Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) AI Stock Analysis
SERV AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchServe Robotics Inc. (SERV) develops autonomous, low-emission delivery robots tailored for food logistics in urban public spaces. The company delivered rapid revenue expansion with a 3-year CAGR of 190.8%, but posted an operating margin of -4253.8% and a net loss of -$101.4M in FY2025. It maintains a liquid balance sheet with $235.4M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $280.1M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $7.8M
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -79.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $12.14 275.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue surged 404.4% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $7.8M.
- The balance sheet holds $235.4M in cash and short-term investments with just $9.7M in total debt, yielding a net cash cushion of $225.7M.
- Analysts project revenue to climb 245.7% to $33.5M in the next fiscal year, supported by a mean price target of $12.14.
Bear case
- Serve Robotics posted a net loss of -$101.4M and free cash flow of -$117.6M in FY2025.
- The company trades at an elevated price-to-sales multiple of 35.9x compared to the US-listed Industrials peer median of 1.5x.
- Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the company's share count increasing 1506.2% over 5 years.
What Serve Robotics does
Serve Robotics Inc., formerly known as Patricia Acquisition Corp., designs, develops, and operates low-emission autonomous robots for food delivery services in the United States. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Redwood City, California, the company builds self-driving robots designed to navigate public spaces and urban environments. By deploying autonomous delivery solutions, Serve Robotics aims to enhance delivery reliability and operational efficiency while reducing the carbon footprint compared to traditional delivery methods. The company employs 370 people and continues to expand its operational footprint and robotics technology across the food service logistics industry.
Growth and profitability
Serve Robotics grew revenue from $107,819 in FY2022 to $207,545 in FY2023, reaching $1.8M in FY2024 and $2.7M in FY2025, reflecting a 3-year revenue CAGR of 190.8%. However, profitability remains deeply negative, with gross margin at -580.2% and operating margin at -4253.8% in FY2025. Net losses widened from -$21.9M in FY2022 to -$101.4M in FY2025, alongside $45.3M in R&D expenses. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $7.8M with an operating margin of -2027.9% and diluted EPS of -$2.47. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth accelerated to 404.4% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Serve Robotics held $235.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $9.7M, resulting in a net cash position of $225.7M. Total assets stood at $378.6M and shareholders' equity was $351.8M, supported by a current ratio of 12.83 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$80.2M and capital expenditures were $37.3M, yielding free cash flow of -$117.6M. Over five years, the company's share count expanded by 1506.2%.
Valuation and performance
Serve Robotics trades at a market capitalization of $280.1M and an enterprise value of $148.4M. Its price-to-sales ratio of 35.9x stands well above the 1.5x median of its US-listed Industrials peers, while its enterprise value-to-revenue ratio sits at 19.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 79.1%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY). The shares closed at $3.23 on October 16, 2026, trading 58.6% below their 200-day average and close to their 52-week low of $3.17.
What analysts expect
Serve Robotics has 7 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating among analysts. The mean price target is $12.14, representing a 275.9% premium to its last close of $3.23. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $9.7M and EPS of -$2.11. For the next fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $33.5M, representing 245.7% growth, alongside EPS of -$1.75. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 11, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Substantial ongoing cash burn could deplete reserves, following FY2025 operating cash flow of -$80.2M and capital expenditures of $37.3M.
- The stock exhibits elevated volatility with a beta of 2.50 and a short interest of 35.9% of float.
- Serve Robotics has a mixed earnings track record, having beaten EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SERV AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SERV income statement, SERV balance sheet, SERV key metrics, SERV analyst forecast, SERV chart. See the SERV stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SERV AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Serve Robotics Inc. do?
Serve Robotics Inc. designs, builds, and operates low-emission autonomous robots for food delivery services in urban environments.
When does Serve Robotics report earnings next?
The company is scheduled to report earnings next on November 11, 2026.
What is Serve Robotics' cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, Serve Robotics held $235.4M in cash and short-term investments, with net cash of $225.7M after subtracting $9.7M in total debt.
Does Serve Robotics pay a dividend?
Serve Robotics does not pay a dividend.
What are Wall Street analysts forecasting for SERV?
Analysts maintain 7 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating with an average price target of $12.14, while forecasting revenue of $9.7M for FY2026 and $33.5M for the following fiscal year.