Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) AI Stock Analysis
BLMN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBloomin' Brands, Inc. is a casual and fine dining restaurant operator known for concepts such as Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $3.98B in revenue with an operating margin of 4.4% and net income margins of 0.7%. While annual revenue growth has remained modest at 0.1% in FY2025, the stock has gained 30.1% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $851.9M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.98B
- P/E
- 30.2x fwd 6.2x
- 1Y return
- 30.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $11.86 19.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings expanded 22.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 6.2x, significantly below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 14.1x.
- Bloomin' Brands beat analyst EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters.
Bear case
- Total debt of $1.91B significantly exceeds cash and short-term investments of $66.6M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.43.
- The current ratio stands at 0.25 as of June 30, 2026, indicating tight short-term liquidity.
- Operating margin was just 0.9% in FY2025, down from 7.5% reported in FY2021.
What Bloomin' Brands does
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. operates casual, upscale casual, and fine dining restaurants across the United States and internationally. Founded in 1988 and headquartered in Tampa, Florida, the company manages two primary operating segments: U.S. and International. Its restaurant portfolio consists of four main dining concepts: Outback Steakhouse, an Australian-themed casual steakhouse; Carrabba's Italian Grill, which serves Italian cuisine; Bonefish Grill, specializing in seafood; and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, which offers prime steaks and fine wines. The company focuses on expanding its presence domestically and globally while refining menu offerings and dining experiences.
Growth and profitability
Bloomin' Brands posted annual revenue of $3.96B in FY2025, representing 0.1% revenue growth following a 5.2% decline in FY2024 to $3.95B. Gross margin contracted to 13.3% in FY2025 from 15.2% in FY2024 and 17.7% in FY2021. Operating margin was 0.9% in FY2025, down from 7.5% in FY2021. Net income recovered to $8.2M in FY2025 after a net loss of -$128.0M in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $3.98B with an operating margin of 4.4% and diluted EPS of $0.33. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 1.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 22.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Bloomin' Brands held $66.6M in cash and short-term investments against $1.91B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.85B. Shareholders' equity stood at $431.8M, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.43 and a current ratio of 0.25. Total assets were $3.12B. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $276.7M, and free cash flow reached $96.8M. Capital expenditures used $179.9M of cash, while $38.3M was directed to dividends paid and $1.2M went toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
With a market cap of $851.9M and an enterprise value of $2.58B, Bloomin' Brands trades at a trailing P/E of 30.2x, above the 18.0x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. However, its forward P/E of 6.2x and price-to-sales of 0.2x sit well below peer medians of 14.1x and 0.7x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA multiple of 11.3x compares closely to the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 30.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of -49.7% lagged SPY's 83.0% gain.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts cover Bloomin' Brands with 2 Strong Buy, 8 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $11.86, implying 19.1% upside compared to the last close of $9.95. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts anticipate EPS of $0.97 on revenue of $3.98B. For FY2027, 11 analysts estimate EPS will grow 12.4% to $1.09 alongside 1.7% revenue growth to $4.05B. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High net debt of $1.85B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.43 leave the company sensitive to financing obligations.
- A current ratio of 0.25 highlights limited short-term working capital buffer.
- A short interest of 15.5% of the float indicates substantial market skepticism.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BLMN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BLMN income statement, BLMN balance sheet, BLMN key metrics, BLMN analyst forecast, BLMN chart. See the BLMN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BLMN AI stock analysis FAQ
What restaurants does Bloomin' Brands operate?
Bloomin' Brands operates four primary restaurant concepts: Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar.
What is Bloomin' Brands' net debt?
As of June 30, 2026, the company had total debt of $1.91B and cash and short-term investments of $66.6M, resulting in net debt of $1.85B.
What are analysts' price targets for BLMN stock?
Analysts hold a mean price target of $11.86, which is 19.1% above its last closing price of $9.95.
When does Bloomin' Brands report its next quarterly earnings?
The company's next earnings release is scheduled for November 5, 2026.