C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) AI Stock Analysis
CHRW AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) provides freight transportation and logistics solutions across North America and globally. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $17.00B in revenue with an operating margin of 5.3% and EPS of $5.24. While annual revenue fell 8.4% in FY2025, the latest quarter saw revenue grow 19.3% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $16.27B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $17.00B
- P/E
- 26.6x fwd 21.5x
- 1Y return
- 12.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $192.13 37.7% vs last close
Bull case
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 19.3% and earnings climbed 23.8% year-over-year.
- Analysts project current fiscal year EPS to grow 23.9% to $6.31, supported by 4 consecutive quarterly earnings beats.
- C.H. Robinson generated $894.9M in free cash flow in FY2025, funding $354.7M in share repurchases and $301.4M in dividends.
Bear case
- Annual revenue declined 8.4% in FY2025 to $16.23B, and the 5-year revenue CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025 is flat at 0.0%.
- C.H. Robinson held $1.82B in net debt as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.21.
- The stock has underperformed the broader market, returning 12.4% over the past year compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.
What C.H. Robinson does
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is a global provider of freight transportation services and logistics solutions, operating through two main segments: North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. Its offerings include truckload and less-than-truckload brokerage, intermodal transport, non-vessel ocean common carrier services, air freight forwarding, customs brokerage, managed warehousing, and small parcel logistics. Supported by a network of approximately 85,000 transportation providers such as motor carriers, railroads, air, and ocean carriers, the company delivers end-to-end supply chain management. In addition, its Robinson Fresh brand buys, sells, and markets fresh produce to grocery retailers, restaurants, wholesalers, and foodservice distributors.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, C.H. Robinson saw its revenue fluctuate, reaching $24.70B in FY2022 before dropping 28.7% to $17.60B in FY2023. Revenue edged up 0.7% to $17.72B in FY2024 but fell 8.4% to $16.23B in FY2025, resulting in a 5-year revenue CAGR of 0.0%. Net income climbed from $325.1M in FY2023 to $587.1M in FY2025, with net margin improving to 3.6% and gross margin reaching 8.4%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $17.00B with an operating margin of 5.3%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 19.3% and earnings surged 23.8% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, C.H. Robinson held $154.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.97B, resulting in net debt of $1.82B. Shareholders' equity was $1.63B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.21, while the current ratio was 1.58. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $914.5M and free cash flow was $894.9M. Cash deployment included $19.6M for capital expenditures, $354.7M for share buybacks, and $301.4M for dividends, contributing to a 5-year share count reduction of 9.7%.
Valuation and performance
At $139.49, C.H. Robinson trades at a trailing P/E of 26.6x and a forward P/E of 21.5x, compared to medians of 28.5x and 20.1x for its S&P 500 Industrials peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 20.7x sits above the peer median of 17.2x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 1.0x is well below the peer median of 3.3x. Over the past year, the stock returned 12.4%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, CHRW returned 65.1%, lagging the index gain of 83.0%.
CHRW dividend
C.H. Robinson pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $2.52 per share, offering a 1.81% yield. The company has paid dividends for 30 consecutive years, achieving a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 4.1%. The dividend is supported by a 45.1% payout ratio, with the latest ex-dividend date on September 4, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on CHRW comprises 14 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings, with no Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $192.13, indicating an upside of 37.7% from the last close of $139.49. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS to rise 23.9% to $6.31 on revenue of $18.41B. The company beat EPS consensus in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 28, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin of 5.3% is considerably below the median of 17.9% for S&P 500 Industrials peers.
- Cash and short-term investments of $154.6M provide limited liquidity relative to $1.97B in total debt.
- The stock trades 17.9% below its 200-day moving average and is down 12.3% year-to-date.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CHRW AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CHRW income statement, CHRW balance sheet, CHRW key metrics, CHRW analyst forecast, CHRW chart. See the CHRW stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CHRW AI stock analysis FAQ
What is C.H. Robinson's dividend yield and payout track record?
CHRW offers an annual forward dividend of $2.52 per share, representing a 1.81% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 30 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 45.1%.
When will C.H. Robinson report its next quarterly earnings?
C.H. Robinson is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 28, 2026. The company has beaten EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters.
How are analysts rating CHRW stock?
Wall Street analysts maintain 14 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings on CHRW, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $192.13, which is 37.7% above its last close of $139.49.
What are the growth expectations for C.H. Robinson in FY2026 and FY2027?
For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $18.41B and EPS of $6.31, representing 23.9% earnings growth. For the next fiscal year, analysts expect revenue to reach $19.68B and EPS to reach $7.50, representing 18.9% earnings growth.