Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: HUBGAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HUBG AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) is a North American supply chain solutions and logistics management provider. The company generated $3.73B in trailing twelve month revenue with an operating margin of 4.2%, but faces top-line pressure after annual revenue fell 6.1% in FY2024. Over the past year, HUBG stock declined 26.9% while maintaining a dividend yield of 1.89%.

Market cap
$1.62B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.73B
P/E
15.2x
fwd 15.2x
1Y return
-26.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$37.17
40.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Hub Group trades at a discount to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers, with an EV/EBITDA of 6.8x versus 13.9x.
  • Wall Street analysts hold a mean price target of $37.17, implying 40.6% upside from the recent close of $26.43.
  • Earnings momentum showed improvement in the quarter ended September 30, 2025, with quarterly earnings growth of 20.5% year-over-year.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue fell 6.1% to $3.95B in FY2024 following a 21.3% decline in FY2023.
  • The stock has lagged broader markets considerably, declining 26.9% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.
  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float sitting at 10.3%.

What Hub does

Hub Group, Inc. provides comprehensive supply chain solutions, transportation, and logistics management services across North America. Its transportation offerings include intermodal, truckload, less-than-truckload, flatbed, temperature-controlled, dedicated and regional trucking, railcar, small parcel, final mile delivery, and international freight. Logistics capabilities cover outsourced logistics, transportation management, freight consolidation, warehousing, fulfillment, and parcel services. The company also specializes in dry van, expedited, refrigerated, and flatbed truck brokerage. Operating a fleet of approximately 1,000 tractors and 4,600 trailers, Hub Group serves clients primarily in retail, consumer products, and durable goods sectors.

Growth and profitability

Hub Group's revenue peaked at $5.34B in FY2022 before dropping 21.3% to $4.20B in FY2023 and declining 6.1% to $3.95B in FY2024. Operating margin stood at 3.6% in FY2024 with net income of $104.0M, down from $356.9M in FY2022. Across the five-year period from FY2019 to FY2024, revenue grew at a CAGR of 1.5%. In the trailing twelve months ending September 30, 2025, revenue was $3.73B with a net profit margin of 2.8% and EPS of $1.74. For the latest quarter ending September 30, 2025, quarterly revenue declined 5.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 20.5%.

HUBG income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of September 30, 2025, Hub Group held $119.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $498.8M, resulting in net debt of $379.1M. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.47 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 on $1.70B in shareholders' equity. In FY2024, operating cash flow reached $194.4M and free cash flow was $143.6M. Capital allocation in FY2024 included capital expenditures of $50.8M, share buybacks of $79.1M, and dividends paid of $30.2M.

HUBG balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $26.43, Hub Group carries a market capitalization of $1.62B and an enterprise value of $2.29B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 15.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 6.8x, compared to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.4x is also below the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, HUBG shares fell 26.9%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

HUBG key metrics →

HUBG dividend

Hub Group pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.50, representing a dividend yield of 1.89%. The company has paid dividends for 3 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 22.0%. Its most recent ex-dividend date occurred on September 21, 2026.

HUBG dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 7 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $37.17 represents a 40.6% premium over the last close of $26.43. For the next fiscal year, 4 analysts project revenue of $3.73B and EPS of $2.16, representing expected EPS growth of 19.7%. Hub Group beat EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

HUBG forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly revenue contracted 5.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending September 30, 2025, reflecting ongoing top-line weakness.
  • Operating margin remains modest at 4.2% over the trailing twelve months, well below the peer median operating margin of 11.7%.
  • The company carries net debt of $379.1M against cash and short-term investments of $119.7M.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HUBG AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HUBG income statement, HUBG balance sheet, HUBG key metrics, HUBG analyst forecast, HUBG chart. See the HUBG stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HUBG AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Hub Group pay a dividend?

Yes, Hub Group pays a quarterly dividend of $0.50 annually, which represents a 1.89% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 22.0%.

What is Hub Group's debt position?

As of September 30, 2025, Hub Group held $498.8M in total debt and $119.7M in cash and short-term investments, leading to net debt of $379.1M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29.

How has HUBG stock performed compared to the S&P 500?

Over the past 1 year, HUBG fell 26.9% while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, HUBG dropped 24.8% compared to an 83.0% gain for the index.

What do analysts expect for Hub Group's next fiscal year?

Analysts project next fiscal year revenue of $3.73B and EPS of $2.16, which represents an estimated EPS growth of 19.7%.

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