Saia, Inc. (SAIA) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: SAIAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SAIA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Saia, Inc. is a North American transportation provider specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) shipping with a fleet of approximately 5,600 tractors and 19,300 trailers. The company generated $3.39B in trailing twelve month revenue and delivered 17.1% quarterly revenue growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. Saia maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10, though its forward P/E of 41.2x trades at a premium to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers.

Market cap
$8.91B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.39B
P/E
32.3x
fwd 41.2x
1Y return
10.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$420.29
25.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 17.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, while quarterly earnings surged 31.5%.
  • The analyst mean price target of $420.29 implies an upside of 25.5% compared to the last close of $335.00.
  • Saia maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 with total debt of $269.2M relative to $2.73B in shareholders' equity.

Bear case

  • Saia trades at a forward P/E of 41.2x and EV to EBITDA of 21.1x, well above the US-listed Industrials medians of 17.2x and 13.9x.
  • The stock is down 13.9% relative to its 200-day average and has returned 10.1% over the past year compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.
  • Free cash flow declined significantly to $27.3M in FY2025 and was -$459.9M in FY2024 amid $567.6M in FY2025 capital expenditures.

What Saia does

Saia, Inc., based in Johns Creek, Georgia, operates across North America through its subsidiaries, specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) services for shipments ranging from 400 to 10,000 pounds. The company also provides non-asset truckload services, expedited shipping options, and comprehensive logistics solutions. Saia operates 176 facilities across owned and leased locations to optimize operational efficiency and customer service. Its fleet includes approximately 5,600 tractors and 19,300 trailers, serving a diverse clientele with varying freight requirements across North America.

Growth and profitability

Saia grew annual revenue from $2.29B in FY2021 to $2.79B in FY2022, $2.88B in FY2023, and $3.21B in FY2024, reaching $3.23B in FY2025, which reflects a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.2%. Revenue growth moderated to 0.8% in FY2025 from 11.4% in FY2024, while net margin fell to 7.9% from 11.3%, with net income of $255.0M and EPS of $9.11. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $3.39B with an operating margin of 13.1% and net profit margin of 8.2%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 17.1% and quarterly earnings growth was 31.5%.

SAIA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Saia held cash and short-term investments of $84.0M against total debt of $269.2M, resulting in net debt of $185.2M. Shareholders' equity was $2.73B and total assets were $3.72B, supporting a current ratio of 1.58 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10. For FY2025, operating cash flow reached $595.0M and free cash flow was $27.3M. The company directed capital toward $567.6M in capital expenditures and $8.7M in share buybacks.

SAIA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Saia trades at a trailing P/E of 32.3x and a forward P/E of 41.2x, higher than the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value stands at $12.70B with an EV to EBITDA ratio of 21.1x, above the peer median of 13.9x, and a price-to-sales multiple of 2.6x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, Saia delivered a return of 10.1%, below the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and its 5-year return of 28.1% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

SAIA key metrics →

What analysts expect

Saia carries 11 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell analyst ratings. The mean price target is $420.29, representing an upside of 25.5% versus the last close of $335.00. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $3.64B and EPS of $11.37, indicating EPS growth of 24.8%. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

SAIA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A beta of 2.19 indicates heightened share price volatility relative to the broader equity market.
  • Annual revenue growth slowed from 11.4% in FY2024 to 0.8% in FY2025, while operating margin compressed from 15.0% to 10.9%.
  • High capital expenditures of $567.6M in FY2025 left free cash flow at $27.3M, following -$459.9M in FY2024.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SAIA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Saia, Inc. (SAIA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SAIA income statement, SAIA balance sheet, SAIA key metrics, SAIA analyst forecast, SAIA chart. See the SAIA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SAIA AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Saia's primary business?

Saia, Inc. is a North American transportation company specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) shipments between 400 and 10,000 pounds. It operates 176 facilities with approximately 5,600 tractors and 19,300 trailers.

Does Saia pay a dividend?

No dividend data is reported for Saia, as the company reinvests cash flow into capital expenditures such as $567.6M spent in FY2025.

What are analysts' growth expectations for Saia?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.64B and EPS of $11.37, representing EPS growth of 24.8%.

How does Saia's valuation compare to its industry peers?

Saia trades at a trailing P/E of 32.3x and an EV to EBITDA of 21.1x, above the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x.

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