Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: RPTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

RPT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) is an externally managed mortgage real estate investment trust focused on residential and commercial real estate investments. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $21.5M in revenue with an operating margin of 31.4%. The company carries $632.5M in total debt against an equity base of $285.3M while paying a 13.81% forward dividend yield.

Market cap
$81.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$21.5M
P/E
—
fwd 50.8x
1Y return
-20.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$22.00
110.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Wall Street analysts maintain 3 Strong Buy ratings with a mean price target of $22.00, representing 110.9% upside from the recent close of $10.43.
  • The stock offers an annual forward dividend yield of 13.81% with an annual dividend of $1.44 per share.
  • Shares trade at a price-to-book ratio of 0.4x, well below the company's book value of $285.3M in shareholders' equity.

Bear case

  • The company holds $632.5M in total debt against $67.1M in cash, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.22 and a current ratio of 0.22.
  • Operating cash flow and free cash flow remained negative in FY2025 at -$4.5M, while the dividend payout ratio is 360.0%.
  • Over the past five years, the share price declined 76.5% while the annualized five-year dividend growth dropped 25.6%.

What Rithm Property does

Rithm Property Trust Inc., formerly known as Great Ajax Corp., is an externally managed real estate investment trust headquartered in New York. The company invests in commercial real estate and operates two segments: Residential and Commercial. The Residential segment manages residential mortgage assets, including whole loans, residential mortgage-backed securities, and beneficial interests. The Commercial segment focuses on originating, acquiring, and managing commercial mortgage-backed securities, commercial real property, and commercial mortgage loans. The firm operates across several states, including California, Florida, New York, Texas, and internationally, and is taxed as a REIT under U.S. federal tax laws.

Growth and profitability

Revenue has fluctuated significantly, moving from $75.8M in FY2021 and $217.7M in FY2022 to -$16.9M in FY2023, before rebounding to $47.2M in FY2024 and $50.1M in FY2025. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue grew at a CAGR of 11.9%. Net income stood at $1.5M in FY2025 with an EPS of -$0.05, compared to net income of -$91.8M and EPS of -$3.90 in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $21.5M with a profit margin of 13.9% and an EPS of -$0.27. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 9.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 12.5%.

RPT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, RPT held $67.1M in cash and short-term investments against $632.5M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $565.4M. Shareholders' equity was $285.3M out of $928.7M in total assets, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.22 and a current ratio of 0.22. Operating cash flow and free cash flow were both -$4.5M in FY2025. In FY2025, cash deployment included $11.0M in dividends paid, while share issuance contributed $50.7M.

RPT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

RPT closed at $10.43 on October 16, 2026, with a market capitalization of $81.1M and an enterprise value of $697.2M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 50.8x, compared to the median of 23.5x for its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.8x, close to the peer median of 3.7x, while its EV/EBITDA is 16.8x versus the peer median of 14.7x. The company trades at a price-to-book multiple of 0.4x. Over the past year, the stock fell 20.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%, and is down 76.5% over five years.

RPT key metrics →

RPT dividend

RPT pays a quarterly dividend, supported by 12 consecutive years of payments. The forward annual dividend is $1.44 per share, representing a dividend yield of 13.81% and a payout ratio of 360.0%. Over the trailing five years, the dividend has declined at an annualized rate of 25.6%. The last ex-dividend date occurred on July 7, 2026.

RPT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy ratings, with 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $22.00, representing an upside of 110.9% from the last close of $10.43. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.21, reflecting projected earnings growth of 637.5%. For the next fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $1.14. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 21, 2026.

RPT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A low current ratio of 0.22 combined with net debt of $565.4M poses short-term liquidity challenges.
  • The dividend payout ratio of 360.0% is elevated given negative free cash flow of -$4.5M in FY2025.
  • Earnings reliability is limited, with the company beating analyst EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • The company has a high market sensitivity with a beta of 1.24 and its shares sit 21.9% below their 200-day moving average.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this RPT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: RPT income statement, RPT balance sheet, RPT key metrics, RPT analyst forecast, RPT chart. See the RPT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

RPT AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does RPT pay?

RPT pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.44 per share on an annualized basis, yielding 13.81%. The stock had an ex-dividend date of July 7, 2026, and a payout ratio of 360.0%.

What is the analyst outlook for RPT stock?

All 3 analysts covering the stock rate it a Strong Buy, with an average price target of $22.00. That target indicates a 110.9% gain relative to the closing price of $10.43.

How does RPT's valuation compare to other real estate stocks?

RPT trades at a forward P/E of 50.8x and EV/EBITDA of 16.8x, compared to medians of 23.5x and 14.7x, respectively, for its US-listed Real Estate peers. However, its price-to-book ratio is 0.4x.

When is RPT's next earnings report?

RPT is scheduled to report its next financial results on October 21, 2026.

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