NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) AI Stock Analysis
NBTB AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) is a regional financial holding company offering commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management services. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $723.8M in revenue with an operating margin of 41.4% and an EPS of $4.09. Over the past year, the stock returned 32.8%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
- Market cap
- $2.64B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $723.8M
- P/E
- 12.4x fwd 13.4x
- 1Y return
- 32.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $57.50 13.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings for the period ended June 30, 2026, expanded by 131.8% year-over-year.
- The company maintains a 35-year dividend payment streak with a 37.0% payout ratio and a 3.15% yield.
- Trailing twelve months operating margin reached 41.4%, above the peer median of 37.7% for US-listed Financial Services.
Bear case
- Forward P/E of 13.4x sits at a premium to the peer median of 10.8x for US-listed Financial Services.
- Net margin compressed from 31.3% in FY2021 to 19.5% in FY2025.
- Share count has diluted over time, rising 20.1% over a 5-year period.
What NBT Bancorp does
NBT Bancorp Inc., established in 1856 and headquartered in Norwich, New York, is a financial holding company providing commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management services. Its deposit products include demand deposits, savings accounts, NOW accounts, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. Lending operations span commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate financing, agricultural loans, commercial construction loans, and residential mortgages, along with consumer and home equity loans. The company also offers trust and investment services, financial planning, life insurance, and retirement plan consulting and recordkeeping.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue expanded from $494.8M in FY2021 to $867.4M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.0%. Net income rose to $169.2M in FY2025 from $140.6M in FY2024, though net margin settled at 19.5% compared to 31.3% in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $723.8M with a profit margin of 29.6% and EPS of $4.09. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth reached 17.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 131.8% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, NBT Bancorp held $187.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $471.2M, resulting in net debt of $284.0M. Total assets were $16.21B and shareholders' equity stood at $1.94B, supported by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24 and a current ratio of 0.59. In FY2025, the company generated operating cash flow of $235.2M and free cash flow of $218.9M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $16.3M in capital expenditures, $72.6M in dividends paid, and $10.2M directed toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
NBT Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 12.4x and a forward P/E of 13.4x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively, for its US-listed Financial Services peer group. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.7x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio stands at 1.4x. Over the past 12 months, the stock posted a 32.8% return, ahead of the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year span, the stock gained 62.8%, trailing the SPY gain of 83.0%.
NBTB dividend
NBT Bancorp provides an annual forward dividend of $1.60 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.15%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 35 years and maintains a payout ratio of 37.0%. Over the past 5 years, the annualized dividend growth rate was 5.6%, with the last ex-dividend date occurring on September 1, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings, with no Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $57.50, implying a 13.1% upside compared to the last close of $50.85. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $4.18 and revenue of $759.7M. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio stood at 0.59 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting short-term asset coverage constraints.
- Earnings predictability shows variability, with EPS beats in only 2 of the last 4 reported quarters.
- Short interest represents 7.2% of the float as of October 16, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NBTB AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NBTB income statement, NBTB balance sheet, NBTB key metrics, NBTB analyst forecast, NBTB chart. See the NBTB stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NBTB AI stock analysis FAQ
What is NBT Bancorp's current dividend yield?
NBT Bancorp offers an annual forward dividend of $1.60 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 3.15%.
When is NBT Bancorp's next earnings release?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 27, 2026.
What is the consensus analyst target for NBTB stock?
The mean analyst price target is $57.50, which sits 13.1% above the last close price of $50.85.
How leveraged is NBT Bancorp's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, NBT Bancorp held $471.2M in total debt against $187.2M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $284.0M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24.