Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ODFLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ODFL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) is a North American provider of less-than-truckload transportation services operating 251 service centers. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $5.60B in revenue with an operating margin of 28.8% and net income of $1.02B in FY2025. It maintains a virtually debt-free balance sheet with $263.9M in net cash and generated $955.1M in free cash flow in FY2025.

Market cap
$39.04B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.60B
P/E
36.1x
fwd 27.3x
1Y return
36.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$221.14
17.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings growth rebounded significantly in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, expanding 32.3% year-over-year alongside 10.4% quarterly revenue growth.
  • The company retains high profitability with an operating margin of 28.8% for the trailing twelve months, well above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 20.9%.
  • Old Dominion Freight Line maintains a strong financial cushion with $263.9M in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue experienced three consecutive years of contraction from FY2023 through FY2025, falling 5.5% in FY2025 to $5.50B.
  • The stock trades at a valuation premium with a trailing P/E of 36.1x compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 28.5x.
  • Over a 5-year timeframe, the stock's return of 27.4% substantially trailed the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 83.0%.

What Old Dominion does

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is a provider of less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation services across the United States and North America. The company specializes in regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services. It also offers value-added logistics solutions, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. Old Dominion Freight Line operates a fleet consisting of 10,403 tractors, 27,917 linehaul trailers, and 13,303 pickup and delivery trailers. Its operational footprint includes 251 service centers and three fleet maintenance centers. Founded in 1934 and headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina, the company employs 20,173 people.

Growth and profitability

Old Dominion Freight Line grew revenue from $5.26B in FY2021 to a peak of $6.26B in FY2022, when revenue growth reached 19.1% and operating margin hit 29.4%. Revenue subsequently contracted by 6.3% in FY2023 to $5.87B, fell 0.9% in FY2024 to $5.81B, and fell 5.5% in FY2025 to $5.50B. Across this timeframe, net income shifted from $1.03B in FY2021 to $1.38B in FY2022, before moderating to $1.19B in FY2024 and $1.02B in FY2025, yielding a net margin of 18.6%. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a compound annual growth rate of 6.5%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 10.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 32.3%.

ODFL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Old Dominion Freight Line held $283.9M in cash and short-term investments against $20.0M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $263.9M. The company reported a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 and a current ratio of 1.89, supported by $4.55B in shareholders' equity and $5.74B in total assets. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.37B and free cash flow was $955.1M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $415.0M for capital expenditures, $730.3M for share buybacks, and $235.6M in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -9.8%.

ODFL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $187.72, Old Dominion Freight Line has a market capitalization of $39.04B and an enterprise value of $36.59B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 36.1x and a forward multiple of 27.3x, compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 28.5x trailing and 22.2x forward. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 6.9x versus the peer median of 6.1x, while its EV-to-EBITDA ratio is 20.3x versus the peer median of 19.9x. The stock returned 36.8% over the past year, exceeding the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 27.4% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

ODFL key metrics →

ODFL dividend

Old Dominion Freight Line pays an annualized forward dividend of $1.16 per share, providing a dividend yield of 0.62%. The company has paid dividends for 10 consecutive years and holds a payout ratio of 22.2%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 30.0%. The last ex-dividend date was September 2, 2026.

ODFL dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts coverage consists of 8 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 14 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $221.14, representing an implied upside of 17.8% from the last close of $187.72. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $5.96B and EPS of $5.86, representing EPS growth of 21.1%. For the following year, 20 analysts estimate revenue of $6.45B and EPS of $6.69. Old Dominion Freight Line beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 28, 2026.

ODFL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin declined from 29.4% in FY2022 to 24.8% in FY2025, highlighting vulnerability to cyclical freight conditions.
  • The stock carries elevated market volatility with a beta of 1.20 and traded 6.4% below its 200-day moving average as of October 16, 2026.
  • Valuation metrics are elevated relative to historical revenue trends, as reflected by a PEG ratio of 2.16.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ODFL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ODFL income statement, ODFL balance sheet, ODFL key metrics, ODFL analyst forecast, ODFL chart. See the ODFL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ODFL AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Old Dominion Freight Line's core business?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. provides less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation services regionally, inter-regionally, and nationally across North America. It also offers supply chain consulting, container drayage, and truckload brokerage, supported by 251 service centers and 10,403 tractors.

Does Old Dominion Freight Line pay a dividend?

Yes, Old Dominion Freight Line pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.16 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.62%. The company has paid dividends for 10 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 22.2%.

What do analysts expect for ODFL's future earnings?

Analysts estimate EPS of $5.86 on revenue of $5.96B for FY2026, representing 21.1% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, consensus estimates forecast EPS of $6.69 on revenue of $6.45B.

How strong is Old Dominion Freight Line's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $283.9M in cash and short-term investments against $20.0M in total debt, creating a net cash position of $263.9M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00.

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