The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) AI Stock Analysis
KHC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchThe Kraft Heinz Company is a global packaged food and beverage manufacturer. The business generates strong free cash flow of $3.66B in FY2025 despite revenue declining to $24.94B and net income dropping to -$5.85B. It carries $19.00B in total debt while offering an annual dividend yield of 6.76%.
- Market cap
- $28.08B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $24.90B
- P/E
- — fwd 11.1x
- 1Y return
- 0.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $24.75 4.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Kraft Heinz generated $3.66B of free cash flow in FY2025, easily funding its $1.90B in annual dividend payments.
- The stock offers an attractive 6.76% dividend yield supported by a 66.1% payout ratio.
- Shares trade at a forward P/E of 11.1x, representing a discount to the S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peer median of 15.3x.
Bear case
- Net income dropped to -$5.85B in FY2025, leading to a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -13.6%.
- Top-line growth has been negative, marked by a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.0% and a 1.4% year-over-year sales drop in the latest quarter.
- The balance sheet carries $16.32B in net debt, creating ongoing financial leverage.
What Kraft Heinz does
The Kraft Heinz Company manufactures and distributes food and beverage products across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and international markets. Its portfolio includes condiments, sauces, cheese, dairy products, meals, meats, refreshment beverages, coffee, and grocery essentials, alongside dressings, healthy snacks, spices, and seasonings. The company distributes its products through sales teams, independent brokers, agents, and distributors to grocery chains, pharmacies, mass merchants, and institutional clients such as hotels, restaurants, and hospitals. It also sells directly through e-commerce platforms and online retailers.
Growth and profitability
Revenue fell from $26.04B in FY2021 to $24.94B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.0%. In FY2025, revenue contracted 3.5%, and operating margin turned to -18.7% compared to 6.5% in FY2024. Net income dropped to -$5.85B in FY2025 from $2.74B in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $24.90B with an operating margin of 15.5% and a net profit margin of -13.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue decreased 1.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 13.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Kraft Heinz held $2.68B in cash and short-term investments against $19.00B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $16.32B. Shareholders' equity stood at $36.01B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53 and a current ratio of 1.06. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $4.46B, supporting $801.0M in capital expenditures and generating $3.66B in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $1.90B paid in dividends and $436.0M allocated to share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Kraft Heinz trades at a forward P/E of 11.1x and an EV/EBITDA of 13.1x, below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers of 15.3x forward P/E and 14.8x EV/EBITDA. Its price-to-sales multiple is 1.1x versus the peer median of 1.8x, and its price-to-book ratio is 0.8x. Over the past year, KHC gained 0.7% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock returned -17.6% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.
KHC dividend
Kraft Heinz pays an annual forward dividend of $1.60 per share, distributed quarterly, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 6.76%. The payout ratio is 66.1%. The company has paid dividends for 15 consecutive years, although its 5-year annualized dividend growth is 0.0%. The last ex-dividend date was September 4, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 14 Holds, and 4 Sells. The mean price target is $24.75, which is 4.5% above the last close of $23.68. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.05 on revenue of $24.63B. Kraft Heinz beat EPS estimates in all of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating margin swung to -18.7% in FY2025, down from 6.5% in FY2024.
- Analysts project current fiscal year EPS to fall 21.3% to $2.05.
- Total debt of $19.00B leaves the company with significant fixed obligations relative to its $2.68B in cash.
- Short interest stands at 10.8% of float, indicating elevated bearish sentiment.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this KHC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: KHC income statement, KHC balance sheet, KHC key metrics, KHC analyst forecast, KHC chart. See the KHC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
KHC AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Kraft Heinz's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Kraft Heinz pays a forward annual dividend of $1.60 per share on a quarterly basis, which represents a dividend yield of 6.76%. Its dividend payout ratio stands at 66.1%.
How much debt does Kraft Heinz have?
As of June 30, 2026, the company had $19.00B in total debt and $2.68B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $16.32B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53.
Why was Kraft Heinz's net income negative in FY2025?
Kraft Heinz posted a net income of -$5.85B in FY2025, down from $2.74B in FY2024, as revenue contracted 3.5% to $24.94B and operating margin declined to -18.7%.
What do Wall Street analysts expect for KHC stock?
Analysts have a mean price target of $24.75, representing a 4.5% upside from the last close of $23.68. The consensus recommendation profile consists of 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 14 Holds, and 4 Sells.