HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: HDBAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HDB AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

HDFC Bank Limited is an India-based banking institution with a market capitalization of $122.53B. Over the 5-year period through FY2026, the bank delivered a revenue CAGR of 27.8%, with FY2026 net income reaching $799.95B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 15.4x, while having declined 29.4% over the past year.

Market cap
$122.53B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.95T
P/E
15.4x
fwd 13.5x
1Y return
-29.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$30.52
28.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • FY2026 free cash flow reached $1.72T, backed by an annual operating cash flow of $1.76T.
  • Quarterly revenue grew 16.6% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, exceeding the peer group median growth of 10.1%.
  • The consensus mean price target of $30.52 indicates a 28.0% premium over the closing price of $23.84.

Bear case

  • Shares declined 29.4% over the trailing 1-year period, underperforming the S&P 500 gain of 16.8%.
  • Net margin decreased from 24.1% in FY2022 to 15.3% in FY2026.
  • Analysts project EPS for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, to decline 22.9% to $1.21.

What HDFC Bank does

Established in 1994 and based in Mumbai, HDFC Bank Limited provides banking and financial services across India, Bahrain, Hong Kong, and Dubai. It operates through segments including Treasury, Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Other Banking Business, and Unallocated segments. Its services include deposit accounts such as savings, current, and fixed deposits, as well as Demat accounts. The bank delivers lending products spanning personal, home, vehicle, business, educational, gold, and rural loans, alongside equipment and property financing. HDFC Bank also offers credit and debit cards, insurance, investment, payment, trade finance, foreign exchange, merchant services, and digital banking platforms.

Growth and profitability

HDFC Bank grew revenue from $1.60T in FY2022 to $5.21T in FY2026, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 27.8%. Net income rose from $386.00B in FY2022 to $799.95B in FY2026, though net margin shifted from 24.1% to 15.3% over the same timeframe. Diluted EPS expanded from $1.32 in FY2022 to $1.62 in FY2026. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 16.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 18.1% year-over-year. TTM operating margin stood at 33.3%, compared to the 37.7% median of its US-listed Financial Services peers.

HDB income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, HDFC Bank held $2.39T in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.69T, resulting in net debt of $3.30T. Total assets were $50.03T, and shareholders' equity reached $6.10T, generating a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93. In FY2026, the company generated $1.76T in operating cash flow and $1.72T in free cash flow. Capital deployment during FY2026 included $40.93B in capital expenditures and $217.87B in dividends paid, while share count grew 38.4% over five years.

HDB balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $23.84, HDFC Bank trades at a trailing P/E of 15.4x and a forward P/E of 13.5x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-book ratio is 1.4x, and its EV-to-revenue multiple is 9.1x. Over the past 1-year period, HDB shares fell 29.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned -22.7% versus an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.

HDB key metrics →

HDB dividend

HDFC Bank pays an annual forward dividend of $0.41 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.71%. The bank has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years, supported by a payout ratio of 57.6%. Its last ex-dividend date was August 7, 2026.

HDB dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $30.52 implies an upside of 28.0% over the last close of $23.84. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus EPS is $1.21 on revenue of $2.01T. Over the last 4 quarters, HDFC Bank has beaten EPS estimates 4 times.

HDB forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt stood at $5.69T as of June 30, 2026, leading to a net debt balance of $3.30T.
  • The share count increased 38.4% over the 5-year period, indicating equity dilution.
  • Forward P/E of 13.5x sits above the US-listed Financial Services median of 10.8x despite anticipated near-term earnings contraction.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HDB AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of HDFC Bank Limited (HDB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HDB income statement, HDB balance sheet, HDB key metrics, HDB analyst forecast, HDB chart. See the HDB stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HDB AI stock analysis FAQ

What is HDFC Bank's dividend yield and payout?

HDFC Bank pays an annual dividend of $0.41 per share, which represents a dividend yield of 1.71%. Its payout ratio stands at 57.6%.

How does HDB's valuation compare to its peers?

HDB trades at a trailing P/E of 15.4x and a forward P/E of 13.5x. Both figures trade at a premium to the US-listed Financial Services median trailing P/E of 12.1x and forward P/E of 10.8x.

What are analysts forecasting for HDFC Bank's upcoming fiscal year?

For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, analysts estimate EPS of $1.21, a 22.9% decrease, on projected revenue of $2.01T.

What is the leverage profile of HDFC Bank?

As of June 30, 2026, HDFC Bank carried total debt of $5.69T and cash and short-term investments of $2.39T, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93.

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