Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (AVAL) AI Stock Analysis
AVAL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGrupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (AVAL) is a major financial services provider based in Colombia with operations across Central America. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated revenue of $13.44T with a profit margin of 12.2% and EPS of $0.38. Its shares gained 35.7% over the past year, trading at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 12.8x.
- Market cap
- $5.76B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $13.44T
- P/E
- 12.8x
- 1Y return
- 35.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $5.10 5.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue growth accelerated in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, posting an 18.6% year-over-year increase.
- Free cash flow rebounded to $1.45T in FY2025 after three consecutive years of negative cash flow generation.
- The stock pays a monthly dividend offering a 4.09% yield supported by a low payout ratio of 14.3%.
Bear case
- Total debt of $68.12T substantially exceeds cash and short-term investments of $21.79T, leaving net debt at $46.33T.
- Analyst sentiment is cautious with 2 Holds, 1 Sell, and a mean price target offering only 5.2% upside.
- Dividends have contracted over the medium term, showing a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of -16.8%.
What Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores does
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A., founded in 1994 and headquartered in Bogot�, Colombia, provides a comprehensive array of financial products and solutions across Colombia and Central America. Its services include deposit accounts such as checking, savings, and time deposits for individuals and corporations. The company's lending activities cover commercial loans, payroll loans, personal loans, vehicle financing, microcredit, and mortgages. Grupo Aval also offers pension and severance fund management, investment banking, project finance, bancassurance, trust services, and real estate escrow, while delivering digital access through online and mobile banking.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue expanded at a five-year compound annual growth rate of 30.5%. Annual revenue reached $42.33T in FY2025, up 14.5% from $36.97T in FY2024, after dropping 3.8% in FY2024. Net income climbed to $1.60T in FY2025, reflecting a net margin of 3.8% and EPS of $0.41, up from $1.02T in FY2024. Gross margin improved from 30.6% in FY2024 to 50.9% in FY2025, while operating margin held steady at 9.1%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 18.6% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 16.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Grupo Aval held $21.79T in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $68.12T, resulting in net debt of $46.33T. Shareholders' equity stood at $17.97T alongside total assets of $339.25T, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.79. In FY2025, operating cash flow recovered to $2.04T and free cash flow turned positive to $1.45T. For that fiscal year, capital expenditures totaled $586.35B, dividends paid were $582.89B, and share buybacks totaled $6.0M.
Valuation and performance
At $4.85, Grupo Aval trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 12.8x, compared to the median of 12.1x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 1.1x versus the peer median of 3.2x, and its price-to-book ratio is 1.1x. Over the past year, AVAL returned 35.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a five-year span, the stock gained 50.0%, lagging the 83.0% return of the S&P 500.
AVAL dividend
Grupo Aval pays a monthly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $0.20 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 4.09%. Its payout ratio stands at 14.3%. While the company has maintained dividend payments for 13 consecutive years, its annualized dividend growth over the past five years declined 16.8%. Its last ex-dividend date is listed as February 26, 2027.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Hold ratings and 1 Sell rating, with no Buy or Strong Buy recommendations. The mean price target is $5.10, representing a 5.2% upside from the last close of $4.85. For FY2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.53 on revenue of $19.17T. The company has beaten EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 12, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company operates with high leverage, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.79 as of June 30, 2026.
- Net margins have narrowed significantly from 16.0% in FY2021 to 3.8% in FY2025.
- Operating cash flow history shows extreme volatility, swinging from -$14.04T in FY2024 to $2.04T in FY2025.
- The current fiscal year consensus revenue projection of $19.17T represents a sharp decline from FY2025 revenue of $42.33T.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AVAL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (AVAL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AVAL income statement, AVAL balance sheet, AVAL key metrics, AVAL analyst forecast, AVAL chart. See the AVAL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AVAL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Grupo Aval's dividend yield and payment schedule?
Grupo Aval pays dividends on a monthly schedule with an annual forward dividend of $0.20, representing a dividend yield of 4.09% and a payout ratio of 14.3%.
How did Grupo Aval perform financially in FY2025?
In FY2025, revenue grew 14.5% to $42.33T, while net income rose to $1.60T with an EPS of $0.41. Free cash flow returned to positive territory at $1.45T.
What do analysts expect for Grupo Aval's stock price?
Analysts maintain a mean price target of $5.10, indicating a 5.2% premium over its last closing price of $4.85. The coverage breakdown includes 2 Hold ratings and 1 Sell rating.
What is Grupo Aval's debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $21.79T in cash and short-term investments compared to $68.12T in total debt, resulting in net debt of $46.33T and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.79.