Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: EXPDAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

EXPD AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) is a global logistics and supply chain services company providing freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and warehousing. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 32.1% year-over-year while net earnings rose 51.5%. Over the trailing twelve months, EXPD produced $12.04B in revenue with a return on equity of 42.7% and holds $464.2M in net cash.

Market cap
$25.47B
Revenue (TTM)
$12.04B
P/E
28.5x
fwd 24.4x
1Y return
67.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$181.47
-7.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue expanded by 32.1% and earnings grew 51.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company maintains a strong liquidity profile with $464.2M in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27.
  • Expeditors has delivered disciplined capital return, reducing its share count by 22.1% over 5 years while paying dividends for 34 consecutive years.

Bear case

  • The analyst consensus mean price target of $181.47 sits 7.4% below the last close of $195.91.
  • Growth is projected to moderate sharply in the next fiscal year, with revenue growth estimated at just 0.3%.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 24.4x, above the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 20.1x.

What Expeditors does

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. is a global logistics company providing supply chain solutions across the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight and ocean freight forwarding, consolidation, customs brokerage, ground transportation, warehousing, and distribution services. It serves clients across sectors including retail, electronics, technology, and industrial manufacturing. Expeditors also provides cargo insurance, temperature-controlled transit, tracking, trade compliance consulting, and cargo security measures. Operating as a freight consolidator and airline agent, the Seattle-based company focuses on shipment handling and documentation preparation.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue fluctuated significantly, moving from $16.52B in FY2021 to $17.07B in FY2022, before revenue fell 45.5% to $9.30B in FY2023. Revenue subsequently rebounded to $10.60B in FY2024 and $11.07B in FY2025, yielding a 5-year revenue CAGR of 2.9%. Net income stood at $1.42B in FY2021, $1.36B in FY2022, $752.9M in FY2023, $810.1M in FY2024, and $813.8M in FY2025. Operating margin was 9.5% in FY2025 with gross margin at 15.3%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 32.1% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings growth reached 51.5%, supporting trailing twelve month revenue of $12.04B.

EXPD income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.03B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $567.3M, yielding net cash of $464.2M. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.57 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 with shareholders' equity of $2.12B. In FY2025, Expeditors generated $953.4M in free cash flow from operating cash flow of $1.01B. Capital expenditures were $53.1M, while capital return included $667.3M in share buybacks and $207.4M in dividends paid.

EXPD balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Expeditors shares closed at $195.91 on October 16, 2026, representing a 1-year return of 67.4% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY). The company trades at a trailing P/E of 28.5x and a forward P/E of 24.4x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.4x trailing and 20.1x forward. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 19.5x against 17.2x for peers, while price-to-sales is 2.1x versus the peer median of 3.3x. Market capitalization sits at $25.47B.

EXPD key metrics →

EXPD dividend

Expeditors has paid dividends for 34 consecutive years and distributes payments on a Semiannual schedule. Its annualized forward dividend is $1.62 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.83% and a payout ratio of 23.0%. Over the past five years, dividend growth annualized was 8.2%, with the last ex-dividend date on June 1, 2026. In FY2025, total dividends paid were $207.4M.

EXPD dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment includes 3 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 10 Hold, 1 Sell, and 4 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $181.47, which is 7.4% below the last close of $195.91. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $13.24B and EPS of $7.90, reflecting EPS growth of 32.7%. The company has beaten EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date set for November 3, 2026.

EXPD forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Revenue history exhibits sharp cyclical swings, as demonstrated by the 45.5% revenue decline recorded in FY2023.
  • Analyst sentiment is cautious with 10 Hold ratings and 4 Strong Sell ratings alongside a forward PEG ratio of 2.98.
  • Forward revenue growth is projected to decelerate from 32.7% EPS growth in the current fiscal year to 0.3% revenue growth next fiscal year.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this EXPD AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: EXPD income statement, EXPD balance sheet, EXPD key metrics, EXPD analyst forecast, EXPD chart. See the EXPD stock overview for the latest quote and news.

EXPD AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Expeditors' dividend policy and yield?

Expeditors pays a forward annual dividend of $1.62 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 0.83% and a payout ratio of 23.0%. The company has paid dividends for 34 consecutive years on a Semiannual schedule.

How did Expeditors perform in its latest reported quarter?

In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, Expeditors recorded quarterly revenue growth of 32.1% year-over-year and quarterly earnings growth of 51.5%.

What is Expeditors' current debt and cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.03B in cash and short-term investments against $567.3M of total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $464.2M.

What are analysts forecasting for Expeditors' earnings and price target?

Analysts have set a mean price target of $181.47, which is 7.4% below the last close of $195.91, while projecting current fiscal year EPS of $7.90.

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