Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) AI Stock Analysis

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a fast-casual restaurant chain under the Chipotle Mexican Grill brand. Founded in 1993 and based in Newport Beach, California, the company provides customizable Mexican-inspired meals, including burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads made with responsibly sourced ingredients. Chipotle operates dining locations across the United States and internationally, serving customers through in-restaurant dining as well as digital ordering and delivery services.

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Chipotle expanded annual revenue from $7.55B to $11.93B, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.8%. However, annual revenue growth decelerated to 5.4% in FY2025 from 14.6% in FY2024. Operating margin improved from 10.7% in FY2021 to 16.9% in both FY2024 and FY2025, while net income reached $1.54B in FY2025 with an EPS of $1.16. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $12.42B and EPS was $1.09. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 9.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings contracted by 1.3%.

As of June 30, 2026, Chipotle held $672.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.42B, resulting in net debt of $4.75B. Total assets were $8.86B and shareholders' equity was $2.20B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.46 and a current ratio of 0.72. In FY2025, the company generated $2.11B in operating cash flow and $1.45B in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $666.3M in capital expenditures and $2.43B directed to share buybacks, contributing to a 5-year share count decline of 9.4%.

At a share price of $29.89 and a market capitalization of $37.82B, Chipotle trades at a trailing P/E of 27.4x and a forward P/E of 28.5x. These multiples stand above the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers, which record a trailing P/E of 19.7x and a forward P/E of 15.6x. The stock's enterprise value of $51.94B implies an EV-to-EBITDA of 24.4x, compared to the peer median of 13.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned -28.4%, while the SPY index gained 16.8%.

Wall Street coverage includes 20 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 11 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $43.55, which sits 45.7% above the last close of $29.89. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $13.03B and an EPS of $1.15, a decrease of 1.8%. For the following fiscal year, 34 analysts anticipate revenue of $14.44B and EPS of $1.37. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 28, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CMG income statement, CMG balance sheet, CMG key metrics, CMG analyst forecast, CMG chart. See the CMG stock overview for the latest quote and news.