Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) AI Stock Analysis
HRL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHormel Foods Corporation is a global food processor known for brands such as SPAM, SKIPPY, and Jennie-O. The company generated $12.15B in trailing twelve-month revenue, though net margin softened to 2.8% and operating margin sat at 8.6%. With shares down 9.3% over the past year, HRL offers a 5.74% forward dividend yield alongside an 81.8% payout ratio.
- Market cap
- $11.23B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.15B
- P/E
- 32.9x fwd 12.9x
- 1Y return
- -9.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $25.31 24.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts project current fiscal year EPS to increase 8.3% to $1.48, supported by 4 consecutive quarters of earnings beats.
- Hormel offers a 5.74% forward dividend yield with a 42-year track record of consecutive dividend payments.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 12.9x, below the median of 15.3x for its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 67.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended July 31, 2026.
- FY2025 net income of $478.2M fell significantly from $1000.0M achieved in FY2022.
- Long-term share price performance has lagged the market, with a 5-year return of -42.8% compared to 83.0% for the SPY.
What Hormel does
Established in 1891 and headquartered in Austin, Minnesota, Hormel Foods Corporation processes and distributes meat, nuts, and food products globally. The company operates through four segments: Grocery Products, Refrigerated Foods, Jennie-O Turkey Store, and International & Other. Its shelf-stable offerings include canned luncheon meats, nut butters, snack nuts, chilies, and microwaveable meals, while refrigerated lines supply fresh meats, sausages, hams, bacons, and guacamoles across retail, foodservice, and deli channels. Jennie-O Turkey Store delivers branded and unbranded poultry products. Hormel markets its goods under well-known labels such as SKIPPY, SPAM, Hormel, Natural Choice, Applegate, Jennie-O, and Justin's.
Growth and profitability
Hormel's revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 4.7% from FY2020 to FY2025, reaching $12.11B in FY2025 with 1.6% growth. However, operating margin narrowed from 10.5% in FY2022 to 5.9% in FY2025, while net income dropped to $478.2M with a 4.0% net margin. Trailing twelve-month revenue stood at $12.15B, but the quarter ended July 31, 2026, saw quarterly revenue decline 2.4% year-over-year. Quarterly earnings for that period fell 67.2% year-over-year, leaving trailing twelve-month EPS at $0.62 and trailing twelve-month operating margin at 8.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Hormel held $868.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.86B, resulting in net debt of $1.99B. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.88 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, supported by $7.84B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $845.3M and free cash flow was $534.3M. Capital expenditures totaled $310.9M, while dividends paid consumed $633.2M.
Valuation and performance
At $20.40, Hormel trades at a trailing P/E of 32.9x, which is higher than the 23.3x median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers. However, its forward P/E of 12.9x is lower than the peer median of 15.3x, and its enterprise value-to-revenue ratio stands at 1.1x. Over the past year, Hormel shares fell 9.3%, compared to a 16.8% return for the SPY. Over a 5-year span, the stock has dropped 42.8%, trailing the SPY return of 83.0%.
HRL dividend
Hormel pays an annual forward dividend of $1.17 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 5.74%. The company has distributed dividends for 42 consecutive years and generated a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 4.5%. Distributions are paid quarterly, with an 81.8% payout ratio and the most recent ex-dividend date on October 13, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 2 Buys, and 7 Holds, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $25.31, implying a 24.1% upside compared to the last close of $20.40. For the current fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $12.13B and EPS of $1.48, representing 8.3% EPS growth. Hormel has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for December 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Dividends paid in FY2025 of $633.2M exceeded full-year free cash flow of $534.3M, elevating the payout ratio to 81.8%.
- Operating margins dropped from 10.5% in FY2022 to 5.9% in FY2025, highlighting profitability pressures.
- Quarterly revenue contracted 2.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter, lagging the peer median revenue growth of 5.2%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HRL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HRL income statement, HRL balance sheet, HRL key metrics, HRL analyst forecast, HRL chart. See the HRL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HRL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Hormel's current dividend yield and payment schedule?
Hormel pays an annual forward dividend of $1.17 per share, which equals a 5.74% yield. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency and have been paid for 42 consecutive years.
How much debt does Hormel carry?
As of July 31, 2026, Hormel had total debt of $2.86B and cash and short-term investments of $868.4M, resulting in net debt of $1.99B. Its debt-to-equity ratio sits at 0.36.
When does Hormel report its next earnings?
Hormel is scheduled to release its next earnings report on December 3, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.48.
What are Wall Street analysts' price targets for HRL?
The mean analyst price target for Hormel is $25.31, representing a 24.1% premium to its last close of $20.40. Across 10 ratings, 3 analysts rate the stock a Buy or Strong Buy, and 7 rate it a Hold.