Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) AI Stock Analysis
SFD AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSmithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) produces packaged meats and fresh pork products globally. The company generated $15.47B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a net profit margin of 6.8%. It trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 6.9x while offering a dividend yield of 6.71%.
- Market cap
- $7.34B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15.47B
- P/E
- 6.9x fwd 10.5x
- 1Y return
- -9.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $24.93 33.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Smithfield Foods generated $718.0M in free cash flow in FY2025, comfortably supporting its $396.0M in dividend distributions.
- The stock trades at an EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 5.0x, well below the US-listed Consumer Defensive peer median of 11.7x.
- The company maintains a solid balance sheet with $1.35B in cash, a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34, and a current ratio of 2.56.
Bear case
- Consensus estimates project EPS to decline 16.6% to $2.13 in FY2026 and drop another 2.0% to $2.08 in FY2027.
- Revenue growth has been subdued, demonstrated by a 1.5% 5-year CAGR through FY2025 and a 2.3% year-over-year revenue decline in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Historical results show volatility, with operating margin falling to -0.4% and net income collapsing to $17.0M in FY2023.
What Smithfield Foods does
Smithfield Foods, Inc. produces packaged meats and fresh pork products across the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, Hog Production, and Other. Packaged Meats processes fresh meat into items like bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli meats, and prepared foods under brands including Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, and Farmland. Fresh Pork processes live hogs into primal and sub-primal cuts for domestic customers and export markets such as China and Mexico. Hog Production raises hogs on company-owned and contract farms, while the Other segment includes bioscience operations manufacturing heparin products.
Growth and profitability
Revenue expanded from $15.01B in FY2021 to $15.53B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 1.5% from FY2015 to FY2025. After dipping to $14.64B in FY2023 with an operating margin of -0.4%, profitability improved as operating margins reached 7.9% in FY2024 and 8.3% in FY2025. Net income was $987.0M in FY2025, compared to $17.0M in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $15.47B, operating margin stood at 8.4%, and diluted EPS was $2.69. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 2.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 25.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Smithfield Foods held $1.35B in cash and short-term investments against $2.40B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.05B. Shareholders' equity was $7.00B, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34 and a current ratio of 2.56. During FY2025, the company delivered $1.06B in operating cash flow and $718.0M in free cash flow. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $341.0M in capital expenditures and $396.0M paid in dividends.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $18.64, Smithfield Foods holds an enterprise value of $8.51B and trades at a trailing P/E of 6.9x and a forward P/E of 10.5x, below the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers of 18.6x and 14.3x, respectively. Its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 5.0x, compared to the peer median of 11.7x, while its price-to-sales multiple is 0.5x compared to 0.7x for peers. Over the past year, the stock declined 9.9%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
SFD dividend
Smithfield Foods pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annualized $1.25 per share, representing a forward dividend yield of 6.71%. The payout ratio is 44.5%, supported by $718.0M in FY2025 free cash flow. The company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years, with the last ex-dividend date on August 13, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $24.93, indicating 33.7% upside relative to the last close of $18.64. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations project revenue of $15.46B and EPS of $2.13, which represents a 16.6% decline. Smithfield Foods beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Consensus models project FY2027 revenue to fall 1.0% to $15.31B alongside lower EPS of $2.08.
- Short interest stands at 11.2% of the float, while insiders hold 88.3% of shares, limiting public liquidity.
- Price momentum remains weak, with the stock down 13.4% year-to-date and trading 21.5% below its 200-day average.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SFD AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SFD income statement, SFD balance sheet, SFD key metrics, SFD analyst forecast, SFD chart. See the SFD stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SFD AI stock analysis FAQ
What is the dividend yield on Smithfield Foods stock?
Smithfield Foods offers a dividend yield of 6.71% based on an annualized forward dividend of $1.25 per share. It has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 44.5%.
How does Smithfield Foods' valuation compare to its peers?
The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 6.9x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 5.0x. This is lower than the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers, which stand at 18.6x and 11.7x, respectively.
What are analysts forecasting for Smithfield Foods in FY2026?
Analysts estimate full-year FY2026 revenue of $15.46B and EPS of $2.13, which reflects a 16.6% year-over-year decline in earnings.
When does Smithfield Foods report its next quarterly earnings?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 27, 2026.