Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: SBUXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SBUX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Starbucks Corporation is a global roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee and tea products. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $38.34B in revenue with an operating margin of 12.9%. While its 1-year return reached 18.6%, the company carries net debt of $18.82B and negative shareholders' equity of -$7.67B.

Market cap
$111.17B
Revenue (TTM)
$38.34B
P/E
56.4x
fwd 30.9x
1Y return
18.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$110.97
13.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • The mean analyst price target of $110.97 implies a 13.8% upside from the recent closing price of $97.52.
  • Starbucks demonstrated strong quarterly earnings recovery with 85.7% year-over-year earnings growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The company offers an established capital return track record, delivering 17 consecutive years of dividends alongside a 7.8% annualized 5-year dividend growth rate.

Bear case

  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 102.5%, and FY2025 dividends paid of $2.77B exceeded the annual free cash flow of $2.44B.
  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, with a trailing P/E of 56.4x and forward P/E of 30.9x compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Cyclical peers at 34.1x and 26.0x.
  • The balance sheet carries net debt of $18.82B, a current ratio of 0.76, and negative shareholders' equity of -$7.67B as of June 30, 2026.

What Starbucks does

Starbucks Corporation is a global coffee company specializing in roasting, marketing, and retailing. It operates through three main segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Across its global network of company-operated and licensed stores, Starbucks serves handcrafted coffee and tea beverages, whole beans, single-serve items, and ready-to-drink products, along with pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch food items. The company also extends its reach through grocery channels and foodservice partnerships under brands including Starbucks Coffee, Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Ethos water, Starbucks Reserve, and Princi. Founded in 1971, it is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

Growth and profitability

Starbucks grew revenue from $29.06B in FY2021 to $37.18B in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.6%. However, net income fell from $4.20B in FY2021 to $1.86B in FY2025, with net margin declining from 14.5% to 5.0% over that span. Diluted EPS decreased from $3.24 in FY2021 to $2.12 in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $38.34B, with an operating margin of 12.9% and an EPS of $1.73. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 1.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 85.7%.

SBUX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Starbucks held $3.61B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $22.43B, resulting in net debt of $18.82B. Total assets stood at $28.29B, with a current ratio of 0.76 and shareholders' equity of -$7.67B. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $4.75B and free cash flow was $2.44B. Cash uses in FY2025 included $2.31B in capital expenditures and $2.77B in dividends paid, while the 5-year share count changed by -2.8%.

SBUX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $97.52, Starbucks trades at a market capitalization of $111.17B and an enterprise value of $126.14B. Its trailing P/E of 56.4x and forward P/E of 30.9x trade at a premium to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Cyclical peers (34.1x trailing and 26.0x forward). The company's EV/EBITDA of 23.8x also exceeds the peer median of 19.2x, while its price-to-sales of 2.9x sits below the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 18.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -1.5% trails the index return of 83.0%.

SBUX key metrics →

SBUX dividend

Starbucks pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual dividend of $2.52 per share, representing a 2.58% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 17 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 7.8%. The current payout ratio is 102.5%, and the last ex-dividend date is November 13, 2026.

SBUX dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 12 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 19 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings on Starbucks. The mean price target is $110.97, representing a 13.8% upside relative to the last close of $97.52. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.60 and revenue of $37.99B. For the following fiscal year, 33 analysts forecast EPS of $3.13 and revenue of $38.55B. Starbucks has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

SBUX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A negative shareholders' equity balance of -$7.67B combined with $22.43B in total debt limits financial flexibility.
  • Quarterly revenue fell 1.4% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, indicating soft top-line sales trends.
  • Operating margin contracted from 16.8% in FY2021 to 9.6% in FY2025, which lowered annual net income to $1.86B.
  • A current ratio of 0.76 highlights tight short-term liquidity relative to existing short-term obligations.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SBUX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SBUX income statement, SBUX balance sheet, SBUX key metrics, SBUX analyst forecast, SBUX chart. See the SBUX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SBUX AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Starbucks' dividend yield and payout ratio?

Starbucks offers a forward dividend yield of 2.58% based on an annual payout of $2.52 per share. The company's current dividend payout ratio is 102.5%.

When is Starbucks' next earnings release?

Starbucks is scheduled to report its financial results on October 29, 2026.

How does Starbucks' valuation compare to its peer group?

Starbucks trades at a trailing P/E of 56.4x and a forward P/E of 30.9x, which are both above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Cyclical peers of 34.1x and 26.0x, respectively.

What are analysts forecasting for Starbucks' earnings?

For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of $2.60, representing 22.1% growth. For the following fiscal year, 33 analysts expect an EPS of $3.13.

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