Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MRTNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MRTN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Marten Transport, Ltd. is a temperature-sensitive truckload transportation and logistics provider across North America. The company generated $857.6M in trailing twelve-month revenue, though annual revenue contracted from $1.26B in FY2022 to $883.7M in FY2025. It maintains a strong balance sheet with $103.6M in net cash and pays a dividend yielding 1.87%.

Market cap
$1.05B
Revenue (TTM)
$857.6M
P/E
85.6x
fwd 17.6x
1Y return
20.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$17.00
32.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Marten Transport possesses a liquid balance sheet with $103.6M in net cash and minimal total debt of $358,000 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Analysts project next fiscal year EPS growth of 144.9% to $0.60 alongside 9.6% revenue growth to $981.5M.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 9.0x, which is lower than the US-listed Industrials peer median of 13.9x.

Bear case

  • Annual net income has contracted sharply from $110.4M in FY2022 to $17.4M in FY2025, leaving trailing net margin at 1.5%.
  • Free cash flow remained negative in three consecutive years, including -$51.1M in FY2025 and -$98.4M in FY2024.
  • The company's dividend payout ratio is elevated at 141.2%, following a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of -17.6%.

What Marten Transport does

Headquartered in Mondovi, Wisconsin, Marten Transport, Ltd. provides temperature-sensitive truckload transportation services across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company operates through four segments: Truckload, Dedicated, Intermodal, and Brokerage. Its Truckload operations transport commodities requiring temperature-controlled or insulated conditions. The Dedicated segment provides customized solutions using specialized equipment such as temperature-controlled trailers and dry vans. The Intermodal segment utilizes refrigerated containers and trailers on railroad flatcars, supported by tractors and contracted carriers. Marten Transport also manages a Brokerage segment contracting third-party carriers, and operated a fleet of 3,204 tractors as of December 31, 2021.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew 29.8% in FY2022 to peak at $1.26B, with net income reaching $110.4M and operating margin at 11.3%. However, business contracted over the following three years. In FY2023, revenue fell 10.5% to $1.13B, followed by a 14.8% drop in FY2024 to $963.7M. In FY2025, revenue declined 8.3% to $883.7M as net income fell to $17.4M and operating margin shrank to 1.2%. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue CAGR was 0.2%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 2.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 25.8%, resulting in trailing twelve-month EPS of $0.15.

MRTN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Marten Transport held $104.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $358,000, yielding a net cash balance of $103.6M. The company reported a current ratio of 2.50, debt-to-equity of 0.00, and shareholders' equity of $766.0M out of $955.5M in total assets. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $93.5M, while capital expenditures were $144.6M, resulting in free cash flow of -$51.1M. Marten paid $14.7M in dividends in FY2025.

MRTN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $12.84, Marten Transport has a market cap of $1.05B and an enterprise value of $970.0M. Its trailing P/E of 85.6x stands well above the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers, while its forward P/E of 17.6x is closer to the peer median of 17.2x. The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 9.0x compared to the peer median of 13.9x. Over the past year, Marten shares rose 20.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -11.5% trails the SPY return of 83.0%.

MRTN key metrics →

MRTN dividend

Marten Transport pays an annual forward dividend of $0.24 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 1.87% based on its $12.84 stock price. Dividends are distributed quarterly, with 17 consecutive years paid. The trailing payout ratio stands elevated at 141.2%, and the 5-year annualized dividend growth rate was -17.6%. Its last ex-dividend date was September 16, 2026.

MRTN dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts track Marten Transport with 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 2 Hold, and no Sell ratings. The mean price target is $17.00, representing a 32.4% upside from the last closing price of $12.84. For FY2026 ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.24 on revenue of $895.9M. For the next fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $0.60 on revenue of $981.5M. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 22, 2026.

MRTN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly revenue fell 2.8% and quarterly earnings declined 25.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The trailing P/E multiple is elevated at 85.6x compared to the US-listed Industrials peer median of 24.8x.
  • Annual capital expenditures of $144.6M in FY2025 exceeded operating cash flow of $93.5M, putting pressure on free cash flow generation.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MRTN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MRTN income statement, MRTN balance sheet, MRTN key metrics, MRTN analyst forecast, MRTN chart. See the MRTN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MRTN AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Marten Transport pay a dividend?

Yes, Marten Transport pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.24 per share annually, which equals a dividend yield of 1.87%. The company has paid dividends for 17 consecutive years, though its trailing payout ratio stands at 141.2%.

What is Marten Transport's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Marten Transport carried total debt of $358,000 against $104.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net cash of $103.6M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00.

When is Marten Transport's next earnings report?

Marten Transport is scheduled to report earnings on October 22, 2026. In the prior quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 2.8% year-over-year.

What do analysts project for MRTN stock?

Analysts have a mean price target of $17.00, which is 32.4% above its closing price of $12.84. Estimates call for EPS of $0.24 in FY2026 and $0.60 in the following fiscal year.

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