Noodles & Company (NDLS) AI Stock Analysis
NDLS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNoodles & Company is a US fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in cooked-to-order noodle dishes, pastas, salads, and soups. While the company generated $495.7M in trailing twelve-month revenue, it has reported annual net losses for four consecutive years, including -$42.6M in FY2025. The balance sheet carries significant leverage, with $242.5M in total debt against just $1.3M in cash as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $83.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $495.7M
- P/E
- — fwd 18.5x
- 1Y return
- 173.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $1.75 -87.5% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock delivered a 1-year return of 173.3%, substantially outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Noodles & Company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 reported quarters.
- Analyst projections indicate a return to profitability in the next fiscal year, with an estimated EPS of $0.46.
Bear case
- The analyst mean price target of $1.75 represents an 87.5% discount to the last close of $13.97.
- The balance sheet carries $241.2M in net debt with only $1.3M in cash and negative shareholders' equity of -$51.0M.
- Net income has remained negative for four consecutive fiscal years, culminating in a loss of -$42.6M in FY2025.
What Noodles & does
Noodles & Company is a fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in cooked-to-order dishes, founded in 1995 and based in Broomfield, Colorado. The company operates across the United States, offering a diverse menu that includes noodle-based meals, pasta dishes, soups, salads, and appetizers. Emphasizing fresh ingredients and customizable options, Noodles & Company caters to varied tastes and dietary preferences in a casual dining environment. The company continually updates its menu with seasonal ingredients and innovative creations, serving customers who seek quick yet quality dining experiences nationwide.
Growth and profitability
Noodles & Company achieved a five-year revenue CAGR of 4.7% between FY2020 and FY2025. Annual revenue grew from $475.2M in FY2021 to $509.5M in FY2022, before retreating to $503.4M in FY2023 and $493.3M in FY2024. Revenue rose slightly by 0.4% in FY2025 to $495.1M. Operating margins declined from 1.2% in FY2021 to -1.0% in FY2025, alongside a gross margin drop to 8.9%. Net income worsened from $3.7M in FY2021 to -$42.6M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $495.7M with a profit margin of -4.7%. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 0.5% year-over-year while quarterly earnings fell 11.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Noodles & Company held $1.3M in cash and short-term investments against $242.5M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $241.2M. Total assets stood at $235.8M, and shareholders' equity was -$51.0M, reflecting negative equity. The company reported a current ratio of 0.29. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $7.3M and capital expenditures totaled $12.4M, resulting in free cash flow of -$5.1M. Over the trailing five years, the company's share count increased by 3.8%.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $13.97, Noodles & Company has a market cap of $83.4M and an enterprise value of $321.8M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 18.5x, above the 14.1x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 27.0x also exceeds the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales of 0.2x sits below the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, NDLS gained 173.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. However, its five-year return of -86.4% significantly trailed the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
One analyst covers Noodles & Company with a Hold rating. The mean price target is $1.75, which stands 87.5% below the October 16, 2026 closing price of $13.97. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $488.6M and an EPS of -$0.22. For the following fiscal year, analysts forecast revenue to fall 0.9% to $484.0M and EPS to improve to $0.46. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.29 and cash reserves of only $1.3M indicate constrained short-term liquidity.
- Free cash flow has been negative for four straight years, including -$5.1M in FY2025.
- Total debt of $242.5M exceeds the company's total assets of $235.8M.
- Quarterly earnings fell 11.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NDLS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Noodles & Company (NDLS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NDLS income statement, NDLS balance sheet, NDLS key metrics, NDLS analyst forecast, NDLS chart. See the NDLS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NDLS AI stock analysis FAQ
What was Noodles & Company's revenue in FY2025?
Noodles & Company generated $495.1M in revenue in FY2025, representing 0.4% growth compared to FY2024.
Does Noodles & Company pay a dividend?
Noodles & Company does not pay a dividend.
What is the consensus analyst price target for NDLS?
The mean analyst price target is $1.75, which is 87.5% below the closing price of $13.97 on October 16, 2026.
How much debt does Noodles & Company carry?
As of June 30, 2026, the company carried $242.5M in total debt and $1.3M in cash, resulting in net debt of $241.2M.