Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) AI Stock Analysis
YUM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchYum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant franchisor operating brands like KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and The Habit Burger Grill across over 53,000 restaurants. In FY2025, the company grew revenue 8.8% to $8.21B while delivering an operating margin of 30.8%. Its balance sheet carries net debt of $11.60B alongside negative shareholders' equity of -$7.11B as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $41.07B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.72B
- P/E
- 19.0x fwd 20.4x
- 1Y return
- 7.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $171.06 13.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue growth reached 12.2% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, alongside quarterly earnings growth of 131.6%.
- Operating margin of 32.8% over the trailing twelve months significantly exceeds the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 13.6%.
- The company produced $1.64B of free cash flow in FY2025, supporting a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 8.6%.
Bear case
- The balance sheet carries $12.28B in total debt against $674.0M in cash, leading to negative shareholders' equity of -$7.11B.
- Valuation multiples are elevated relative to the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers, including a forward P/E of 20.4x versus 15.6x and EV to EBITDA of 17.0x versus 13.2x.
- Analyst consensus expects next fiscal year revenue to contract 1.0% to $8.60B.
What Yum! Brands does
YUM! Brands, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, operates as a developer, operator, and franchisor of quick service restaurants worldwide. The company is organized into four primary segments: the KFC Division, the Taco Bell Division, the Pizza Hut Division, and the Habit Burger Grill Division. Each segment oversees a portfolio specializing in chicken, pizza, made-to-order chargrilled burgers, sandwiches, and Mexican-style cuisine. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, the company maintains over 53,000 restaurants across approximately 157 countries and territories, emphasizing franchise partnerships as a key driver of growth and operational efficiency.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue increased from $6.58B in FY2021 to $8.21B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.8% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue growth improved from 3.4% in FY2023 and 6.7% in FY2024 to 8.8% in FY2025. Net income was $1.57B in FY2021, $1.32B in FY2022, $1.60B in FY2023, $1.49B in FY2024, and $1.56B in FY2025, with EPS increasing from $4.47 to $6.05 over that span. Operating margin moderated from 32.5% in FY2021 to 30.8% in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $8.72B with an operating margin of 32.8% and EPS of $7.94. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 12.2% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings growth reached 131.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Yum! Brands held $674.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $12.28B, resulting in net debt of $11.60B. The company recorded negative shareholders' equity of -$7.11B, total assets of $8.68B, and a current ratio of 0.59. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $2.01B and free cash flow was $1.64B. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $371.0M in capital expenditures, $552.0M in share buybacks, and $789.0M in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -6.4%.
Valuation and performance
YUM trades at a trailing P/E of 19.0x, below the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 20.1x. However, its forward P/E of 20.4x is higher than the peer median of 15.6x. The company has an EV to EBITDA multiple of 17.0x, above the peer median of 13.2x, and a price-to-sales multiple of 4.7x compared to the peer median of 2.0x. Over the past year, the stock returned 7.0%, trailing the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return of 32.2% also lagged SPY's 83.0%.
YUM dividend
Yum! Brands offers an annual forward dividend of $3.00, yielding 1.99% with a payout ratio of 46.0%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly schedule and have been paid for 23 consecutive years. Over the past 5 years, the annualized dividend growth rate was 8.6%. The company's last ex-dividend date was September 9, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment includes 10 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 13 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $171.06, which sits 13.7% above the last close of $150.51. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $8.68B and EPS of $6.35, representing EPS growth of 4.9%. Yum! Brands beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.59 reflects a low level of short-term liquid assets relative to current obligations.
- Substantial net debt of $11.60B could constrain future capital allocation and increase exposure to financing costs.
- Long-term stock performance has lagged the broader market, with a 5-year return of 32.2% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this YUM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: YUM income statement, YUM balance sheet, YUM key metrics, YUM analyst forecast, YUM chart. See the YUM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
YUM AI stock analysis FAQ
What restaurant brands are owned and operated by Yum! Brands?
Yum! Brands operates four primary divisions: KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and The Habit Burger Grill. Together, these concepts comprise more than 53,000 restaurants across approximately 157 countries and territories.
What is Yum! Brands' current dividend yield and payment schedule?
Yum! Brands pays an annualized forward dividend of $3.00 per share, representing a 1.99% dividend yield. Dividends are paid quarterly with a payout ratio of 46.0%, and the company has distributed dividends for 23 consecutive years.
How does Yum! Brands' valuation compare to its sector peers?
YUM trades at a forward P/E of 20.4x and an EV to EBITDA of 17.0x, above the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 15.6x and 13.2x. However, its trailing P/E of 19.0x sits below the peer median of 20.1x.
What are analysts forecasting for Yum! Brands' upcoming results?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $8.68B and EPS of $6.35. For the following fiscal year, 12 analysts project revenue of $8.60B and EPS of $6.88.