. For FY2025, operating cash flow was $3.88B and capital expenditures were $770.0M, generating $3.11B in free cash flow. Cash allocations in FY2025 included $1.93B in share buybacks and $200.0M in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count reduction of 23.6%.

EXPE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $288.95 on October 16, 2026, Expedia Group traded at a trailing P/E of 18.0x and a forward P/E of 11.3x. In comparison, the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers was 20.1x trailing and 15.7x forward. Its EV/EBITDA was 8.9x versus the peer median of 13.8x, while its price-to-sales was 2.2x compared to the peer median of 2.0x. EXPE gained 36.3% over the prior year, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 70.3% was below the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

EXPE key metrics →

EXPE dividend

Expedia Group pays a forward annual dividend of $1.92 per share, equating to a dividend yield of 0.66% and a payout ratio of 10.0%. Distributions occur quarterly and have been paid for 2 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 36.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date was August 27, 2026.

EXPE dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 17 Strong Buy, 20 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $336.14, sitting 16.3% above the last close of $288.95. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates forecast revenue of $16.21B and EPS of $21.02, representing expected EPS growth of 32.5%. For the following year, 31 analysts estimate revenue of $17.35B and EPS of $24.53. The company beat EPS expectations in all 4 of its last four quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 4, 2026.

EXPE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A beta of 1.36 indicates the equity exhibits higher historical volatility than the broader market.
  • A current ratio of 0.80 indicates that current assets do not fully cover short-term financial obligations.
  • Total debt of $5.68B represents a sizable liability relative to $1.21B of total shareholders' equity.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this EXPE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: EXPE income statement, EXPE balance sheet, EXPE key metrics, EXPE analyst forecast, EXPE chart. See the EXPE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

EXPE AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Expedia Group pay a dividend?

Yes. Expedia Group pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.92 annually per share, which represents a 0.66% dividend yield and a 10.0% payout ratio.

How is Expedia Group valued compared to its sector peers?

Expedia Group trades at a forward P/E of 11.3x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.9x, both below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 15.7x and 13.8x, respectively.

What is Expedia Group's net debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Expedia Group held $7.13B in cash and short-term investments alongside $5.68B in total debt, giving it a net cash position of $1.44B.

What are analysts forecasting for Expedia Group's earnings?

For FY2026, analysts estimate EPS of $21.02 on revenue of $16.21B. For FY2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $24.53 on revenue of $17.35B.

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