Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LUCKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LUCK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation operates location-based entertainment venues, including bowling centers and water parks across North America. The company generated $1.25B in FY2026 revenue but reported a net income of -$35.8M and negative free cash flow of -$9.8M. Its balance sheet carries significant leverage, with total debt of $3.27B against $39.4M in cash and negative shareholders' equity.

Market cap
$654.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$1.25B
P/E
—
fwd 20.9x
1Y return
-48.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$9.00
87.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue has expanded from $911.7M in FY2022 to $1.25B in FY2026, achieving a 5-year CAGR of 25.8%.
  • Wall Street analysts maintain a mean price target of $9.00, indicating 87.5% upside from the recent price of $4.80.
  • The stock offers an annual dividend yield of 5.00%, supported by $103.9M in operating cash flow in FY2026.

Bear case

  • The company carries $3.27B in total debt with only $39.4M in cash, resulting in negative shareholders' equity of -$263.8M.
  • Free cash flow turned negative at -$9.8M in FY2026, while capital expenditures reached $113.7M.
  • The stock has dropped 48.5% over the past year and trades 34.9% below its 200-day moving average.

What Lucky Strike Entertainment does

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation operates location-based entertainment venues across the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company runs traditional bowling locations under the AMF brand, as well as upscale venues offering lounge seating, arcades, and food and beverage under the Lucky Strike and Bowlero brands. Additionally, it operates family entertainment centers and water parks under names including Octane Raceway, Raging Waves, Shipwreck Island, Big Kahuna's, Wet 'N Wild Emerald Pointe, Raging Waters Los Angeles, Castle Park, and Boomers Parks. The company also hosts and oversees professional and non-professional bowling tournaments alongside related broadcasting activities.

Growth and profitability

Revenue increased from $911.7M in FY2022 to $1.25B in FY2026, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 25.8%, though annual top-line growth decelerated to 3.7% in FY2026. Gross margin stood at 35.1% in FY2026, while operating margin was 11.0%. The company has reported net losses in three consecutive fiscal years, including -$83.6M in FY2024, -$10.0M in FY2025, and -$35.8M in FY2026. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 0.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 38.1%. Trailing twelve month EPS was -$0.33.

LUCK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $39.4M in cash and short-term investments against $3.27B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $3.23B. Total assets were $3.23B, while shareholders' equity was -$263.8M, accompanied by a current ratio of 0.50. Operating cash flow fell to $103.9M in FY2026 from $177.2M in FY2025. With capital expenditures of $113.7M, free cash flow was -$9.8M. During FY2026, cash was also deployed toward $35.3M in share buybacks and $34.6M in dividends paid.

LUCK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Trading at a last close of $4.80, Lucky Strike holds a market cap of $654.4M and an enterprise value of $3.63B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 20.9x and an EV/EBITDA of 12.3x, compared to medians of 14.1x and 11.1x, respectively, for the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer group. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.5x, below the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock declined 48.5%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

LUCK key metrics →

LUCK dividend

Lucky Strike pays a forward annual dividend of $0.24 per share, providing a dividend yield of 5.00%. The company distributes dividends on a quarterly basis and has paid them for 3 consecutive years. In FY2026, total dividends paid were $34.6M, with a reported payout ratio of 9.7%. The last ex-dividend date was September 8, 2026.

LUCK dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 3 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $9.00, representing an 87.5% premium to the last close of $4.80. For the current fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$0.04 on revenue of $1.29B. Over the last 4 quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 1 time. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

LUCK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest represents 20.1% of the float, reflecting elevated negative market sentiment.
  • A current ratio of 0.50 points to tight short-term liquidity relative to near-term obligations.
  • The company has missed profitability in recent years, posting a net loss of -$35.8M in FY2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LUCK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (LUCK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LUCK income statement, LUCK balance sheet, LUCK key metrics, LUCK analyst forecast, LUCK chart. See the LUCK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LUCK AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation's dividend yield?

Lucky Strike pays a forward annual dividend of $0.24 per share, which equals a dividend yield of 5.00%. The dividend is paid quarterly and has been distributed for 3 consecutive years.

How much debt does Lucky Strike carry on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $3.27B in total debt and $39.4M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $3.23B. It also has negative shareholders' equity of -$263.8M.

What are analysts forecasting for Lucky Strike's earnings and revenue?

For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, analysts estimate revenue of $1.29B and an EPS of -$0.04. For the subsequent fiscal year, revenue is projected at $1.34B with an EPS of $0.15.

When does Lucky Strike report its next quarterly earnings?

Lucky Strike's next earnings report is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

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