Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) AI Stock Analysis

Brinker International, Inc. is a casual dining restaurant company that owns, develops, operates, and franchises restaurants under two primary brands: Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy. Chili's provides a casual dining experience featuring American favorites such as burgers, ribs, fajitas, and Tex-Mex specialties. Maggiano's offers classic Italian dishes including pasta, seafood, and steaks in a family-style setting. The company also operates in the virtual dining space with brands like Just Wings and Maggiano's Italian Classics. Founded in 1983 and based in Dallas, Texas, the company operates across domestic and international markets.

Revenue rose from $3.80B in FY2022 to $4.13B in FY2023, $4.42B in FY2024, $5.38B in FY2025, and $5.81B in FY2026, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.7% from FY2021 to FY2026. Gross margin expanded from 13.1% in FY2022 to 18.6% in FY2026, while operating margin rose from 4.2% to 10.7%. Over the same period, net income grew from $117.6M to $487.0M, lifting EPS from $3.12 to $10.77. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 5.1% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 29.4% year-over-year, supported by a trailing twelve months operating margin of 11.3%.

As of June 30, 2026, Brinker International held $110.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.76B, leaving net debt at $1.65B. Shareholders' equity was $443.7M on total assets of $2.81B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.96 and a current ratio of 0.45. Operating cash flow in FY2026 was $789.4M, funding capital expenditures of $231.9M to generate $557.5M in free cash flow. The company allocated $443.9M to share buybacks in FY2026.

At a closing price of $204.14 on October 16, 2026, Brinker International trades at a trailing P/E of 18.8x and a forward P/E of 16.2x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. The stock's EV/EBITDA is 12.4x versus the peer median of 11.1x, and price-to-sales is 1.5x against the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, EAT gained 59.1% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY), and over five years it gained 329.4% against 83.0% for the index.

Wall Street coverage consists of 17 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $261.00, representing 27.9% above the last close of $204.14. For the current fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $13.27 on revenue of $6.29B. For the following fiscal year, 21 analysts project EPS of $14.56 on revenue of $6.48B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for October 28, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Brinker International, Inc. (EAT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

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