FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. (FDXF) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: FDXFAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FDXF AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. operates FedEx Freight, a leading North American less-than-truckload carrier that was spun off as an independent public company on June 1, 2026. For FY2026, revenue reached $8.79B while free cash flow contracted to -$212.0M amid capital expenditures of $379.0M. The company holds net debt of $6.11B alongside negative shareholders' equity of -$497.0M.

Market cap
$16.93B
Revenue (TTM)
$8.79B
P/E
25.8x
fwd 22.2x
1Y return
—
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$146.50
29.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Wall Street consensus reflects an upside potential of 29.4%, with a mean price target of $146.50 compared to the last close of $113.21.
  • Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to expand by 2.2% to $9.33B, alongside an 11.8% increase in EPS to $5.24.
  • The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 1.9x, which is lower than the 3.3x median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow dropped to -$212.0M in FY2026 after operating cash flow fell to $167.0M against $379.0M in capital expenditures.
  • Annual net income fell from $1.58B in FY2023 to $655.0M in FY2026 as operating margin contracted to 6.1%.
  • The balance sheet carries net debt of $6.11B and negative shareholders' equity of -$497.0M as of May 31, 2026.

What FedEx Freight does

FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. operates FedEx Freight, one of the leading less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers in North America. LTL carriers transport palletized and other business shipments that are too large for parcel networks but too small to fill an entire truck, consolidating freight from multiple customers onto the same trailer. The company provides priority and economy LTL shipping alongside related freight services to commercial customers. Its operations are backed by a network of service centers, trucks, and trailers throughout North America. The business became an independent publicly traded company following its spin-off from FedEx Corporation on June 1, 2026.

Growth and profitability

The 3-year revenue CAGR was -4.5%, with annual sales decreasing from $10.08B in FY2023 to $9.42B in FY2024, $8.89B in FY2025, and $8.79B in FY2026. Operating margin compressed from 18.8% in FY2023 to 6.1% in FY2026, while annual net income fell from $1.58B to $655.0M over the same period. Gross margin was reported at 100.0% in FY2026 compared to 36.1% in FY2023. For the latest quarter ended May 31, 2026, revenue increased 4.8% year-over-year, but quarterly earnings declined 61.1% year-over-year, contributing to a trailing twelve-month operating margin of -5.8%.

FDXF income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of May 31, 2026, the company held $251.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $6.37B, resulting in net debt of $6.11B. Total assets stood at $6.88B, and shareholders' equity was -$497.0M, reflecting negative equity. The company reported a current ratio of 1.52. In FY2026, operating cash flow dropped to $167.0M, while capital expenditures reached $379.0M, leading to free cash flow of -$212.0M.

FDXF balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

FDXF trades at a trailing P/E of 25.8x, below the 28.5x median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers. Its forward P/E of 22.2x sits above the peer median of 20.1x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 1.9x is lower than the peer median of 3.3x. Enterprise value stands at $23.94B with an EV/EBITDA multiple of 17.2x, compared to the peer median of 17.7x. At the last close of $113.21 on October 16, 2026, the stock trades near its 52-week low of $105.75 and below its 52-week high of $200.00, whereas the S&P 500 benchmark gained 16.8% over the past year.

FDXF key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 6 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings on FDXF, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $146.50 represents a 29.4% premium over the last close of $113.21. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $4.68 and revenue of $9.12B. For the subsequent fiscal year, 4 analysts forecast EPS to rise 11.8% to $5.24 on 2.2% revenue growth to $9.33B. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

FDXF forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A debt load of $6.37B paired with cash reserves of only $251.0M leaves the company with substantial leverage.
  • Revenue has contracted over three consecutive fiscal years, resulting in a 3-year revenue CAGR of -4.5% between FY2023 and FY2026.
  • The trailing twelve-month operating margin sits at -5.8%, following a quarterly earnings contraction of 61.1% in the period ended May 31, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FDXF AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. (FDXF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FDXF income statement, FDXF balance sheet, FDXF key metrics, FDXF analyst forecast, FDXF chart. See the FDXF stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FDXF AI stock analysis FAQ

When did FedEx Freight become an independent company?

FedEx Freight became an independent public company on June 1, 2026, following its spin-off from FedEx Corporation. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker FDXF.

Does FedEx Freight pay a dividend?

FedEx Freight does not currently report a dividend payment.

What is FedEx Freight's debt level?

As of May 31, 2026, the company held total debt of $6.37B and cash and short-term investments of $251.0M, resulting in net debt of $6.11B. Shareholders' equity was -$497.0M.

What are analysts forecasting for FedEx Freight's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $4.68 on revenue of $9.12B. For the following fiscal year, 4 analysts anticipate EPS of $5.24, reflecting an 11.8% growth rate.

When is FedEx Freight's next earnings report?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 29, 2026.

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