Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) AI Stock Analysis
INGR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchIngredion Incorporated (INGR) is a global manufacturer of starches, sweeteners, and nutrition ingredients serving diverse food and industrial end markets. The company generated $7.22B in revenue with an operating margin of 14.4% in FY2025, supported by expanding gross margins. Shares trade at a trailing P/E of 10.7x alongside a forward dividend yield of 3.39%.
- Market cap
- $6.18B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $7.22B
- P/E
- 10.7x fwd 8.4x
- 1Y return
- -16.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $119.50 22.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Ingredion's gross margin expanded from 19.3% in FY2021 to 25.3% in FY2025, lifting net income to $729.0M.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.4x and an EV to EBITDA of 6.2x, below the US-listed Consumer Defensive peer medians of 14.3x and 11.7x.
- The balance sheet is supported by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39, a current ratio of 2.80, and $511.0M in FY2025 free cash flow.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 40.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Annual revenue has declined for two consecutive years, dropping 8.9% in FY2024 and 2.8% in FY2025.
- The company has beaten EPS consensus estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
What Ingredion does
Established in 1906 and headquartered in Westchester, Illinois, Ingredion Incorporated produces and distributes starches and sweeteners globally. It operates through four regional segments: North America, South America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe, Middle East and Africa. Its product line encompasses sweetener solutions like glucose syrups, high maltose syrups, high fructose corn syrups, dextrose, polyols, and glucose syrup solids. It also manufactures food-grade and industrial starches, biomaterials, and nutrition ingredients derived from corn, tapioca, potato, and rice. Additionally, the company supplies edible and refined corn oil used in cooking oils, margarine, salad dressings, and mayonnaise across the food, beverage, brewing, and animal nutrition sectors.
Growth and profitability
Ingredion's revenue grew from $6.89B in FY2021 to a peak of $8.16B in FY2023 before contracting to $7.43B in FY2024 and $7.22B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.8%. Despite a 2.8% revenue decline in FY2025, profitability improved as gross margin expanded to 25.3% and operating margin rose to 14.4%, up from 4.5% in FY2021. Net income reached $729.0M in FY2025 with an EPS of $11.12. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $7.22B with an operating margin of 12.6%. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 0.9% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 40.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Ingredion held $952.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.78B, resulting in net debt of $831.0M. Total assets stood at $8.07B against shareholders' equity of $4.52B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 and a current ratio of 2.80. In FY2025, the company generated operating cash flow of $944.0M and free cash flow of $511.0M. Capital expenditures were $433.0M, while capital return to shareholders included $224.0M in share buybacks and $211.0M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $97.93, Ingredion has a market capitalization of $6.18B and an enterprise value of $6.94B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 10.7x and a forward P/E of 8.4x, below the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers of 18.6x and 14.3x, respectively. Its EV to EBITDA ratio of 6.2x is also lower than the peer group median of 11.7x, while its price-to-sales of 0.9x is slightly above the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, INGR returned -16.1%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
INGR dividend
Ingredion has paid dividends for 29 consecutive years. It pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $3.32, equating to a 3.39% dividend yield at its last close of $97.93. The dividend payout ratio is 31.5%, and its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is 4.9%. The most recent ex-dividend date was October 1, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $119.50 represents an upside of 22.0% over the last close of $97.93. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $7.20B and EPS of $10.50, representing a 5.7% decline in earnings. For the following fiscal year, 7 analysts project revenue of $7.34B and EPS of $11.25. Over the last four quarters, Ingredion exceeded EPS estimates once. The next earnings date is November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest stands at 8.6% of float following a 1-year share return of -16.1%.
- Current fiscal year consensus estimates project an EPS decline of 5.7% to $10.50.
- A 40.5% contraction in quarterly earnings growth year-over-year signals potential profit volatility.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this INGR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Ingredion Incorporated (INGR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: INGR income statement, INGR balance sheet, INGR key metrics, INGR analyst forecast, INGR chart. See the INGR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
INGR AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Ingredion's dividend yield and payout history?
Ingredion offers a forward dividend yield of 3.39% based on an annual dividend of $3.32 per share. The company has paid dividends for 29 consecutive years and carries a payout ratio of 31.5%.
How does Ingredion's valuation compare to sector peers?
INGR trades at a trailing P/E of 10.7x and an EV to EBITDA of 6.2x. Both multiples are lower than the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers, which stand at 18.6x and 11.7x, respectively.
What are analysts' price targets for INGR stock?
The mean analyst price target is $119.50, which sits 22.0% above the last close of $97.93. Analyst recommendations consist of 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 5 Holds.
When is Ingredion's next earnings report?
Ingredion is scheduled to release its next earnings report on November 3, 2026.