ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) is a global integrated steel and mining company headquartered in Luxembourg. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $62.85B in revenue with a 2.9% net profit margin, while its stock gained 64.8% over the past year. Analysts project earnings per share to increase from an estimated $3.91 in FY2026 to $7.10 in FY2027.

Market cap
$47.41B
Revenue (TTM)
$62.85B
P/E
26.6x
fwd 11.3x
1Y return
64.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$77.80
23.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • ArcelorMittal's forward P/E of 11.3x and PEG ratio of 0.66 sit below the US-listed Basic Materials peer median forward P/E of 13.4x.
  • Consensus estimates project strong FY2027 earnings expansion, with EPS expected to rise 81.7% to $7.10 on 9.3% revenue growth.
  • Share repurchases have lowered the total share count by 26.0% over the last 5 years while maintaining a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue contracted for three consecutive years from $79.84B in FY2022 down to $61.35B in FY2025.
  • Earnings momentum slowed sharply in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, with quarterly earnings falling 61.7% year-over-year.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin of 6.3% remains significantly below the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 18.5%.

What ArcelorMittal does

ArcelorMittal S.A. operates as an integrated steel and mining producer across Europe, the Americas, Asia, and Africa. The company manufactures flat steel products such as slabs, plates, coils, sheets, and coated offerings, alongside long products including blooms, billets, bars, wire rods, rails, and structural sections. Its portfolio also features seamless and welded pipes and tubes. In addition to steelmaking, ArcelorMittal extracts iron ore lumps, fines, concentrates, pellets, and sinter feeds, as well as coking and thermal coal, across sites in countries such as Brazil, Canada, Mexico, South Africa, and Ukraine. It supplies industries including automotive, appliances, engineering, construction, energy, and machinery.

Growth and profitability

Revenue contracted over three consecutive fiscal years, declining 14.5% in FY2023 to $68.28B, 8.5% in FY2024 to $62.44B, and 1.7% in FY2025 to $61.35B. Despite top-line declines, net income rebounded from $919.0M in FY2023 to $1.34B in FY2024 and $3.15B in FY2025, lifting net margin to 5.1%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $62.85B with an operating margin of 6.3% and EPS of $2.37. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 5.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 61.7%.

MT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, ArcelorMittal held $4.90B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $14.42B, leaving net debt at $9.52B. Shareholders' equity was $54.82B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 and a current ratio of 1.43. In FY2025, the company generated $4.81B in operating cash flow and $471.0M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $4.34B, while cash returns to shareholders included $262.0M in share buybacks and $421.0M in dividends paid, contributing to a 26.0% reduction in share count over 5 years.

MT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

ArcelorMittal trades at a trailing P/E of 26.6x, compared to 19.7x for the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. However, its forward P/E of 11.3x and price-to-sales of 0.8x sit below peer group medians of 13.4x and 1.8x, respectively. The company carries an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 10.0x versus the peer median of 10.5x, alongside a PEG ratio of 0.66. Over the past year, MT stock returned 64.8%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and gained 111.4% over 5 years compared to 83.0% for the index.

MT key metrics →

MT dividend

ArcelorMittal pays a forward annual dividend of $0.60 per share, distributed quarterly, representing a dividend yield of 0.95% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years, supported by a payout ratio of 19.2%. Its last ex-dividend date is scheduled for November 13, 2026.

MT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 3 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $77.80 represents a 23.4% upside relative to the last close of $63.05. Analysts project FY2026 revenue of $67.22B and EPS of $3.91, followed by FY2027 revenue of $73.47B and EPS of $7.10 based on 7 analysts. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 5, 2026.

MT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly earnings fell 61.7% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, signaling potential bottom-line volatility.
  • Net debt stood at $9.52B as of June 30, 2026, while FY2025 free cash flow narrowed to $471.0M amid high capital expenditures of $4.34B.
  • The stock has a beta of 1.75, reflecting substantially higher price volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Operating margin over the trailing twelve months was 6.3%, less than half the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 18.5%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MT income statement, MT balance sheet, MT key metrics, MT analyst forecast, MT chart. See the MT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MT AI stock analysis FAQ

What is ArcelorMittal's dividend yield and payout schedule?

ArcelorMittal pays a forward annual dividend of $0.60 per share, distributed quarterly, which equates to a 0.95% dividend yield. The payout ratio is 19.2%, and the company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 6 years.

How does ArcelorMittal compare to its sector peers on valuation?

At a trailing P/E of 26.6x, MT trades above the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 19.7x. However, its forward P/E of 11.3x and price-to-sales multiple of 0.8x are below the peer medians of 13.4x and 1.8x, respectively.

What are analysts forecasting for ArcelorMittal's future earnings?

Analysts estimate EPS of $3.91 for FY2026 on revenue of $67.22B. For FY2027, consensus estimates project EPS to increase by 81.7% to $7.10 on revenue of $73.47B.

How leveraged is ArcelorMittal's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, ArcelorMittal reported total debt of $14.42B and cash of $4.90B, resulting in net debt of $9.52B. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.26 alongside a current ratio of 1.43.

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