GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GXOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GXO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE: GXO) is a global provider of contract logistics, warehousing, and supply chain solutions. The company increased revenue to $13.18B in FY2025, but its net margin compressed to 0.2% and net income fell to $32.0M. GXO carries $6.12B in total debt with a net debt position of $5.35B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$5.41B
Revenue (TTM)
$13.64B
P/E
41.8x
fwd 13.2x
1Y return
-13.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$68.47
45.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analyst consensus projects EPS growth of 20.3% in FY2026 to $3.02 and a further 16.6% in FY2027 to $3.52.
  • GXO delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 16.3%, reaching $13.18B in FY2025 and $13.64B in TTM revenue.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 13.2x, below the median of 17.2x for US-listed Industrials peers.

Bear case

  • Net income dropped sharply from $229.0M in FY2023 to $32.0M in FY2025, bringing the annual net margin down to 0.2%.
  • The balance sheet carries $6.12B in total debt and $5.35B in net debt, with a current ratio of 0.79 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.05.
  • Shares returned -13.6% over the trailing 1-year period and -43.2% over 5 years, trailing the S&P 500 in both periods.

What GXO Logistics does

GXO Logistics, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, is a global provider of comprehensive logistics solutions based in Greenwich, Connecticut. The company specializes in warehousing, distribution, order fulfillment, e-commerce logistics, and supply chain services. It also provides reverse logistics and returns management processes. As of December 31, 2021, GXO operated an extensive network of approximately 906 facilities worldwide. Its infrastructure supports various sectors, including e-commerce, omnichannel retail, consumer technology, food and beverage, industrial manufacturing, and consumer packaged goods. GXO leverages technology and data-driven insights to manage supply chain visibility and agility.

Growth and profitability

GXO's revenue expanded from $7.94B in FY2021 to $13.18B in FY2025, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 16.3% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual net income peaked at $229.0M in FY2023 before declining to $134.0M in FY2024 and $32.0M in FY2025, with net margin falling to 0.2%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $13.64B with a profit margin of 1.0% and an operating margin of 3.0%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 4.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 4.0%.

GXO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, GXO held $769.0M in cash and short-term investments against $6.12B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.35B. Shareholders' equity stood at $2.99B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.05 and a current ratio of 0.79. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $434.0M and free cash flow reached $110.0M. The company directed capital toward $324.0M in capital expenditures and $200.0M in share buybacks during FY2025, while the 5-year share count change was 0.0%.

GXO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $47.18, GXO holds a market cap of $5.41B and an enterprise value of $10.54B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 41.8x, above the median of 24.8x for US-listed Industrials, but its forward P/E of 13.2x is below the peer median of 17.2x. Its price-to-sales of 0.4x is lower than the peer median of 1.5x, while its EV/EBITDA of 12.8x compares to the peer median of 13.9x. Over the past year, GXO fell 13.6%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Over five years, GXO lost 43.2% compared to SPY's 83.0% gain.

GXO key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment consists of 13 Strong Buy and 4 Buy ratings, with no Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $68.47, representing 45.1% upside from the last close of $47.18. For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $13.94B and EPS of $3.02, reflecting 20.3% earnings growth. For FY2027, 16 analysts project revenue of $14.62B and EPS of $3.52. GXO beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

GXO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.79 indicates short-term obligations exceed liquid current assets.
  • Total debt of $6.12B against shareholders' equity of $2.99B results in elevated leverage of 2.05.
  • Quarterly earnings growth was negative at -4.0% in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow contracted from $284.0M in FY2023 to $110.0M in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GXO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GXO income statement, GXO balance sheet, GXO key metrics, GXO analyst forecast, GXO chart. See the GXO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GXO AI stock analysis FAQ

Does GXO Logistics pay a dividend?

GXO Logistics does not currently pay a dividend. The company deployed its capital toward $324.0M in capital expenditures and $200.0M in share buybacks in FY2025.

What is GXO's current debt level?

As of June 30, 2026, GXO had total debt of $6.12B and cash of $769.0M, resulting in net debt of $5.35B. The debt-to-equity ratio stood at 2.05.

When is GXO Logistics reporting its next quarterly earnings?

GXO is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 3, 2026. The company beat EPS consensus estimates in all of the last 4 quarters.

What are analysts forecasting for GXO's earnings and price target?

Analysts have an average price target of $68.47, indicating 45.1% potential upside from the $47.18 closing price. Consensus estimates project EPS of $3.02 for FY2026 and $3.52 for FY2027.

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