The Real Good Food Company, Inc. (RGFC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: RGFCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

RGFC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

The Real Good Food Company, Inc. (RGFC) is a health and wellness focused frozen food company producing high-protein, low-sugar packaged meals. Revenue reached $156.4M for the trailing twelve months, supported by quarterly revenue growth of 48.0% for the quarter ended September 30, 2023. However, the company faces severe balance sheet pressure with total debt of $143.6M against cash and short-term investments of $78,000.

Market cap
$9.3M
Revenue (TTM)
$156.4M
P/E
—
1Y return
757.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
—

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded at a 3-year CAGR of 54.0% from FY2019 to FY2022, reaching $141.6M.
  • Quarterly revenue growth reached 48.0% year-over-year for the quarter ended September 30, 2023, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $156.4M.
  • The stock achieved a 1-year return of 757.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

Bear case

  • The company faces severe liquidity strain with only $78,000 in cash and short-term investments against $143.6M in total debt as of September 30, 2023.
  • Operating cash flow reached -$57.3M and free cash flow was -$61.0M in FY2022.
  • Profitability remains negative, reflected in a trailing twelve-month operating margin of -16.0% and trailing twelve-month EPS of -$2648.57.

What Real Good Food does

The Real Good Food Company, Inc., through its subsidiary, operates as a health and wellness focused frozen food company in the United States. Founded in 2016 and based in Cherry Hill, New Jersey, the company develops, manufactures, and markets foods designed to be high in protein, low in sugar, and made from gluten- and grain-free ingredients. Its comfort food offerings include bacon wrapped stuffed chicken, chicken enchiladas, grain-free cheesy bread breakfast sandwiches, and entrée bowls under the Realgood Foods Co. brand name, alongside private-label products. Products are sold through natural and conventional grocery, drug, club, and mass merchandise stores, as well as e-commerce channels.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue expanded from $38.7M in FY2019 to $39.0M in FY2020, $84.1M in FY2021, and $141.6M in FY2022, representing a 3-year revenue CAGR of 54.0%. Annual revenue growth was 0.6% in FY2020, 115.7% in FY2021, and 68.4% in FY2022. Operating margins remained negative across all reported years, recording -22.6% in FY2019, -25.3% in FY2020, -63.2% in FY2021, and -27.1% in FY2022. Net income was -$19.5M in FY2019, -$15.6M in FY2020, -$30.6M in FY2021, and -$11.0M in FY2022. For the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2023, revenue stood at $156.4M with quarterly revenue growth of 48.0%, an operating margin of -16.0%, and a profit margin of -9.7%.

RGFC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of September 30, 2023, The Real Good Food Company held $78,000 in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $143.6M, resulting in net debt of $143.5M. Total assets stood at $151.7M and shareholders' equity was $28.6M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.02 and a current ratio of 1.56. Operating cash flow in FY2022 was -$57.3M and free cash flow was -$61.0M, following capital expenditures of $3.7M.

RGFC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

RGFC carries a market capitalization of $9.3M and an enterprise value of $527,700, trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.1x and an EV to revenue multiple of 0.9x. In comparison, the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers features a price-to-sales multiple of 0.7x and an EV to EBITDA multiple of 11.7x. The company's price-to-book multiple is 0.0x. Over the past year, RGFC delivered a return of 757.1% and a year-to-date return of 566.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) one-year return of 16.8%.

RGFC key metrics →

What analysts expect

In terms of quarterly earnings performance, The Real Good Food Company recorded 1 EPS beat over the last 4 quarters. The company posted an EPS of -$3.75 in FY2022 and an EPS of -$1.43 in FY2021, while trailing twelve-month EPS stood at -$2648.57 as of September 30, 2023. Consensus price targets, detailed analyst ratings distributions, and upcoming earnings announcement dates are not available in current reporting records.

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $143.5M and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.02 create elevated financial leverage risk.
  • Cash and short-term investments of $78,000 provide minimal liquidity cushion against annual free cash flow of -$61.0M.
  • Extreme share price volatility is evident with a 52-week low of $0.05, a 52-week high of $0.84, and a beta of -93.13.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this RGFC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of The Real Good Food Company, Inc. (RGFC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: RGFC income statement, RGFC balance sheet, RGFC key metrics, RGFC chart. See the RGFC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

RGFC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is RGFC's current market capitalization and enterprise value?

The Real Good Food Company has a market capitalization of $9.3M and an enterprise value of $527,700 based on a share price of $0.60 as of October 16, 2026.

How much debt does The Real Good Food Company carry?

As of September 30, 2023, the company reported total debt of $143.6M and net debt of $143.5M, alongside a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.02.

What was RGFC's revenue growth rate?

The company achieved a 3-year revenue CAGR of 54.0% from FY2019 to FY2022, and delivered quarterly revenue growth of 48.0% for the period ended September 30, 2023.

Does The Real Good Food Company pay a dividend?

No, The Real Good Food Company does not pay a dividend.

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