Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: PTONAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PTON AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) operates an interactive fitness platform providing connected equipment and fitness subscriptions. In FY2026, the company generated $2.45B in revenue and achieved positive net income of $63.2M along with free cash flow of $377.7M. However, balance sheet leverage remains significant, with net debt of $1.66B and negative shareholders' equity of -$139.7M.

Market cap
$2.29B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.45B
P/E
37.3x
fwd 4.3x
1Y return
-30.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$7.90
51.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Peloton returned to positive profitability in FY2026 with net income of $63.2M and EPS of $0.22.
  • Free cash flow generation strengthened to $377.7M in FY2026, up from -$2.36B in FY2022.
  • Gross margin improved steadily from 19.5% in FY2022 to 52.6% in FY2026.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries $1.71B in total debt with only $49.8M in cash, leaving negative shareholders' equity of -$139.7M.
  • Revenue has contracted over multiple years, falling from $3.58B in FY2022 to $2.45B in FY2026.
  • The share count increased 64.3% over the past 5 years, creating substantial dilution.

What Peloton Interactive does

Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates an interactive fitness platform across North America and internationally. The company offers connected fitness products including the Peloton Bike, Peloton Bike+, Peloton Tread, and Peloton Tread+, each featuring touchscreen interfaces for streaming live and on-demand fitness classes. Peloton also provides connected fitness subscriptions granting access to workouts such as cycling, running, strength training, yoga, and meditation. Users without Peloton equipment can access classes through the Peloton Digital app. As of June 30, 2022, the company had approximately 6.9 million members. Products are sold primarily through retail showrooms and onepeloton.com.

Growth and profitability

Peloton's annual revenue decreased from $3.58B in FY2022 to $2.45B in FY2026, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -9.5%. Despite annual revenue falling 1.8% in FY2026, profitability improved as gross margin expanded to 52.6% and operating margin rose to 7.6%. Net income reached $63.2M in FY2026 compared to a net loss of -$2.83B in FY2022. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $2.45B with an operating margin of 14.4% and diluted EPS of $0.14. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 0.1% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 160.6%.

PTON income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Peloton held $49.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.71B, resulting in net debt of $1.66B. Total assets were $2.06B, and the current ratio stood at 2.84. Shareholders' equity was negative at -$139.7M. In FY2026, the company generated operating cash flow of $387.6M and spent $9.9M on capital expenditures, yielding $377.7M in free cash flow. Share buybacks totaled $2.2M, while the share count increased 64.3% over the past 5 years.

PTON balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $5.22, Peloton has a market cap of $2.29B and an enterprise value of $2.60B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 37.3x compared to the median of 18.0x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its forward P/E of 4.3x sits below the peer median of 14.1x, while its EV/EBITDA of 10.7x compares to 11.1x for peers. Over the past year, Peloton stock declined 30.6%, whereas the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock dropped 93.9% versus an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

PTON key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 8 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 10 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $7.90, which is 51.3% above the last close of $5.22. For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, analysts project revenue of $2.36B and EPS of $0.32, implying 126.7% EPS growth. Over the last four quarters, Peloton exceeded EPS estimates in 3 quarters. The next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

PTON forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High net debt of $1.66B against cash and short-term investments of $49.8M limits financial flexibility.
  • Revenue growth remains muted, recording just 0.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter and a projected decline to $2.36B in FY2027.
  • Elevated volatility is indicated by a beta of 2.55 and short interest at 16.1% of the float.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PTON AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PTON income statement, PTON balance sheet, PTON key metrics, PTON analyst forecast, PTON chart. See the PTON stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PTON AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Peloton pay a dividend?

No, Peloton does not pay a dividend.

What were Peloton's revenues and earnings in FY2026?

In FY2026, Peloton reported revenue of $2.45B, net income of $63.2M, and diluted EPS of $0.22.

How much debt does Peloton carry on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Peloton had total debt of $1.71B, cash and short-term investments of $49.8M, net debt of $1.66B, and negative shareholders' equity of -$139.7M.

What is the consensus analyst price target for PTON?

The mean analyst price target is $7.90, which is 51.3% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $5.22.

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