FedEx Corporation (FDX) AI Stock Analysis
FDX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFedEx Corporation is an integrated global transportation, e-commerce, and logistics provider. In FY2026, the company generated $94.72B in revenue and $4.43B in net income, while producing $5.12B in free cash flow. Shares returned 56.4% over the past year and trade at a forward P/E of 14.2x.
- Market cap
- $69.47B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $94.72B
- P/E
- 15.8x fwd 14.2x
- 1Y return
- 56.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $355.88 21.2% vs last close
Bull case
- FedEx grew annual free cash flow to $5.12B in FY2026, up from $2.98B in FY2025.
- The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 8.9x, well below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 17.7x.
- Analysts project next fiscal year EPS growth of 13.7% to $22.18 alongside an analyst mean price target of $355.88.
Bear case
- Total debt stood at $42.94B as of May 31, 2026, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.36 and net debt of $29.63B.
- Quarterly earnings fell 4.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended May 31, 2026.
- FY2027 consensus estimates forecast an EPS decline of 3.6% to $19.50 alongside a revenue drop to $89.48B.
What FedEx does
FedEx Corporation offers transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. Its FedEx Express segment delivers express transportation, small-package ground delivery, freight services, time-critical solutions, and cross-border enablement. The FedEx Ground segment specializes in day-certain delivery services for businesses and residences. FedEx Freight provides less-than-truckload freight services, operating approximately 30,000 vehicles and 400 service centers as of May 31, 2022. Additionally, FedEx Services delivers support including sales, marketing, and information technology, while Corporate, Other, and Eliminations provides supply chain management, customs brokerage, and ocean and air freight forwarding.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2022 and FY2026, FedEx Corporation expanded annual revenue from $93.51B to $94.72B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 2.5%. After revenue contracted by 3.6% in FY2023 and 2.7% in FY2024, top-line growth recovered with a 0.3% increase in FY2025 and 7.7% in FY2026. Gross margin rose slightly from 21.6% in FY2022 to 21.8% in FY2026, while operating margin held at 7.0%. Net income reached $4.43B in FY2026 with diluted EPS of $20.21. For the latest quarter ended May 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 12.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 4.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of May 31, 2026, FedEx held $13.31B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $42.94B, resulting in net debt of $29.63B. Shareholders' equity stood at $31.65B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.36, while the current ratio was 1.48. In FY2026, operating cash flow reached $8.93B. After funding $3.81B in capital expenditures, free cash flow was $5.12B. Cash allocation in FY2026 included $796.0M in share buybacks and $1.37B in dividends paid, contributing to a 10.1% reduction in share count over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
FDX trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and a forward P/E of 14.2x, which sit below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.5x and 20.7x, respectively. The company's enterprise value is $98.62B with an EV/EBITDA of 8.9x, compared to the peer median of 17.7x. FedEx has a price-to-sales ratio of 0.7x against the peer median of 3.3x. Over the past year, FDX gained 56.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 75.7% trailed the benchmark return of 83.0%.
FDX dividend
FedEx pays a forward annual dividend of $4.88, delivering a dividend yield of 1.66% with a payout ratio of 29.2%. The dividend is distributed on a quarterly frequency and has been paid for 25 consecutive years. Over the past 5 years, dividend growth annualized at 17.1%. The last ex-dividend date was September 14, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment includes 16 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 7 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $355.88, representing 21.2% upside compared to the last close of $293.55. For the current fiscal year ending May 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $19.50, an earnings decline of 3.6%, and revenue of $89.48B. Over the last four quarters, FedEx beat EPS estimates in 4 quarters. The next earnings date is October 28, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly earnings declined 4.3% in the quarter ended May 31, 2026, showing near-term profitability pressure despite revenue gains.
- Leverage remains notable, with net debt at $29.63B and total debt of $42.94B against $31.65B in shareholders' equity.
- The stock exhibits elevated market sensitivity with a beta of 1.33 and traded 2.1% below its 200-day average at $293.55.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FDX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of FedEx Corporation (FDX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FDX income statement, FDX balance sheet, FDX key metrics, FDX analyst forecast, FDX chart. See the FDX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FDX AI stock analysis FAQ
What is FedEx's dividend yield and payout history?
FedEx offers an annual forward dividend of $4.88, representing a dividend yield of 1.66% and a payout ratio of 29.2%. The company has paid dividends for 25 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 17.1%.
When does FedEx report its next quarterly earnings?
FedEx is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 28, 2026. Over the prior four quarters, the company recorded EPS beats in 4 quarters.
How does FedEx's valuation compare to its peers?
FedEx trades at a forward P/E of 14.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.9x, which are both lower than the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 20.7x and 17.7x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 0.7x versus the peer median of 3.3x.
How did FedEx perform financially in FY2026?
In FY2026, FedEx generated $94.72B in revenue, marking 7.7% growth, and net income of $4.43B. Operating cash flow totaled $8.93B, generating $5.12B in free cash flow after $3.81B of capital expenditures.