Chagee Holdings Limited (CHA) AI Stock Analysis
CHA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchChagee Holdings Limited (CHA) owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand across Asia and the United States. Revenue reached $13.14B over the trailing twelve months, supported by a 3-year revenue CAGR of 197.2% through FY2025. The company maintains a strong liquidity position, with $6.80B in net cash as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $2.35B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $13.14B
- P/E
- 12.4x
- 1Y return
- -17.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $15.29 24.3% vs last close
Bull case
- CHA trades at a trailing P/E of 12.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 5.3x, both at discounts to the US-listed Consumer Cyclical medians of 18.0x and 11.1x.
- The balance sheet carries $8.20B in cash and short-term investments against $1.41B in total debt, giving a net cash reserve of $6.80B.
- Quarterly earnings rose 591.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
Bear case
- Revenue growth decelerated sharply to 4.0% in FY2025 after climbing 167.4% in FY2024 and 843.8% in FY2023.
- Operating margin narrowed from 23.3% in FY2024 to 10.4% in FY2025, which caused net income to fall from $2.52B to $1.17B.
- The stock posted a 1-year return of -17.9%, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8% over the same timeframe.
What Chagee Holdings Limited does
Chagee Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand in the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and the United States. The company sells freshly made tea drinks, related raw materials, packaging, teahouse equipment, and other supplies. It also engages in supply chain product sales; brand, marketing, and management; and information technology activities. In addition, the company operates its teahouses online. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company employs 3,812 people.
Growth and profitability
Chagee expanded revenue from $491.7M in FY2022 to $12.91B in FY2025, recording a 3-year revenue CAGR of 197.2%. Annual revenue growth normalized to 4.0% in FY2025 following a 167.4% surge in FY2024. Operating margin stood at 10.4% in FY2025, down from 23.3% in FY2024, while net margin declined from 20.3% to 9.1%. Net income decreased from $2.52B in FY2024 to $1.17B in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $13.14B with an operating margin of 15.4% and diluted EPS of $0.99. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 2.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 591.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Chagee reported $8.20B in cash and short-term investments and $1.41B in total debt, resulting in a net cash balance of $6.80B. The company held $8.22B in shareholders' equity against $12.20B in total assets. Its balance sheet shows a current ratio of 3.37 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.64B and free cash flow was $1.19B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $452.3M in capital expenditures and $1.23B in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $12.30, Chagee has a market cap of $2.35B and an enterprise value of $1.17B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 12.4x, below the 18.0x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV/EBITDA is 5.3x compared to the peer group median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales of 0.2x compares to the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, CHA declined 17.9%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though it is up 5.8% year-to-date and sits 10.3% above its 200-day average.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 6 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings on CHA, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $15.29 sits 24.3% above the last close of $12.30. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $14.25B and EPS of $10.06. For next fiscal year, 8 analysts estimate revenue of $15.86B and EPS of $10.97. Chagee has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 2.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Analyst consensus projects an EPS contraction of 0.1% to $10.06 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
- The company has beaten EPS expectations in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
- Short interest represents 7.3% of the float as of October 16, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CHA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Chagee Holdings Limited (CHA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CHA income statement, CHA balance sheet, CHA key metrics, CHA analyst forecast, CHA chart. See the CHA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CHA AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Chagee's net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, Chagee held $8.20B in cash and short-term investments and $1.41B in total debt, resulting in net cash of $6.80B.
How fast is Chagee growing revenue?
Chagee generated $12.91B in FY2025 revenue, representing a 4.0% increase over FY2024. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 2.5% year-over-year.
What is the consensus price target for CHA stock?
The mean analyst price target is $15.29, which is 24.3% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $12.30.
When does Chagee report its next earnings?
Chagee is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 27, 2026.